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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 18, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29SuperSonics34%101100
24Grizzlies66%106124
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.3
28.4
31.4
22
56%
3
0
0
1
0
3
3
0
4-4
100%
6-14
6-13
43%
47%
2-4
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.2
24.4
27.1
12
48%
6
0
0
1
2
1
4
2
0-1
0%
6-12
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.3
21.4
25.8
2
20%
8
1
1
1
1
0
1
7
0-2
0%
1-4
3-6
25%
48%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.6
20.8
24.8
6
38%
1
8
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
44%
0-3
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.4
19.0
28.9
4
33%
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-9
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.0
27.9
15.7
8
40%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
44%
0-3
0%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.9
27.2
18.5
8
40%
5
6
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-10
2-5
40%
45%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.9
26.8
24.0
19
56%
5
2
0
0
0
1
0
5
1-2
50%
6-9
3-7
67%
49%
2-7
29%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
24.0
15.0
13
56%
4
1
0
0
1
0
3
1
3-6
50%
5-9
3-5
56%
53%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.0
11.3
15.3
2
26%
7
0
1
0
2
2
2
5
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
8.8
4.5
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
47%
0-1
0%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.5
10.2
0
1-3
48%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.1
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Bobby Jones
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.0
40.4
4.9
20
70%
13
7
3
0
1
1
5
8
2-3
67%
6-9
0-1
67%
49%
2-4
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.5
32.3
40.3
24
59%
12
5
0
1
4
2
5
7
2-3
67%
11-18
8-16
61%
53%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.3
29.5
28.9
7
44%
3
8
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
1-3
33%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.9
28.8
39.8
25
68%
4
0
0
1
0
3
1
3
1-3
33%
3-8
4-7
38%
55%
6-9
67%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.6
19.0
16.0
6
43%
4
2
0
0
5
1
1
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
48%
0-0
-
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.6
26.8
30.7
21
88%
4
5
1
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
6-7
2-4
86%
49%
3-5
60%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.8
18.5
17.8
5
36%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
1-4
25%
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.2
14.9
5.6
6
60%
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
50%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.5
13.6
14.3
8
52%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-4
50%
3-6
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.7
10.2
0.9
2
25%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-4
0-0
25%
55%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.7
6.1
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
44%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.4
7.0
0
0-1
44%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.