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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 16, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Warriors52%107117
24Pacers48%106125
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 29.8
40.5
34.5
17
41%
3
8
4
1
0
4
1
2
4-4
100%
5-11
4-10
45%
45%
1-8
13%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 28.8
38.2
36.3
24
58%
6
7
7
2
2
0
0
6
9-11
82%
6-11
5-10
55%
47%
1-5
20%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.2
37.8
35.8
11
52%
3
4
2
1
0
3
2
1
5-6
83%
3-8
7-13
38%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 27.9
34.6
18.3
18
60%
9
6
1
1
0
1
2
7
0-0
-
6-10
1-3
60%
48%
2-5
40%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.9
29.5
24.9
22
59%
6
0
1
1
0
0
2
4
3-4
75%
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
5-11
45%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.8
20.4
23.5
13
68%
4
0
1
1
0
1
3
1
5-8
63%
4-6
4-7
67%
59%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 25.9
11.7
21.4
3
38%
1
0
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
50%
1-4
25%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
11.7
14.6
7
79%
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-1
0%
2-3
2-3
67%
46%
1-1
100%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.7
10.9
12.4
1
57%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-0
-
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.7
4.8
14.2
1
20%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 20.3
3.7
0
1-1
47%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.6
1.7
0
0-0
49%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 21.8
Kosta Perovic
C · 7'2" 240 · 22.9
Troy Hudson
G · 6'1" 178 · 31.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 27.3
44.2
37.0
24
64%
9
2
0
1
0
4
0
9
11-11
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
52%
1-6
17%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 24.7
40.5
30.1
29
72%
9
2
0
1
2
4
1
8
12-12
100%
4-9
4-7
44%
51%
3-6
50%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
28.0
26.0
19
86%
3
0
2
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
44%
5-7
71%
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.2
14.9
9.0
3
75%
5
4
1
0
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.3
9.0
33.2
0
0%
4
0
0
1
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
7-14
0%
47%
0-0
-
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.9
32.4
14.9
11
38%
2
6
0
0
0
4
0
2
6-6
100%
1-7
1-2
14%
50%
1-5
20%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 31.0
21.1
9.2
6
104%
12
4
1
0
0
0
4
8
2-2
100%
2-2
1-2
100%
52%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.0
20.7
22.7
6
43%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 27.7
17.8
17.1
16
87%
5
3
1
0
0
1
2
3
3-5
60%
5-5
2-4
100%
47%
1-2
50%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 21.9
11.3
15.4
11
46%
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
2-2
100%
3-9
2-3
33%
54%
1-2
50%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.4
3.4
0
1-1
54%
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.6
1.5
0
0-0
49%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.