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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 16, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Bulls41%91126
26Heat59%9496
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.3
32.7
27.9
7
60%
7
1
1
1
1
1
3
4
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
0-0
-
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.8
31.3
26.8
21
61%
3
8
0
1
0
0
0
3
3-3
100%
9-15
6-11
60%
50%
0-1
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.4
29.6
27.2
3
21%
0
7
2
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
42%
1-4
25%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.5
26.9
28.4
23
94%
5
1
1
1
0
0
1
4
5-5
100%
9-10
6-12
90%
47%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.7
26.8
22.1
17
76%
6
2
2
1
0
1
0
6
5-5
100%
6-9
2-5
67%
42%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.8
36.1
25.0
24
69%
3
4
2
1
0
3
0
3
8-10
80%
2-6
4-8
33%
45%
4-7
57%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.1
18.4
20.4
20
72%
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-2
0%
4-8
3-5
50%
49%
4-5
80%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.9
16.5
16.9
3
39%
8
1
1
1
0
1
3
5
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.4
7.4
13.0
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.1
6.4
10.4
2
100%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
50%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.5
4.5
9.0
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.5
3.5
7.8
2
100%
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.0
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.0
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.6
38.2
31.9
15
76%
12
3
0
1
0
0
6
6
1-2
50%
7-9
4-8
78%
50%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.0
37.1
35.4
24
49%
2
6
1
2
0
4
0
2
6-8
75%
9-21
8-15
43%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.2
35.9
25.1
17
79%
3
5
2
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
3-7
43%
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.9
32.6
8.8
24
62%
10
2
0
0
0
3
3
7
8-12
67%
8-14
2-3
57%
59%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.1
26.1
9.4
4
25%
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
2
0-0
-
2-8
1-2
25%
50%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.3
26.7
35.5
5
42%
0
0
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
4-8
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.1
16.9
29.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
4-8
0%
51%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.7
14.5
23.8
5
34%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
1-1
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.3
6.0
19.1
0
0%
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
45%
0-0
-
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
6.0
10.1
2
100%
3
0
0
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.2
10.9
0
1-2
44%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.4
9.2
0
1-3
46%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.9
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.6
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.