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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 19, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Knicks34%9588
22Heat66%10184
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.8
44.3
38.8
22
49%
5
7
1
1
0
3
1
4
7-8
88%
6-15
5-10
40%
46%
1-4
25%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
37.2
31.3
16
45%
14
2
2
1
1
3
3
11
2-2
100%
7-17
6-13
41%
47%
0-0
-
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 28.9
28.0
19.6
7
74%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 27.8
19.9
30.1
2
25%
3
1
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
42%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 25.1
19.6
27.2
6
30%
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-10
5-10
30%
56%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 23.6
33.9
29.1
19
48%
6
7
1
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
7-13
3-7
54%
45%
1-6
17%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 24.7
31.0
22.3
15
78%
8
0
2
1
0
0
3
5
5-6
83%
5-7
3-5
71%
56%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.1
20.9
13.0
1
17%
2
0
2
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.5
5.1
13.8
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
0-0
-
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 33.2
3.5
0
0-1
38%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.5
2.8
0
0-1
43%
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 32.2
2.6
0
0-1
47%
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 30.9
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 22.0
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 20.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.0
40.4
38.3
22
41%
5
9
1
2
0
2
0
5
7-9
78%
6-20
9-18
30%
52%
1-3
33%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.6
39.9
38.3
11
59%
8
0
0
1
0
2
4
4
3-3
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
51%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.2
31.4
33.2
8
40%
3
6
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
0-3
2-4
0%
49%
2-6
33%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.1
30.4
20.1
8
57%
9
3
0
1
2
0
0
9
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
51%
0-0
-
Shaquille O'Neal
C · 7'1" 325 · 35.9
24.0
27.1
10
51%
5
2
0
0
2
5
1
4
2-4
50%
4-8
5-9
50%
59%
0-0
-
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.3
21.2
31.7
2
14%
2
0
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-6
4-7
17%
50%
0-1
0%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.1
18.3
12.5
10
71%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
5-7
2-3
71%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.3
15.7
10.4
6
100%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
2-3
67%
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
12.8
4.7
4
41%
3
1
1
0
0
2
2
1
2-2
100%
1-4
1-1
25%
53%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.7
5.9
18.0
3
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.4
5.1
0
1-2
48%
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 26.2
4.6
0
0-1
46%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.4
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.6
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 37.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.