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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 25, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Bobcats40%9090
18Bulls60%9377
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.5
43.8
42.5
21
70%
5
5
4
2
1
1
0
5
7-9
78%
7-9
7-14
78%
51%
0-2
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.3
41.3
31.7
21
78%
16
3
0
1
4
4
2
14
1-1
100%
10-13
5-10
77%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.0
35.0
39.6
11
35%
4
4
0
1
1
2
1
3
4-6
67%
2-9
5-12
22%
47%
1-4
25%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.6
34.5
37.5
8
32%
5
8
0
1
0
2
0
5
0-1
0%
4-11
4-8
36%
43%
0-1
0%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.3
25.1
23.8
2
33%
1
3
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.4
24.8
22.4
11
56%
8
1
0
1
1
1
5
3
1-2
50%
5-9
4-7
56%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.4
22.6
22.9
12
68%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
3-4
75%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.5
12.0
6.1
4
50%
0
1
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.3
0.7
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.5
3.3
0
0-1
42%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
2.7
0
0-1
46%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 34.0
1.8
0
0-1
46%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.8
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.1
44.0
34.3
14
41%
4
8
2
1
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
6-12
4-8
50%
47%
0-4
0%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.2
43.9
33.2
25
50%
5
1
1
1
2
4
3
2
4-4
100%
6-14
4-9
43%
51%
3-9
33%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.4
42.3
26.0
6
39%
9
0
2
1
3
0
4
5
2-4
50%
2-6
2-4
33%
46%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.7
34.5
33.3
13
39%
10
1
1
1
1
2
2
8
1-2
50%
6-15
4-8
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.5
10.1
19.3
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
49%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.9
23.8
24.6
7
47%
5
0
0
1
1
2
1
4
3-8
38%
2-4
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.4
17.7
11.1
5
51%
5
3
1
1
0
0
2
3
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.4
12.7
27.8
3
38%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.4
5.7
1.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-2
0%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.6
3.4
12.6
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.1
2.0
3.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.5
2.8
0
0-1
47%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.8
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.0
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.