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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 16, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Kings36%9591
14Raptors64%100116
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.8
35.0
37.4
16
83%
7
4
0
1
2
3
2
5
5-6
83%
4-6
5-10
67%
48%
1-1
100%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.2
30.4
29.6
2
33%
2
0
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
54%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.0
29.6
37.0
10
56%
3
1
1
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
48%
2-5
40%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.1
29.5
40.1
9
64%
2
2
2
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-6
6-12
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.5
18.2
35.6
3
30%
2
7
2
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
4-9
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.0
29.5
23.1
22
64%
4
1
2
1
0
3
0
4
4-5
80%
6-10
3-7
60%
50%
2-5
40%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.2
29.4
11.2
4
20%
2
4
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
1-3
29%
46%
0-3
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.7
28.9
1.2
19
74%
6
0
0
0
0
4
2
4
1-2
50%
3-5
0-0
60%
44%
4-7
57%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.7
5.5
16.2
5
63%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.7
2.9
3.8
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 23.7
1.1
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.5
2.1
0
0-0
47%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.1
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.8
41.8
37.3
31
95%
9
2
3
1
0
2
3
6
9-10
90%
11-12
9-17
92%
50%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.3
40.9
35.5
17
77%
3
14
3
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
54%
3-5
60%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 32.6
29.4
31.8
12
57%
1
5
3
1
0
4
0
1
1-1
100%
4-7
3-6
57%
48%
1-3
33%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 22.2
25.9
16.8
7
25%
6
0
0
0
0
1
0
6
1-2
50%
3-9
2-4
33%
46%
0-4
0%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.6
20.7
29.6
4
40%
7
3
1
1
0
2
2
5
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25.4
33.2
22.6
26
98%
7
6
4
1
0
1
3
4
5-5
100%
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
5-7
71%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.9
20.7
10.3
11
56%
5
1
1
0
1
1
2
3
3-4
75%
4-8
2-3
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.0
17.1
18.9
8
44%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-5
17%
49%
2-3
67%
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 29.3
7.1
9.1
0
0%
3
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.6
1.7
9.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-0
-
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 36.9
1.5
4.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.6
13.7
0
2-4
51%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.8
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.6
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.