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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 18, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Kings21%91100
4Pistons79%10193
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.8
38.9
35.9
17
80%
9
5
1
1
0
1
2
7
5-6
83%
6-7
4-10
86%
47%
0-1
0%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.2
33.4
29.5
6
60%
5
1
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
53%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.0
27.6
33.5
5
32%
1
7
2
1
1
1
1
0
1-2
50%
2-4
3-7
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.5
25.1
28.1
12
76%
6
3
1
1
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
5-6
3-7
83%
43%
0-1
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.1
20.2
35.2
0
0%
3
2
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
5-10
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.0
31.1
26.0
24
72%
7
0
1
1
0
0
1
6
6-6
100%
6-10
4-8
60%
48%
2-4
50%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.7
29.8
12.2
16
58%
5
4
0
0
0
4
0
5
2-2
100%
4-8
1-2
50%
42%
2-5
40%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.2
29.0
20.0
18
54%
2
3
2
1
0
1
0
2
5-8
63%
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
3-8
38%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.7
4.9
3.5
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.7
11.6
0
1-3
42%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.1
10.3
0
1-3
45%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.5
2.1
0
0-0
45%
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 23.7
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 29.9
42.9
34.8
24
74%
3
5
2
1
1
5
1
2
3-3
100%
9-13
6-13
69%
50%
1-2
50%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.3
40.4
31.9
28
74%
8
10
2
1
0
0
1
7
11-11
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
49%
3-6
50%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 27.9
38.4
30.0
15
57%
4
3
0
1
1
2
2
2
4-5
80%
4-9
4-9
44%
49%
1-2
50%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.4
35.4
30.5
14
47%
11
0
1
1
0
0
3
8
0-4
0%
7-13
4-8
54%
52%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 33.3
34.5
30.4
7
27%
7
4
1
1
1
0
5
2
0-2
0%
2-6
4-7
33%
49%
1-6
17%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.9
20.9
22.3
5
35%
7
0
2
0
2
1
4
3
1-5
20%
2-5
3-5
40%
55%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.7
10.4
18.5
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.4
10.2
14.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.6
4.6
6.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.3
2.3
7.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.3
5.2
0
1-1
50%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20.7
5.1
0
1-1
55%
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.2
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.