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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 19, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Kings41%103110
21Pacers59%106104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.0
41.3
28.3
20
57%
2
1
1
1
0
4
1
1
7-8
88%
5-10
5-9
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.8
40.1
36.8
11
55%
16
2
3
1
1
4
2
14
7-7
100%
2-7
5-10
29%
48%
0-0
-
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.2
31.7
30.8
22
80%
11
1
0
1
0
2
3
8
4-4
100%
9-12
3-6
75%
54%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.1
23.8
29.2
4
50%
5
4
0
1
2
3
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.5
23.4
27.0
20
97%
2
3
1
1
1
2
0
2
3-3
100%
4-5
3-7
80%
45%
3-4
75%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.2
35.3
24.5
15
50%
3
3
2
1
0
6
0
3
2-2
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
46%
3-7
43%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.7
30.3
19.6
11
40%
4
4
2
1
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
1-9
2-4
11%
43%
2-3
67%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.1
11.9
31.1
7
58%
1
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.1
1.9
7.1
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.7
0.4
8.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-0
-
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.7
4.4
0
1-1
48%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.5
2.3
0
0-0
48%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.1
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 23.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 24.8
39.4
34.1
26
58%
4
2
4
1
2
2
1
3
9-10
90%
4-11
4-8
36%
51%
3-7
43%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 27.3
37.9
39.1
15
42%
7
1
0
1
0
3
1
6
3-4
75%
3-9
4-9
33%
53%
2-7
29%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.9
35.7
29.8
4
33%
4
13
2
2
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-7
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
30.3
26.4
22
65%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
8-11
3-6
73%
44%
2-6
33%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 27.7
25.9
17.4
3
15%
9
1
0
0
1
0
2
7
1-2
50%
1-8
2-4
13%
48%
0-1
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 31.0
25.1
14.9
11
54%
11
5
2
0
0
2
8
3
3-5
60%
4-8
2-3
50%
53%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.6
17.9
1.4
15
66%
3
0
1
0
0
3
0
3
0-1
0%
6-8
0-0
75%
48%
1-3
33%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 21.9
15.5
13.5
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
54%
0-1
0%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.9
12.3
22.3
4
40%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.2
12.5
0
1-2
44%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.4
5.5
0
1-2
50%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.4
3.0
0
0-1
54%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.3
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.