Final Win Prob. pScore
2346%100
96
2454%102
98
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo Pacers
99.097109.0
MIA logo Heat
99.09989.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0IND96
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound96
1.7%
98
98.3%
Q4 - 0:00.0INDMISS Owens 39' 3PT Jump Shot96
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0INDPacers Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 1)96
98
Q4 - 0:05.0INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)96
7.0%
98
93.0%
Q4 - 0:07.0INDMISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot96
6.1%
98
93.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIASUB: Wright FOR Blount96
98
Q4 - 0:15.0INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)96
98
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)96
20.8%
98
79.2%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAHEAT Rebound96
6.4%
98
93.6%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Davis Reverse Layup96
14.9%
98
85.1%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)96
6.6%
98
93.4%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot96
15.0%
98
85.0%
Q4 - 0:39.0INDSUB: Murphy FOR Foster96
98
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 1)96
98
Q4 - 0:39.0INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)96
13.1%
98
86.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)95
11.8%
98
88.2%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAWilliams P.FOUL (P3.PN)94
98
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAWade 12' Fadeaway Jumper (35 PTS)94
8.1%
98
91.9%
Q4 - 1:07INDRush 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Owens 5 AST)94
18.4%
96
81.6%
Q4 - 1:16INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
7.6%
96
92.4%
Q4 - 1:17MIAMISS Blount 13' Fadeaway Jumper91
6.4%
96
93.6%
Q4 - 1:40INDDunleavy 18' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Foster 2 AST)91
5.8%
96
94.2%
Q4 - 1:44MIAWilliams P.FOUL (P2.T2)89
96
Q4 - 2:01MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)89
4.4%
96
95.6%
Q4 - 2:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)89
4.8%
95
95.2%
Q4 - 2:01INDGranger S.FOUL (P3.PN)89
94
Q4 - 2:14MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)89
94
Q4 - 2:15INDDunleavy Reverse Layup (23 PTS)89
5.9%
94
94.1%
Q4 - 2:22INDRush REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)87
4.4%
94
95.6%
Q4 - 2:23MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot87
3.6%
94
96.4%
Q4 - 2:46INDRush Driving Layup (9 PTS)87
2.2%
94
97.8%
Q4 - 3:09INDPacers Rebound85
2.3%
94
97.7%
Q4 - 3:11MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
1.9%
94
98.1%
Q4 - 3:31MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
2.9%
94
97.1%
Q4 - 3:32INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
3.2%
94
96.8%
Q4 - 3:44INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
4.0%
94
96.0%
Q4 - 3:45MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
3.5%
94
96.5%
Q4 - 3:59INDSUB: Owens FOR Diener85
94
Q4 - 3:59INDSUB: Foster FOR Murphy85
94
Q4 - 3:59INDRush P.FOUL (P2.T4)85
94
Q4 - 4:16INDMurphy Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T19)85
2.5%
94
97.5%
Q4 - 4:20MIABlount Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)85
3.8%
94
96.2%
Q4 - 4:25INDWilliams STEAL (6 STL)85
2.5%
94
97.5%
Q4 - 4:34MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS)85
3.7%
94
96.3%
Q4 - 4:57INDMurphy Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T17)85
7.4%
91
92.6%
Q4 - 5:02INDRush REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)85
13.9%
91
86.1%
Q4 - 5:04INDMISS Diener Driving Layup85
11.3%
91
88.7%
Q4 - 5:19MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)85
13.8%
91
86.2%
Q4 - 5:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)85
10.1%
91
89.9%
Q4 - 5:34INDMISS Murphy 18' Jump Shot85
11.1%
91
88.9%
Q4 - 5:50MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)85
13.7%
91
86.3%
Q4 - 5:50MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)85
14.7%
90
85.3%
Q4 - 5:50MIASUB: Wade FOR Cook85
89
Q4 - 5:5085
89
Q4 - 5:50INDGranger P.FOUL (P2.T3)85
89
Q4 - 5:53INDWilliams STEAL (5 STL)85
18.0%
89
82.0%
Q4 - 6:08MIABlount 18' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)85
26.3%
89
73.7%
Q4 - 6:24INDWilliams STEAL (4 STL)85
32.2%
87
67.8%
Q4 - 6:37INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
39.4%
87
60.6%
Q4 - 6:38MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot85
37.1%
87
62.9%
Q4 - 6:51INDDunleavy P.FOUL (P4.T2)85
87
Q4 - 7:04INDRush Layup (7 PTS)85
33.2%
87
66.8%
Q4 - 7:15MIABlount 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)83
27.8%
87
72.2%
Q4 - 7:36INDRush Driving Layup (5 PTS)83
33.2%
85
66.8%
Q4 - 7:56INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)81
27.7%
85
72.3%
Q4 - 7:57MIAMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot81
25.9%
85
74.1%
Q4 - 8:09MIASUB: Williams FOR Wade81
85
Q4 - 8:09MIASUB: Haslem FOR Wright81
85
Q4 - 8:09INDSUB: Murphy FOR Foster81
85
Q4 - 8:09MIAHEAT Timeout: Short (Full 3 Short 1)81
85
Q4 - 8:09INDDunleavy Traveling Turnover (P4.T14)81
24.2%
85
75.8%
Q4 - 8:19INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
28.9%
85
71.1%
Q4 - 8:20MIAMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot81
27.4%
85
72.6%
Q4 - 8:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
24.1%
85
75.9%
Q4 - 8:32INDMISS Dunleavy 19' Jump Shot81
25.5%
85
74.5%
Q4 - 8:38INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
28.9%
85
71.1%
Q4 - 8:39INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
25.4%
85
74.6%
Q4 - 8:47INDDiener REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
28.9%
85
71.1%
Q4 - 8:48MIAMISS Wade 11' Running Jump Shot81
27.3%
85
72.7%
Q4 - 9:00INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)81
24.0%
85
76.0%
Q4 - 9:00INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)80
23.2%
85
76.8%
Q4 - 9:00MIACook S.FOUL (P2.T1)79
85
Q4 - 9:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)79
21.2%
85
78.8%
Q4 - 9:11MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)79
21.9%
84
78.1%
Q4 - 9:11INDDiener S.FOUL (P1.T1)79
83
Q4 - 9:15INDDavis STEAL (1 STL)79
25.6%
83
74.4%
Q4 - 9:24INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)79
30.2%
83
69.8%
Q4 - 9:25MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot79
28.8%
83
71.2%
Q4 - 9:41INDDiener 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)79
25.6%
83
74.4%
Q4 - 9:48INDSUB: Granger FOR Daniels77
83
Q4 - 9:48INDSUB: Dunleavy FOR Owens77
83
Q4 - 9:48INDSUB: Diener FOR Shaw. Williams77
83
Q4 - 9:48INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)77
83
Q4 - 9:51MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)77
21.0%
83
79.0%
Q4 - 10:14MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
26.6%
81
73.4%
Q4 - 10:16INDMISS Shaw. Williams 21' Jump Shot77
27.9%
81
72.1%
Q4 - 10:31MIABlount Dunk (13 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)77
31.1%
81
68.9%
Q4 - 10:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
36.3%
79
63.7%
Q4 - 10:51INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
41.6%
79
58.4%
Q4 - 10:51INDMISS Foster Tip Shot77
37.9%
79
62.1%
Q4 - 10:53INDMISS Rush Driving Layup77
37.9%
79
62.1%
Q4 - 11:10MIABlount 6' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS) (Cook 3 AST)77
41.8%
79
58.2%
Q4 - 11:29MIAHEAT Rebound77
47.4%
77
52.6%
Q4 - 11:30INDWright BLOCK (2 BLK)77
48.9%
77
51.1%
Q4 - 11:34INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
52.4%
77
47.6%
Q4 - 11:35MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
50.9%
77
49.1%
Q4 - 11:40MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)77
47.4%
77
52.6%
Q4 - 11:42MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot77
50.9%
77
49.1%
Q4 - 12:0077
77
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA77
47.4%
77
52.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound77
47.4%
77
52.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 42' 3PT Jump Shot77
50.9%
77
49.1%
Q3 - 0:03.0INDOwens Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)77
47.4%
77
52.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIASUB: Williams FOR Haslem76
77
Q3 - 0:03.0INDSUB: Diener FOR Dunleavy76
77
Q3 - 0:03.0INDOwens Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)76
46.3%
77
53.7%
Q3 - 0:03.0MIACook S.FOUL (P1.T1)75
77
Q3 - 0:20.0INDOwens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
41.8%
77
58.2%
Q3 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot75
40.4%
77
59.6%
Q3 - 0:30.0INDSUB: Shaw. Williams FOR Granger75
77
Q3 - 0:30.0MIASUB: Cook FOR Williams75
77
Q3 - 0:30.0INDDaniels P.FOUL (P3.T4)75
77
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)75
37.4%
77
62.6%
Q3 - 0:41.0INDMISS Daniels 9' Turnaround Jump Shot75
38.7%
77
61.3%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)75
41.8%
77
58.2%
Q3 - 1:16INDOwens 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS)75
47.0%
75
53.0%
Q3 - 1:27MIAWright Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)73
41.7%
75
58.3%
Q3 - 1:45INDFoster Layup (6 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)73
47.0%
73
53.0%
Q3 - 2:07MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)71
42.0%
73
58.0%
Q3 - 2:07INDOwens S.FOUL (P1.T3)71
72
Q3 - 2:07MIAWade Alley Oop Layup (23 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)71
72
Q3 - 2:10INDWade STEAL (1 STL)71
51.3%
70
48.7%
Q3 - 2:26MIAWade Driving Dunk (21 PTS)71
56.0%
70
44.0%
Q3 - 2:32INDWilliams STEAL (3 STL)71
60.6%
68
39.4%
Q3 - 2:41MIASUB: Davis FOR Blount71
68
Q3 - 2:41INDSUB: Owens FOR Rush71
68
Q3 - 2:41INDSUB: Daniels FOR Diener71
68
Q3 - 2:41INDSUB: Foster FOR Murphy71
68
Q3 - 2:41INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)71
68
Q3 - 2:41MIAWade 9' Jump Bank Shot (19 PTS)71
64.9%
68
35.1%
Q3 - 2:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
69.1%
66
30.9%
Q3 - 2:49INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
70.3%
66
29.7%
Q3 - 2:53INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
73.0%
66
27.0%
Q3 - 2:55INDWade BLOCK (1 BLK)71
70.3%
66
29.7%
Q3 - 3:15MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)71
72.2%
66
27.8%
Q3 - 3:24MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)71
75.4%
64
24.6%
Q3 - 3:25INDMISS Granger 8' Running Jump Shot71
76.5%
64
23.5%
Q3 - 3:41MIAWright 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)71
78.8%
64
21.2%
Q3 - 4:04INDGranger 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Diener 3 AST)71
80.5%
62
19.5%
Q3 - 4:13MIAWade 19' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)69
78.1%
62
21.9%
Q3 - 4:23MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)69
80.5%
60
19.5%
Q3 - 4:25INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
81.5%
60
18.5%
Q3 - 4:36INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
83.5%
60
16.5%
Q3 - 4:37MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
82.7%
60
17.3%
Q3 - 4:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
80.6%
60
19.4%
Q3 - 4:43INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
81.5%
60
18.5%
Q3 - 4:59MIABlount 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T14)69
83.6%
60
16.4%
Q3 - 5:11INDRush P.FOUL (P1.T2)69
60
Q3 - 5:22MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)69
60
Q3 - 5:23INDDiener 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)69
79.3%
60
20.7%
Q3 - 5:30INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
73.7%
60
26.3%
Q3 - 5:31INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
71.1%
60
28.9%
Q3 - 5:41INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
73.7%
60
26.3%
Q3 - 5:42MIAMISS Blount 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
72.6%
60
27.4%
Q3 - 6:01INDDunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Diener 2 AST)66
69.2%
60
30.8%
Q3 - 6:19MIABlount Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)63
62.3%
60
37.7%
Q3 - 6:26INDGranger P.FOUL (P1.T1)63
58
Q3 - 6:30MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
65.7%
58
34.3%
Q3 - 6:32INDMISS Diener 19' Jump Shot63
66.9%
58
33.1%
Q3 - 6:47MIAHaslem 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS)63
69.5%
58
30.5%
Q3 - 7:05INDGranger 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS)63
71.3%
56
28.7%
Q3 - 7:17MIABlount Driving Dunk (7 PTS)61
68.2%
56
31.8%
Q3 - 7:36INDDunleavy Foul Turnover (P3.T10)61
71.4%
54
28.6%
Q3 - 7:36INDDunleavy OFF.Foul (P3)61
54
Q3 - 7:47MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)61
74.6%
54
25.4%
Q3 - 7:59INDMurphy Driving Layup (9 PTS)61
77.3%
52
22.7%
Q3 - 8:21MIAWilliams 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)59
74.0%
52
26.0%
Q3 - 8:42INDMurphy 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Diener 1 AST)59
76.6%
50
23.4%
Q3 - 8:57MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)57
74.0%
50
26.0%
Q3 - 9:06MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)57
70.3%
50
29.7%
Q3 - 9:07INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
71.3%
50
28.7%
Q3 - 9:13INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
73.4%
50
26.6%
Q3 - 9:14MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot57
72.5%
50
27.5%
Q3 - 9:39INDWilliams STEAL (2 STL)57
70.3%
50
29.7%
Q3 - 9:53MIABlount Layup (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)57
73.4%
50
26.6%
Q3 - 10:11MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
75.2%
48
24.8%
Q3 - 10:12INDMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
76.1%
48
23.9%
Q3 - 10:22INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
77.9%
48
22.1%
Q3 - 10:24MIAMISS Williams 6' Jump Shot57
77.1%
48
22.9%
Q3 - 10:40INDWilliams STEAL (1 STL)57
75.3%
48
24.7%
Q3 - 10:56MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)57
48
Q3 - 10:56MIAJump Ball Wade vs. Granger: Tip to Murphy57
77.9%
48
22.1%
Q3 - 11:00MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)57
75.3%
48
24.7%
Q3 - 11:05INDMISS Rush 19' Jump Shot57
75.4%
48
24.6%
Q3 - 11:24MIAHaslem 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T11)57
77.3%
48
22.7%
Q3 - 11:40INDGranger Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)57
74.6%
48
25.4%
Q3 - 12:0057
48
Q2 - 0:00.0IND57
77.3%
48
22.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0INDPacers Rebound57
77.3%
48
22.7%
Q2 - 0:02.0INDMISS Owens 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
74.9%
48
25.1%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIADavis Layup (2 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)57
76.2%
48
23.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIASUB: Davis FOR Wade57
46
Q2 - 0:29.0INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)57
79.2%
46
20.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)56
78.7%
46
21.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAHaslem L.B.FOUL (P2.PN)55
46
Q2 - 0:31.0INDPacers Rebound55
76.3%
46
23.7%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
75.7%
46
24.3%
Q2 - 0:46.0INDDaniels Driving Layup (4 PTS)55
74.4%
46
25.6%
Q2 - 1:00MIAWright 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)53
71.1%
46
28.9%
Q2 - 1:22INDGranger Driving Layup (7 PTS)53
73.9%
44
26.1%
Q2 - 1:45MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)51
70.5%
44
29.5%
Q2 - 2:06INDOwens 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)51
75.2%
41
24.8%
Q2 - 2:12MIAWade Driving Layup (10 PTS)48
70.2%
41
29.8%
Q2 - 2:30MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)48
72.8%
39
27.2%
Q2 - 2:31INDMISS Granger 20' Jump Shot48
73.6%
39
26.4%
Q2 - 2:35INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
75.3%
39
24.7%
Q2 - 2:37MIAMISS Cook 16' Jump Shot48
74.6%
39
25.4%
Q2 - 2:43INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)48
39
Q2 - 2:47MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
72.8%
39
27.2%
Q2 - 2:48INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
73.6%
39
26.4%
Q2 - 3:25INDOwens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
75.0%
39
25.0%
Q2 - 3:26MIAMISS Wright 16' Jump Shot48
74.1%
39
25.9%
Q2 - 3:35INDMurphy 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS)48
72.2%
39
27.8%
Q2 - 3:47MIAWade Driving Layup (8 PTS)46
70.0%
39
30.0%
Q2 - 4:03MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)46
71.6%
37
28.4%
Q2 - 4:05INDSUB: Rush FOR Dunleavy46
37
Q2 - 4:05INDMISS Owens Free Throw 1 of 146
72.0%
37
28.0%
Q2 - 4:05MIASUB: Wright FOR Barron46
37
Q2 - 4:05MIASUB: Cook FOR Davis46
37
Q2 - 4:05MIAWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T4)46
37
Q2 - 4:05INDOwens 9' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)46
37
Q2 - 4:10MIABarron Driving Layup (10 PTS)44
69.2%
37
30.8%
Q2 - 4:18MIABarron REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)44
71.6%
35
28.4%
Q2 - 4:19INDMISS Daniels 19' Jump Shot44
72.4%
35
27.6%
Q2 - 4:34INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
74.2%
35
25.8%
Q2 - 4:35INDMISS Granger 18' Jump Shot44
72.5%
35
27.5%
Q2 - 4:44INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
74.2%
35
25.8%
Q2 - 4:46MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot44
73.5%
35
26.5%
Q2 - 5:03INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)44
71.3%
35
28.7%
Q2 - 5:03INDPacers Rebound43
35
Q2 - 5:03INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 1 of 243
70.8%
35
29.2%
Q2 - 5:03MIAWade S.FOUL (P2.T3)43
35
Q2 - 5:10INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
71.2%
35
28.8%
Q2 - 5:11MIAMISS Davis 7' Jump Shot43
70.5%
35
29.5%
Q2 - 5:23MIASUB: Wade FOR Wright43
35
Q2 - 5:23INDSUB: Daniels FOR Rush43
35
Q2 - 5:2343
35
Q2 - 5:31INDGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Owens 4 AST)43
68.8%
35
31.2%
Q2 - 5:43MIAHaslem 8' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)40
63.4%
35
36.6%
Q2 - 5:55MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)40
66.2%
33
33.8%
Q2 - 5:56INDMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
67.0%
33
33.0%
Q2 - 6:02MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)40
68.3%
33
31.7%
Q2 - 6:20MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
65.3%
33
34.7%
Q2 - 6:22MIAMISS Barron Tip Shot40
67.4%
33
32.6%
Q2 - 6:23MIABarron REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)40
65.3%
33
34.7%
Q2 - 6:24MIAMISS Barron Tip Shot40
67.4%
33
32.6%
Q2 - 6:25MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)40
65.3%
33
34.7%
Q2 - 6:28MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup40
67.4%
33
32.6%
Q2 - 6:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)40
65.4%
33
34.6%
Q2 - 6:38INDMISS Rush 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
66.3%
33
33.7%
Q2 - 6:45INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
68.3%
33
31.7%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot40
67.5%
33
32.5%
Q2 - 7:02MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)40
65.2%
33
34.8%
Q2 - 7:03INDMISS Owens 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
66.0%
33
34.0%
Q2 - 7:12MIASUB: Haslem FOR Blount40
33
Q2 - 7:12INDSUB: Murphy FOR Foster40
33
Q2 - 7:12MIASUB: Williams FOR Quinn40
33
Q2 - 7:12MIAQuinn P.FOUL (P2.T2)40
33
Q2 - 7:18MIABarron Layup (8 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)40
67.8%
33
32.2%
Q2 - 7:39INDGranger 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Owens 3 AST)40
70.1%
31
29.9%
Q2 - 7:50MIAWright Dunk (4 PTS) (Barron 1 AST)38
67.8%
31
32.2%
Q2 - 7:53INDBarron STEAL (1 STL)38
70.1%
29
29.9%
Q2 - 7:56INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
72.6%
29
27.4%
Q2 - 7:58MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot38
71.8%
29
28.2%
Q2 - 8:13INDDunleavy Foul Turnover (P1.T5)38
69.4%
29
30.6%
Q2 - 8:13INDDunleavy OFF.Foul (P2)38
29
Q2 - 8:22MIABarron 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
71.7%
29
28.3%
Q2 - 8:44INDSUB: Dunleavy FOR Shaw. Williams38
27
Q2 - 8:44INDShaw. Williams L.B.FOUL (P3.T1)38
27
Q2 - 8:47INDFoster Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)38
74.0%
27
26.0%
Q2 - 9:01MIABarron Foul Turnover (P1.T9)38
75.3%
27
24.7%
Q2 - 9:01MIABarron OFF.Foul (P2)38
27
Q2 - 9:10MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)38
27
Q2 - 9:16INDShaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Owens 2 AST)38
73.2%
27
26.8%
Q2 - 9:26INDOwens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
68.8%
27
31.2%
Q2 - 9:27MIAMISS Barron 19' Jump Shot35
68.1%
27
31.9%
Q2 - 9:41INDFoster Foul Turnover (P1.T3)35
66.4%
27
33.6%
Q2 - 9:41INDFoster OFF.Foul (P1)35
27
Q2 - 9:44MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)35
68.8%
27
31.2%
Q2 - 10:01INDQuinn STEAL (1 STL)35
65.9%
27
34.1%
Q2 - 10:09MIASUB: Blount FOR Haslem35
27
Q2 - 10:09MIASUB: Wright FOR Wade35
27
Q2 - 10:09MIABarron P.FOUL (P1.T1)35
27
Q2 - 10:13INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
68.3%
27
31.7%
Q2 - 10:15MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot35
67.6%
27
32.4%
Q2 - 10:43INDFoster Layup (4 PTS) (Rush 3 AST)35
66.0%
27
34.0%
Q2 - 10:55MIAQuinn 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
63.7%
27
36.3%
Q2 - 11:15INDRush 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Foster 1 AST)33
65.4%
25
34.6%
Q2 - 11:26MIABarron 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)30
60.7%
25
39.3%
Q2 - 11:42INDOwens Driving Layup (4 PTS)30
63.1%
23
36.9%
Q2 - 12:0028
23
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA28
60.7%
23
39.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0INDOwens Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)28
57.8%
23
42.2%
Q1 - 0:14.0MIAHaslem 4' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)28
59.6%
23
40.4%
Q1 - 0:35.0MIADavis Violation:Defensive Goaltending28
21
Q1 - 0:35.0INDDaniels Layup (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)28
62.6%
21
37.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
59.7%
21
40.3%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
60.3%
20
39.7%
Q1 - 0:44.0INDDaniels S.FOUL (P2.PN)26
19
Q1 - 0:44.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)26
62.6%
19
37.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
63.8%
19
36.2%
Q1 - 1:01INDOwens Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
62.1%
19
37.9%
Q1 - 1:01INDOwens Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
61.6%
19
38.4%
Q1 - 1:01MIAQuinn P.FOUL (P1.PN)24
19
Q1 - 1:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
59.2%
19
40.8%
Q1 - 1:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
59.6%
18
40.4%
Q1 - 1:13INDShaw. Williams S.FOUL (P2.PN)24
17
Q1 - 1:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
62.1%
17
37.9%
Q1 - 1:20MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot24
63.2%
17
36.8%
Q1 - 1:32INDDaniels P.FOUL (P1.T4)24
17
Q1 - 1:32MIAHEAT Rebound24
62.2%
17
37.8%
Q1 - 1:33MIAMISS Davis 3PT Jump Shot24
63.2%
17
36.8%
Q1 - 1:51INDFoster Layup (2 PTS) (Daniels 2 AST)24
62.2%
17
37.8%
Q1 - 2:02INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
59.0%
17
41.0%
Q1 - 2:03MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot22
58.4%
17
41.6%
Q1 - 2:21INDShaw. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)22
57.2%
17
42.8%
Q1 - 2:45MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
52.2%
17
47.8%
Q1 - 2:45MIAHEAT Rebound19
16
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 219
52.6%
16
47.4%
Q1 - 2:45INDShaw. Williams S.FOUL (P1.T3)19
16
Q1 - 2:54MIASUB: Barron FOR Williams19
16
Q1 - 2:54MIASUB: Quinn FOR Blount19
16
Q1 - 2:54INDSUB: Daniels FOR Rush19
16
Q1 - 2:54INDSUB: Foster FOR Murphy19
16
Q1 - 2:54INDPacers Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)19
16
Q1 - 3:08INDDunleavy Driving Dunk (16 PTS)19
52.4%
16
47.6%
Q1 - 3:19INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
50.1%
16
49.9%
Q1 - 3:20MIAMISS Haslem 8' Jump Shot17
49.4%
16
50.6%
Q1 - 3:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
47.9%
16
52.1%
Q1 - 3:33INDMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
48.5%
16
51.5%
Q1 - 3:40INDShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
50.1%
16
49.9%
Q1 - 3:41MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot17
49.4%
16
50.6%
Q1 - 4:05INDDunleavy Layup (14 PTS) (Owens 1 AST)17
47.4%
16
52.6%
Q1 - 4:10INDOwens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
45.5%
16
54.5%
Q1 - 4:11MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot15
44.8%
16
55.2%
Q1 - 4:16MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
43.3%
16
56.7%
Q1 - 4:17INDMISS Owens 6' Jump Shot15
44.0%
16
56.0%
Q1 - 4:33MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)15
45.5%
16
54.5%
Q1 - 4:55INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)15
47.4%
14
52.6%
Q1 - 4:55INDSUB: Owens FOR Granger14
14
Q1 - 4:55INDSUB: Shaw. Williams FOR Diener14
14
Q1 - 4:55INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)14
47.1%
14
52.9%
Q1 - 4:55MIASUB: Davis FOR Wright13
14
Q1 - 4:55MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T4)13
14
Q1 - 4:58MIABlount Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)13
45.5%
14
54.5%
Q1 - 5:10INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)13
43.3%
14
56.7%
Q1 - 5:10INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)12
43.0%
14
57.0%
Q1 - 5:10MIAWright P.FOUL (P2.T3)11
14
Q1 - 5:14MIAHaslem P.FOUL (P1.T2)11
14
Q1 - 5:32MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)11
41.7%
14
58.3%
Q1 - 5:47MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
43.4%
12
56.6%
Q1 - 5:48INDMISS Diener 17' Jump Shot11
44.0%
12
56.0%
Q1 - 5:52INDPacers Rebound11
45.5%
12
54.5%
Q1 - 5:53INDMISS Diener 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
44.0%
12
56.0%
Q1 - 6:02INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
45.3%
12
54.7%
Q1 - 6:03MIAMISS Blount 17' Jump Shot11
44.7%
12
55.3%
Q1 - 6:11MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)11
43.5%
12
56.5%
Q1 - 6:12INDMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot11
44.0%
12
56.0%
Q1 - 6:24MIAWilliams 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
45.3%
12
54.7%
Q1 - 6:28MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
47.0%
10
53.0%
Q1 - 6:30INDMISS Granger Driving Layup11
47.6%
10
52.4%
Q1 - 6:37MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS)11
48.9%
10
51.1%
Q1 - 6:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
50.5%
8
49.5%
Q1 - 6:52INDMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot11
51.0%
8
49.0%
Q1 - 7:03INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
52.2%
8
47.8%
Q1 - 7:04MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 211
51.9%
8
48.1%
Q1 - 7:04MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
50.8%
8
49.2%
Q1 - 7:04INDDunleavy S.FOUL (P1.T2)11
7
Q1 - 7:11MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)11
7
Q1 - 7:15INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)11
51.9%
7
48.1%
Q1 - 7:15INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)10
51.6%
7
48.4%
Q1 - 7:15MIAWright S.FOUL (P1.T1)9
7
Q1 - 7:16INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
50.4%
7
49.6%
Q1 - 7:17INDWright BLOCK (1 BLK)9
49.1%
7
50.9%
Q1 - 7:21MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)9
50.4%
7
49.6%
Q1 - 7:45INDDunleavy Layup (6 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)9
48.4%
7
51.6%
Q1 - 7:59MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)7
47.0%
7
53.0%
Q1 - 8:01MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)7
45.3%
7
54.7%
Q1 - 8:02INDMISS Murphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
45.8%
7
54.2%
Q1 - 8:13MIAHaslem 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)7
46.8%
7
53.2%
Q1 - 8:26INDDunleavy 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)7
48.3%
5
51.7%
Q1 - 8:40MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
46.8%
5
53.2%
Q1 - 8:40INDMurphy S.FOUL (P1.T1)5
4
Q1 - 8:40MIABlount 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)5
4
Q1 - 8:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
49.5%
2
50.5%
Q1 - 8:52INDMISS Rush 19' Jump Shot5
49.9%
2
50.1%
Q1 - 9:02MIABlount 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)5
50.5%
2
49.5%
Q1 - 9:18INDDiener 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rush 2 AST)5
49.2%
2
50.8%
Q1 - 9:26MIAWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)2
46.7%
2
53.3%
Q1 - 9:33MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
45.7%
2
54.3%
Q1 - 9:35INDMISS Diener 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
46.0%
2
54.0%
Q1 - 9:45INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
46.7%
2
53.3%
Q1 - 9:46MIAMISS Blount 6' Jump Shot2
46.4%
2
53.6%
Q1 - 10:02MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
45.7%
2
54.3%
Q1 - 10:03INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
46.0%
2
54.0%
Q1 - 10:12MIAWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)2
46.6%
2
53.4%
Q1 - 10:25INDDunleavy Layup (2 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)2
45.7%
2
54.3%
Q1 - 10:34INDRush REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.1%
2
54.9%
Q1 - 10:35MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot0
44.9%
2
55.1%
Q1 - 10:53MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.7%
2
55.3%
Q1 - 10:54INDMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot0
44.9%
2
55.1%
Q1 - 11:01INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.3%
2
54.7%
Q1 - 11:02MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot0
45.2%
2
54.8%
Q1 - 11:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.1%
2
54.9%
Q1 - 11:14INDMISS Dunleavy 8' Running Hook Shot0
45.2%
2
54.8%
Q1 - 11:28MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)0
45.6%
2
54.4%
Q1 - 11:37MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.9%
0
54.1%
Q1 - 11:38INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
46.0%
0
54.0%
Q1 - 11:44MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
46.1%
0
53.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Blount vs. Murphy: Tip to Williams0
46.0%
0
54.0%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventINDMIA
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.05 52.7%
MIA
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
16
22
73%
MIA
17
22
77%
Midrange
IND
10
28
36%
MIA
22
49
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
9
13.5
30
30%
45%
MIA
2
3.0
12
17%
25%
Free Throws
IND
17
19
89%
MIA
14
16
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Dunleavy2569%12.5 / 18
D. Granger1341%6.5 / 16
A. Owens1359%6.5 / 11
K. Rush1238%6.0 / 16
T. Murphy950%4.5 / 9
T. Diener850%4.0 / 8
J. Foster675%3.0 / 4
S. Williams6100%3.0 / 3
M. Daniels450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3570%17.5 / 25
M. Blount1963%9.5 / 15
D. Wright1464%7.0 / 11
U. Haslem1255%6.0 / 11
E. Barron1063%5.0 / 8
J. Williams422%2.0 / 9
R. Davis214%1.0 / 7
C. Quinn250%1.0 / 2
D. Cook0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
78
+11
-19
89
MIA
83
+10
-16
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.05 52.7%
MIA
1.05 52.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.8
100.2
IND 99.0
MIA 99.0 +0.0
Pace
98.0
90.5
IND 109.0 +19.4
MIA 89.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.1
16.3
IND 13.2 −2.9
MIA 16.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.8%
48.2%
IND 49.4%
MIA 50.6% +1.2%
TO %
15.0%
15.4%
IND 17.7%
MIA 15.9% −1.8%
ORB %
24.4%
22.2%
IND 19.0% +0.6%
MIA 18.4%
FTrt
29.2
30.0
IND 23.8 +4.5
MIA 19.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
58.5%
IND 54.3%
MIA 61.0% +6.7%
STL %
7.7%
7.9%
IND 8.2%
MIA 10.1% +1.9%
BLK %
7.9%
7.1%
IND 1.4%
MIA 6.0% +4.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
50.6%
IND 52.7%
MIA 52.7%
Rim FG%
58.0%
59.2%
IND 72.7%
MIA 77.3% +4.6%
Mid FG%
38.9%
38.8%
IND 35.7%
MIA 44.9% +9.2%
3P %
37.4%
35.8%
IND 30.0% +13.3%
MIA 16.7%
FT %
76.8%
72.7%
IND 89.5% +2.0%
MIA 87.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.0%
30.2%
IND 27.5% +1.0%
MIA 26.5%
Mid Att. %
40.1%
48.1%
IND 35.0% −24.0%
MIA 59.0%
3P Att. %
28.9%
21.7%
IND 37.5% +23.0%
MIA 14.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsINDMIA
Possessions9799
Possession Minutes21.426.5
Points9698
Rebounds3941
Assists1925
Steals810
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)34 (1)
Field Goals35-8041-83
At-the-Rim FG16-2217-22
Midrange FG10-2822-49
2-Point FG26-5039-71
3-Point FG9-302-12
Free Throws17-1914-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 215 · 27
41.1
12
38%
6
3
2
0
4
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
50%
2-10
20%
F · 6'9" 222 · 25
40.4
13
41%
5
0
1
1
1
3
0
5
2-2
100%
4-11
36%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 230 · 27
38.4
25
69%
6
3
1
0
4
4
1
5
8-8
100%
7-10
70%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 245 · 28
30.4
9
50%
10
1
1
0
2
1
4
6
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 26
22.3
8
50%
1
3
2
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-4
50%
G · 6'4" 200 · 27
25.8
13
59%
4
5
0
0
3
1
0
4
4-5
80%
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 31
17.6
6
75%
5
2
1
0
3
1
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 27
13.2
4
50%
0
2
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 22
10.9
6
100%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
2-2
100%
F · 6'9" 250 · 24
C · 7'0" 280 · 25
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26
#11 · G · 6'3" 188 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
96
53%
39
19
8
1
19
0
8
31
17-19
89%
26-50
52%
9-30
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.