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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 25, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Rockets54%9489
16Trail Blazers46%9279
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.4
35.3
36.7
8
42%
3
3
2
1
0
0
2
1
0-1
0%
1-4
1-3
25%
50%
2-5
40%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.4
28.1
38.8
11
48%
10
0
2
0
0
4
3
7
7-8
88%
2-8
8-15
25%
52%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.5
20.0
37.4
9
51%
2
1
1
1
0
5
1
1
2-2
100%
2-5
3-8
40%
43%
1-3
33%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.2
17.1
13.4
4
67%
2
2
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
0-1
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.6
7.0
16.0
2
33%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
55%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.7
35.6
30.3
15
49%
4
5
0
1
1
5
0
4
3-3
100%
3-8
6-12
38%
47%
2-6
33%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.7
32.5
22.7
11
47%
12
1
3
1
0
1
4
8
3-4
75%
4-10
4-7
40%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.0
28.0
8.6
8
46%
2
4
0
0
0
3
0
2
4-4
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.4
23.5
12.8
12
82%
8
1
0
0
0
0
5
3
2-3
67%
5-6
2-4
83%
50%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.3
13.0
20.1
9
58%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
3-4
75%
3-6
3-7
50%
46%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.6
2.3
0
0-0
50%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.6
2.0
0
0-0
53%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.6
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.9
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 23.5
37.1
38.4
23
59%
2
2
2
1
0
5
0
2
3-6
50%
7-14
6-13
50%
48%
2-3
67%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.5
30.1
30.7
14
43%
6
1
1
1
1
1
1
5
4-5
80%
5-14
7-13
36%
49%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 27.9
26.7
26.0
3
25%
3
4
4
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
45%
1-3
33%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 28.3
22.7
19.2
1
27%
5
0
1
0
1
1
3
2
1-2
50%
0-1
2-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 21.1
17.8
23.6
6
47%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
2-3
67%
2-5
2-4
40%
45%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.3
30.3
23.7
4
34%
4
2
2
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-3
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.2
21.3
20.7
4
41%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 24.7
19.8
16.0
9
47%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
5-6
83%
2-7
2-5
29%
46%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.4
19.3
27.2
13
61%
2
1
0
1
1
2
1
1
5-6
83%
1-6
5-11
17%
46%
2-2
100%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 21.6
10.9
7.7
0
0%
0
0
3
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.7
4.0
1.9
2
100%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Taurean Green
G · 6'0" 177 · 21.2
1.4
0
0-0
38%
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 20.0
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 20.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.