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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 23, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Mavericks69%100102
20Bobcats31%9495
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.6
40.4
36.0
20
44%
8
5
0
1
3
0
1
7
8-8
100%
6-16
7-13
38%
52%
0-3
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 27.7
38.5
37.1
21
47%
12
1
1
1
1
1
1
11
1-3
33%
10-17
7-13
59%
50%
0-4
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.9
36.6
30.0
23
76%
1
9
0
1
0
2
0
1
6-7
86%
7-11
4-8
64%
52%
1-1
100%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 36.3
25.4
15.5
2
17%
6
0
0
1
1
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
0-3
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.5
18.4
23.4
6
75%
6
0
0
0
0
0
3
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
58%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.4
28.5
28.0
16
63%
2
2
2
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
52%
2-6
33%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.0
26.1
15.7
7
90%
7
0
0
0
1
0
4
3
1-2
50%
3-3
1-2
100%
51%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 28.9
11.0
10.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 33.2
6.5
21.5
5
73%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.0
5.8
5.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.6
2.7
3.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.4
4.4
0
0-1
41%
Nick Fazekas
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.6
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.0
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 22.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.5
48.0
40.4
22
46%
11
1
3
2
0
2
2
9
1-2
50%
9-19
7-13
47%
51%
1-4
25%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.6
43.5
34.8
16
56%
4
7
0
1
0
4
2
2
2-3
67%
7-10
3-7
70%
44%
0-3
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.0
42.6
39.0
22
52%
8
5
0
1
1
1
1
7
9-9
100%
5-11
5-11
45%
47%
1-6
17%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.3
38.1
28.5
19
55%
10
0
0
1
1
1
3
7
1-3
33%
9-16
4-9
56%
51%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.3
18.1
28.0
2
25%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.4
27.3
19.9
7
81%
5
4
0
1
0
0
2
3
3-3
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.4
17.6
26.4
5
43%
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
1-4
25%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.3
4.7
4.5
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.5
9.0
0
1-2
49%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.5
3.8
0
0-1
42%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
3.3
0
1-1
48%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 34.0
1.8
0
0-1
48%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.8
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.