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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 25, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Grizzlies30%9893
17Wizards70%105104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.9
36.0
36.0
21
58%
9
1
1
1
0
4
1
8
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
53%
5-11
45%
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.6
33.3
22.3
14
50%
3
1
0
1
0
5
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
4-11
36%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.6
32.6
18.1
6
33%
4
0
0
0
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-9
2-5
33%
46%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.4
30.1
38.7
14
62%
6
1
2
1
1
3
2
4
3-3
100%
4-6
5-11
67%
47%
1-4
25%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.3
14.3
33.1
7
61%
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
3-4
75%
2-4
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.8
33.6
14.1
13
51%
4
10
5
1
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
5-11
1-2
45%
44%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.5
28.6
14.2
11
67%
6
0
2
0
0
3
2
4
5-5
100%
3-5
2-5
60%
51%
0-1
0%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.7
15.4
2.4
3
32%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
3-6
50%
0-2
0-1
0%
49%
0-0
-
Bobby Jones
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.0
11.8
14.4
4
67%
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
4.2
4.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.4
6.0
0
0-1
42%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.7
4.0
0
0-1
43%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.6
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 27.9
41.5
33.7
19
47%
7
7
3
2
2
1
0
7
3-3
100%
8-18
6-12
44%
50%
0-1
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 26.8
39.5
28.1
13
58%
6
5
3
1
0
2
0
6
3-5
60%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
2-6
33%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.6
37.6
32.9
24
57%
12
5
1
1
0
3
6
6
6-9
67%
9-15
6-11
60%
50%
0-2
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.2
32.9
23.8
15
58%
9
1
0
0
1
3
5
4
1-2
50%
7-12
4-6
58%
56%
0-0
-
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.9
30.0
29.3
12
56%
3
3
2
1
0
5
1
2
3-4
75%
3-6
2-5
50%
51%
1-3
33%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.4
17.1
19.7
9
56%
1
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
48%
1-3
33%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.4
11.1
18.5
4
50%
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
50%
0-0
-
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.7
9.4
15.0
4
69%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 29.9
8.7
17.7
2
100%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
51%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.3
6.8
8.6
0
0%
2
0
1
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.1
5.5
9.9
2
50%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-1
0%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.1
10.9
1
1-3
49%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.