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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 23, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Rockets74%100109
29SuperSonics26%91107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.4
41.6
37.7
26
66%
12
6
0
1
1
3
6
6
14-15
93%
6-13
9-16
46%
53%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.4
41.0
34.7
11
69%
4
3
2
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
51%
3-7
43%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.5
38.9
37.7
18
48%
3
8
0
2
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-9
4-8
11%
45%
5-9
56%
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.3
18.6
21.9
4
25%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
4-8
29%
48%
0-1
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.6
14.6
17.1
0
0%
4
1
1
1
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
57%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.7
34.5
27.7
28
55%
4
5
0
1
0
1
1
3
1-6
17%
12-20
6-12
60%
48%
1-3
33%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.7
23.0
23.3
6
44%
5
2
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-2
0%
3-6
4-8
50%
51%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.3
14.8
11.8
8
90%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
4-4
2-4
100%
51%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.2
7.0
17.7
5
63%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.0
6.0
10.7
3
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.6
0.1
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.6
2.0
0
0-0
53%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.6
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.9
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.2
38.6
27.8
3
19%
14
2
0
1
0
4
5
9
1-2
50%
1-7
4-8
14%
50%
0-0
-
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.3
33.1
30.1
25
53%
3
1
0
1
2
0
0
3
1-1
100%
12-21
5-12
57%
44%
0-2
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.3
26.3
26.2
16
87%
5
0
0
1
0
0
1
4
4-5
80%
6-7
3-6
86%
47%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.6
24.6
23.9
10
63%
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
4-7
2-6
57%
43%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.4
18.6
27.9
4
52%
0
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
4-8
33%
45%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.9
30.8
25.4
22
73%
4
3
2
0
0
1
0
4
7-7
100%
6-9
4-7
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 26.9
23.4
22.3
10
50%
0
8
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
5-9
2-6
56%
43%
0-1
0%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
15.2
18.9
4
35%
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
2-4
50%
1-4
3-7
25%
52%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.0
14.9
15.7
4
40%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
0-2
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.0
14.4
9.9
9
95%
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
3-4
75%
3-3
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.5
7.3
0
1-2
46%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
3.3
0
0-1
45%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.1
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.