Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Saturday, January 26, 2008

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	7	Hornets	27%	89	102
	3	Spurs	73%	97	78

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
Hornets	117.2	87	85.2
Spurs	90.7	86	87.9

Scoring Opportunities

NOH

+13

-10

SAS

+11

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH

1.13 56.7%

SAS

0.90 44.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	NOH	SAS
Q4 - 0:00.0	NOH		102	78
Q4 - 0:24.0	SAS	Udoka 15' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)	102	78
Q4 - 0:37.0	NOH	Ely 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)	102	76
Q4 - 0:48.0	NOH	Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	100	76
Q4 - 0:49.0	SAS	MISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot	100	76
Q4 - 1:01	SAS	Vaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	100	76
Q4 - 1:03	NOH	MISS Wright 16' Jump Shot	100	76
Q4 - 1:15	SAS	Richardson 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Vaughn 3 AST)	100	76
Q4 - 1:26	SAS	Elson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	100	74
Q4 - 1:30	NOH	MISS Ely 6' Running Jump Shot	100	74
Q4 - 1:43	SAS	Vaughn P.FOUL (P3.T4)	100	74
Q4 - 1:54	SAS	Vaughn Foul Turnover (P2.T11)	100	74
Q4 - 1:54	SAS	Vaughn OFF.Foul (P2)	100	74
Q4 - 2:01	NOH	Armstrong Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	100	74
Q4 - 2:01	NOH	Armstrong Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	99	74
Q4 - 2:01	NOH	Hornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)	98	74
Q4 - 2:01	SAS	Elson S.FOUL (P1.T3)	98	74
Q4 - 2:01	NOH	Armstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	98	74
Q4 - 2:03	NOH	MISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot	98	74
Q4 - 2:22	SAS	Udoka 1' Reverse Layup (11 PTS)	98	74
Q4 - 2:36	SAS	Udoka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	98	72
Q4 - 2:38	NOH	MISS Butler 17' Jump Shot	98	72
Q4 - 2:48	NOH	Wright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	98	72
Q4 - 2:50	SAS	MISS Elson 8' Jump Shot	98	72
Q4 - 2:53	SAS	Elson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	98	72
Q4 - 2:56	SAS	MISS Vaughn 20' Jump Shot	98	72
Q4 - 3:08	NOH	SUB: Ely FOR Paul	98	72
Q4 - 3:08	NOH	SUB: Butler FOR Chandler	98	72
Q4 - 3:08	NOH	SUB: Armstrong FOR West	98	72
Q4 - 3:08	NOH	SUB: Wright FOR Stojakovic	98	72
Q4 - 3:08	NOH	Hornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)	98	72
Q4 - 3:08	NOH	Hornets Rebound	98	72
Q4 - 3:08	NOH	MISS Paul 28' 3PT Jump Bank Shot	98	72
Q4 - 3:32	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	98	72
Q4 - 3:33	SAS	MISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot	98	72
Q4 - 3:55	NOH	Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)	98	72
Q4 - 4:11	SAS	Elson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)	95	72
Q4 - 4:34	NOH	Paul 17' Jump Shot (17 PTS)	95	70
Q4 - 4:46	SAS	SUB: Vaughn FOR Parker	93	70
Q4 - 4:46	SAS	SUB: Elson FOR Finley	93	70
Q4 - 4:46	SAS	SUB: Bonner FOR Duncan	93	70
Q4 - 4:46			93	70
Q4 - 4:46	SAS	Udoka P.FOUL (P3.T2)	93	70
Q4 - 5:01	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)	93	70
Q4 - 5:02	SAS	MISS Parker 19' Jump Shot	93	70
Q4 - 5:15	NOH	Paul 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)	93	70
Q4 - 5:47	SAS	Parker 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Udoka 1 AST)	91	70
Q4 - 6:09	NOH	Pargo 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stojakovic 1 AST)	91	68
Q4 - 6:25	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)	88	68
Q4 - 6:26	SAS	MISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot	88	68
Q4 - 6:39	SAS	Udoka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	88	68
Q4 - 6:40	NOH	MISS West Free Throw 1 of 1	88	68
Q4 - 6:40	NOH	SUB: Stojakovic FOR Bowen	88	68
Q4 - 6:40	SAS	Udoka S.FOUL (P2.T1)	88	68
Q4 - 6:40	NOH	West 15' Jump Shot (32 PTS)	88	68
Q4 - 6:53	SAS	Udoka 1' Layup (9 PTS)	86	68
Q4 - 6:58	SAS	Udoka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	86	66
Q4 - 7:00	SAS	MISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	86	66
Q4 - 7:15	SAS	SUB: Richardson FOR Ginobili	86	66
Q4 - 7:33	NOH	Bowen 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Paul 11 AST)	86	66
Q4 - 7:37	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	84	66
Q4 - 7:38	SAS	MISS Udoka 3PT Jump Shot	84	66
Q4 - 7:50	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	84	66
Q4 - 7:51	NOH	MISS Paul 24' 3PT Jump Shot	84	66
Q4 - 8:10	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)	84	66
Q4 - 8:11	SAS	MISS Duncan 7' Jump Shot	84	66
Q4 - 8:25	NOH	West 5' Jump Shot (30 PTS)	84	66
Q4 - 8:44	SAS	Ginobili Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)	82	66
Q4 - 9:01	NOH	Paul 14' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)	82	66
Q4 - 9:12	SAS	Udoka Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T9)	80	66
Q4 - 9:12	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	80	66
Q4 - 9:13	SAS	MISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot	80	66
Q4 - 9:37	NOH	Chandler 1' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Paul 10 AST)	80	66
Q4 - 9:47	NOH	Pargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	78	66
Q4 - 9:48	SAS	MISS Finley 20' Jump Shot	78	66
Q4 - 10:03	SAS	SUB: Finley FOR Horry	78	66
Q4 - 10:03	SAS	SUB: Parker FOR Vaughn	78	66
Q4 - 10:03	SAS	SUB: Duncan FOR Oberto	78	66
Q4 - 10:03	NOH	SUB: Bowen FOR Stojakovic	78	66
Q4 - 10:03	SAS	SPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)	78	66
Q4 - 10:03	NOH	West 12' Fadeaway Jumper (28 PTS)	78	66
Q4 - 10:16	NOH	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	76	66
Q4 - 10:18	SAS	MISS Horry 3PT Jump Shot	76	66
Q4 - 10:34	NOH	West 19' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Paul 9 AST)	76	66
Q4 - 10:43	SAS	Ginobili Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)	74	66
Q4 - 10:55	NOH	Paul 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS)	74	66
Q4 - 11:11	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)	72	66
Q4 - 11:12	SAS	MISS Horry 25' 3PT Jump Shot	72	66
Q4 - 11:19	SAS	Ginobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	72	66
Q4 - 11:22	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 21' Jump Shot	72	66
Q4 - 11:40	SAS	Udoka 13' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)	72	66
Q4 - 12:00			72	64
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS		72	64
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS	SPURS Rebound	72	64
Q3 - 0:00.0	SAS	MISS Ginobili 65' 3PT Hook Bank Shot	72	64
Q3 - 0:00.0	NOH	Pargo 24' 3PT Running Bank Shot (5 PTS)	72	64
Q3 - 0:05.0	NOH	Hornets Rebound	69	64
Q3 - 0:05.0	SAS	MISS Vaughn 11' Running Hook Shot	69	64
Q3 - 0:31.0	NOH	Paul 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)	69	64
Q3 - 0:40.0	SAS	Udoka 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)	67	64
Q3 - 0:48.0	NOH	Pargo P.FOUL (P1.T4)	67	61
Q3 - 1:02	NOH	West Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)	67	61
Q3 - 1:02	NOH	West Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)	66	61
Q3 - 1:02	SAS	SUB: Oberto FOR Duncan	65	61
Q3 - 1:02	SAS	Vaughn S.FOUL (P1.T3)	65	61
Q3 - 1:10	SAS	Horry Putback Slam Dunk (2 PTS)	65	61
Q3 - 1:22	SAS	Horry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	65	59
Q3 - 1:25	SAS	MISS Duncan 9' Jump Bank Shot	65	59
Q3 - 1:40	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)	65	59
Q3 - 1:42	NOH	MISS Pargo 3PT Jump Shot	65	59
Q3 - 1:55	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	65	59
Q3 - 1:56	SAS	MISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot	65	59
Q3 - 2:14	NOH	West 14' Step Back Jump Shot (22 PTS)	65	59
Q3 - 2:36	SAS	SUB: Udoka FOR Bowen	63	59
Q3 - 2:36	NOH	Hornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)	63	59
Q3 - 2:36	SAS	Vaughn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)	63	59
Q3 - 2:41	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	63	59
Q3 - 2:42	NOH	MISS Paul 6' Jump Shot	63	59
Q3 - 2:55	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	63	59
Q3 - 2:56	SAS	MISS Bowen 24' 3PT Jump Shot	63	59
Q3 - 3:12	SAS	SUB: Vaughn FOR Parker	63	59
Q3 - 3:12	NOH	Paul P.FOUL (P3.T3)	63	59
Q3 - 3:12	NOH	Parker STEAL (1 STL)	63	59
Q3 - 3:36	NOH	SUB: Pargo FOR Peterson	63	59
Q3 - 3:36	SAS	Parker P.FOUL (P1.T2)	63	59
Q3 - 3:36	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	63	59
Q3 - 3:36	SAS	MISS Duncan Layup	63	59
Q3 - 3:37	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	63	59
Q3 - 3:40	SAS	MISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Bank Shot	63	59
Q3 - 3:59	NOH	Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Peterson 2 AST)	63	59
Q3 - 4:26	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	60	59
Q3 - 4:27	SAS	MISS Parker 20' Jump Shot	60	59
Q3 - 4:42	NOH	West 16' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Paul 8 AST)	60	59
Q3 - 5:03	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)	58	59
Q3 - 5:05	SAS	MISS Ginobili 21' Jump Shot	58	59
Q3 - 5:16	SAS	Bowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	58	59
Q3 - 5:19	NOH	MISS Paul 17' Fadeaway Jumper	58	59
Q3 - 5:36	SAS	SUB: Horry FOR Oberto	58	59
Q3 - 5:36	SAS	SPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)	58	59
Q3 - 5:36	SAS	Oberto P.FOUL (P2.T1)	58	59
Q3 - 5:50	SAS	Ginobili 8' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)	58	59
Q3 - 6:02	NOH	Paul Foul Turnover (P3.T11)	58	57
Q3 - 6:02	NOH	Paul OFF.Foul (P2)	58	57
Q3 - 6:05	SAS	Parker 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)	58	57
Q3 - 6:29	NOH	Chandler 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Paul 7 AST)	58	55
Q3 - 6:42	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)	56	55
Q3 - 6:42	NOH	Chandler S.FOUL (P3.T2)	56	54
Q3 - 6:42	SAS	Duncan 10' Turnaround Bank Shot (16 PTS)	56	54
Q3 - 6:53	NOH	Stojakovic 18' Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS)	56	52
Q3 - 7:12	SAS	Ginobili Reverse Layup (9 PTS)	54	52
Q3 - 7:35	NOH	West 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Paul 6 AST)	54	50
Q3 - 7:39	NOH	Hornets Rebound	52	50
Q3 - 7:39	NOH	Duncan BLOCK (1 BLK)	52	50
Q3 - 7:55	SAS	Duncan 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)	52	50
Q3 - 8:05	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	52	48
Q3 - 8:06	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot	52	48
Q3 - 8:33	SAS	Parker 20' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)	52	48
Q3 - 8:46	NOH	Paul Foul Turnover (P2.T10)	52	46
Q3 - 8:46	NOH	Paul OFF.Foul (P1)	52	46
Q3 - 8:53	SAS	Parker Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)	52	46
Q3 - 8:53	SAS	SPURS Rebound	52	45
Q3 - 8:53	SAS	MISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 2	52	45
Q3 - 8:53	SAS	SUB: Ginobili FOR Finley	52	45
Q3 - 8:53	NOH	West S.FOUL (P2.T1)	52	45
Q3 - 9:16	NOH	Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Peterson 1 AST)	52	45
Q3 - 9:41	SAS	Parker 1' Running Layup (10 PTS)	49	45
Q3 - 10:02	NOH	Stojakovic 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Paul 5 AST)	49	43
Q3 - 10:11	NOH	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	46	43
Q3 - 10:12	SAS	MISS Bowen 14' Jump Shot	46	43
Q3 - 10:24	NOH	Bowen STEAL (1 STL)	46	43
Q3 - 10:43	NOH	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	46	43
Q3 - 10:45	SAS	MISS Duncan 17' Jump Bank Shot	46	43
Q3 - 11:05	NOH	West 1' Slam Dunk (16 PTS)	46	43
Q3 - 11:20	NOH	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	44	43
Q3 - 11:21	SAS	MISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot	44	43
Q3 - 11:39	NOH	West Layup (14 PTS) (Paul 4 AST)	44	43
Q3 - 12:00			42	43
Q2 - 0:00.0	NOH		42	43
Q2 - 0:00.0	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	42	43
Q2 - 0:01.0	SAS	MISS Parker 1' Layup	42	43
Q2 - 0:19.0	SAS	Finley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	42	43
Q2 - 0:20.0	NOH	MISS Paul 25' 3PT Jump Shot	42	43
Q2 - 0:36.0	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	42	43
Q2 - 0:36.0	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)	42	42
Q2 - 0:36.0	NOH	Armstrong S.FOUL (P2.T2)	42	41
Q2 - 0:39.0	NOH	SUB: Armstrong FOR Chandler	42	41
Q2 - 0:39.0	SAS	SPURS Rebound	42	41
Q2 - 0:39.0	SAS	MISS Ginobili Layup	42	41
Q2 - 0:51.0	NOH	Paul Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	42	41
Q2 - 0:51.0	NOH	Hornets Rebound	41	41
Q2 - 0:51.0	NOH	MISS Paul Free Throw 1 of 2	41	41
Q2 - 0:51.0	SAS	Ginobili P.FOUL (P1.PN)	41	41
Q2 - 0:54.0	NOH	Peterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	41	41
Q2 - 0:55.0	SAS	MISS Finley 25' 3PT Jump Shot	41	41
Q2 - 1:06	NOH	Duncan STEAL (1 STL)	41	41
Q2 - 1:13	SAS	Udoka L.B.FOUL (P1.T1)	41	41
Q2 - 1:13	NOH	Hornets Rebound	41	41
Q2 - 1:13	NOH	MISS Peterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot	41	41
Q2 - 1:26	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)	41	41
Q2 - 1:27	SAS	MISS Ginobili 14' Jump Shot	41	41
Q2 - 1:38	SAS	Udoka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	41	41
Q2 - 1:40	NOH	Ginobili BLOCK (1 BLK)	41	41
Q2 - 1:56	SAS	Ginobili 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)	41	41
Q2 - 2:03	SAS	SUB: Udoka FOR Oberto	41	39
Q2 - 2:03	SAS	SUB: Ginobili FOR Bowen	41	39
Q2 - 2:03	NOH	SUB: Stojakovic FOR Bowen	41	39
Q2 - 2:03	NOH	Hornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)	41	39
Q2 - 2:15	NOH	Peterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Paul 3 AST)	41	39
Q2 - 2:21	NOH	Bowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	38	39
Q2 - 2:22	SAS	MISS Parker 1' Layup	38	39
Q2 - 2:41	NOH	West 9' Jump Shot (12 PTS)	38	39
Q2 - 2:55	SAS	Finley 18' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)	36	39
Q2 - 3:22	NOH	Paul 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	36	37
Q2 - 3:51	SAS	Oberto 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)	34	37
Q2 - 4:19	NOH	Peterson 18' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)	34	35
Q2 - 4:45	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	32	35
Q2 - 4:46	SAS	MISS Parker 18' Jump Shot	32	35
Q2 - 5:00	NOH	Chandler Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)	32	35
Q2 - 5:21	NOH	SUB: Paul FOR Pargo	32	35
Q2 - 5:21	NOH	SUB: Peterson FOR Butler	32	35
Q2 - 5:21	SAS	SUB: Duncan FOR Horry	32	35
Q2 - 5:21			32	35
Q2 - 5:21	NOH	Hornets Rebound	32	35
Q2 - 5:21	SAS	MISS Finley 24' 3PT Jump Shot	32	35
Q2 - 5:28	SAS	Oberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	32	35
Q2 - 5:30	NOH	MISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot	32	35
Q2 - 5:43	SAS	Finley 13' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)	32	35
Q2 - 5:59	NOH	Bowen Putback Slam Dunk (2 PTS)	32	33
Q2 - 6:00	NOH	Bowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	30	33
Q2 - 6:03	NOH	Horry BLOCK (2 BLK)	30	33
Q2 - 6:07	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)	30	33
Q2 - 6:08	SAS	MISS Bowen 9' Jump Shot	30	33
Q2 - 6:28	NOH	SUB: West FOR Ely	30	33
Q2 - 6:28	NOH	Pargo Palming Turnover (P1.T6)	30	33
Q2 - 6:40	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	30	33
Q2 - 6:41	NOH	MISS Pargo 24' 3PT Jump Shot	30	33
Q2 - 6:45	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	30	33
Q2 - 6:46	NOH	MISS Ely 18' Jump Shot	30	33
Q2 - 6:57	NOH	Bowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	30	33
Q2 - 6:58	NOH	MISS Pargo 20' Jump Shot	30	33
Q2 - 7:16	SAS	Oberto 6' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)	30	33
Q2 - 7:29	SAS	SUB: Finley FOR Udoka	30	31
Q2 - 7:29	SAS	SUB: Parker FOR Vaughn	30	31
Q2 - 7:29	SAS	SUB: Bowen FOR Ginobili	30	31
Q2 - 7:29	SAS	SPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)	30	31
Q2 - 7:32	SAS	Oberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	30	31
Q2 - 7:34	NOH	MISS Chandler 7' Jump Bank Shot	30	31
Q2 - 7:50	NOH	Ely REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	30	31
Q2 - 7:52	SAS	MISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot	30	31
Q2 - 7:59	NOH	Udoka STEAL (1 STL)	30	31
Q2 - 8:07	SAS	Oberto Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)	30	31
Q2 - 8:23	SAS	Udoka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	30	31
Q2 - 8:25	SAS	MISS Udoka 1' Tip Shot	30	31
Q2 - 8:29	SAS	Udoka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	30	31
Q2 - 8:30	SAS	MISS Horry 3' Layup	30	31
Q2 - 8:33	SAS	Oberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	30	31
Q2 - 8:37	NOH	MISS Chandler 1' Alley Oop Layup	30	31
Q2 - 8:47	SAS	Udoka Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)	30	31
Q2 - 9:02	NOH	Chandler 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T4)	30	31
Q2 - 9:20	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	30	31
Q2 - 9:21	SAS	MISS Horry 1' Layup	30	31
Q2 - 9:51	NOH	Pargo 15' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)	30	31
Q2 - 10:06	SAS	Udoka 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horry 1 AST)	28	31
Q2 - 10:22	SAS	Vaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	28	29
Q2 - 10:24	NOH	Horry BLOCK (1 BLK)	28	29
Q2 - 10:43	SAS	Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)	28	29
Q2 - 10:43	SAS	Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)	28	28
Q2 - 10:43	NOH	SUB: Chandler FOR Armstrong	28	27
Q2 - 10:43	NOH	Butler S.FOUL (P1.T1)	28	27
Q2 - 10:56	NOH	Hornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)	28	27
Q2 - 10:56	NOH	Hornets Rebound	28	27
Q2 - 10:56	NOH	MISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Bank Shot	28	27
Q2 - 11:20	NOH	Ely REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	28	27
Q2 - 11:21	SAS	MISS Udoka 24' 3PT Jump Shot	28	27
Q2 - 11:34	NOH	Hornets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)	28	27
Q2 - 11:35	NOH	Hornets Rebound	28	27
Q2 - 11:36	NOH	MISS Pargo 26' 3PT Jump Shot	28	27
Q2 - 12:00			28	27
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAS		28	27
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAS	SPURS Rebound	28	27
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAS	MISS Udoka 52' 3PT Jump Shot	28	27
Q1 - 0:00.0	SAS	Udoka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	28	27
Q1 - 0:02.0	NOH	MISS West 8' Turnaround Jump Shot	28	27
Q1 - 0:27.0	NOH	Armstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	28	27
Q1 - 0:28.0	SAS	MISS Vaughn 1' Layup	28	27
Q1 - 0:38.0	SAS	Vaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	28	27
Q1 - 0:39.0	NOH	MISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot	28	27
Q1 - 0:58.0	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	28	27
Q1 - 0:59.0	SAS	MISS Ginobili 19' Jump Shot	28	27
Q1 - 1:21	NOH	West 14' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)	28	27
Q1 - 1:34	NOH	Stojakovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	26	27
Q1 - 1:35	SAS	MISS Ginobili 20' Jump Shot	26	27
Q1 - 1:56	SAS	Horry Violation:Defensive Goaltending	26	27
Q1 - 1:56	NOH	Stojakovic 1' Layup (8 PTS)	26	27
Q1 - 2:00	SAS	Ginobili Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)	24	27
Q1 - 2:06	NOH	Armstrong Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)	24	27
Q1 - 2:06	NOH	Armstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	24	27
Q1 - 2:07	SAS	MISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot	24	27
Q1 - 2:20	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	24	27
Q1 - 2:23	NOH	MISS Armstrong 6' Jump Shot	24	27
Q1 - 2:41	SAS	Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)	24	27
Q1 - 2:55	NOH	SUB: Butler FOR Peterson	24	24
Q1 - 2:55	SAS	SUB: Horry FOR Oberto	24	24
Q1 - 2:55	SAS	SUB: Udoka FOR Bowen	24	24
Q1 - 2:55	SAS	SUB: Vaughn FOR Parker	24	24
Q1 - 2:55	NOH	Hornets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)	24	24
Q1 - 2:55	SAS	SPURS Rebound	24	24
Q1 - 2:56	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 17' Jump Shot	24	24
Q1 - 3:12	SAS	Parker 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)	24	24
Q1 - 3:28	NOH	Paul Driving Layup (4 PTS)	24	22
Q1 - 3:36	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	22	22
Q1 - 3:37	SAS	MISS Bowen 3PT Jump Shot	22	22
Q1 - 3:45	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	22	22
Q1 - 3:46	NOH	MISS Paul 2' Layup	22	22
Q1 - 3:58	SAS	Parker 1' Layup (6 PTS)	22	22
Q1 - 4:01	SAS	Parker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	22	20
Q1 - 4:04	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 24' 3PT Jump Bank Shot	22	20
Q1 - 4:28	SAS	Duncan 9' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)	22	20
Q1 - 4:52	NOH	Stojakovic 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	22	18
Q1 - 5:05	NOH	Hornets Rebound	20	18
Q1 - 5:05	NOH	MISS West 9' Jump Shot	20	18
Q1 - 5:15	NOH	Armstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	20	18
Q1 - 5:16	SAS	MISS Parker 1' Layup	20	18
Q1 - 5:20	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	20	18
Q1 - 5:21	NOH	MISS Stojakovic 1' Layup	20	18
Q1 - 5:25	NOH	Paul REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	20	18
Q1 - 5:28	NOH	MISS Paul 10' Pullup Jump Shot	20	18
Q1 - 5:36	SAS	Parker 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)	20	18
Q1 - 5:51	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	20	16
Q1 - 5:53	NOH	MISS West 9' Jump Bank Shot	20	16
Q1 - 6:12	SAS	Oberto 5' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)	20	16
Q1 - 6:23	NOH	West 16' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)	20	14
Q1 - 6:39	SAS	Parker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)	18	14
Q1 - 6:45	SAS	SUB: Ginobili FOR Finley	18	14
Q1 - 6:45	SAS	SPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)	18	14
Q1 - 6:52	NOH	Paul 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)	18	14
Q1 - 7:02	SAS	Parker 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)	16	14
Q1 - 7:15	NOH	Stojakovic 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	16	12
Q1 - 7:33	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)	14	12
Q1 - 7:33	SAS	Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)	14	11
Q1 - 7:33	NOH	Armstrong S.FOUL (P1.T4)	14	10
Q1 - 7:48	NOH	West 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	14	10
Q1 - 8:01	NOH	West REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	12	10
Q1 - 8:03	SAS	MISS Parker 18' Jump Shot	12	10
Q1 - 8:23	NOH	West 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Paul 2 AST)	12	10
Q1 - 8:41	SAS	Duncan Dunk (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)	10	10
Q1 - 8:58	NOH	West 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Paul 1 AST)	10	8
Q1 - 9:11	SAS	Duncan Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)	8	8
Q1 - 9:28	SAS	Duncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8	6
Q1 - 9:30	NOH	MISS West 9' Jump Bank Shot	8	6
Q1 - 9:45	SAS	Oberto 12' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Finley 1 AST)	8	6
Q1 - 9:57	NOH	Peterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	8	4
Q1 - 9:57	NOH	Peterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	7	4
Q1 - 9:57	SAS	Oberto S.FOUL (P1.T1)	6	4
Q1 - 10:01	SAS	Oberto Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	6	4
Q1 - 10:08	NOH	SUB: Armstrong FOR Chandler	6	4
Q1 - 10:08	NOH	Chandler L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)	6	4
Q1 - 10:08	SAS	Oberto REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	6	4
Q1 - 10:08	SAS	MISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 2	6	4
Q1 - 10:08	SAS	SPURS Rebound	6	4
Q1 - 10:08	SAS	MISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 2	6	4
Q1 - 10:08	NOH	Chandler S.FOUL (P1.T2)	6	4
Q1 - 10:15	NOH	Stojakovic 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)	6	4
Q1 - 10:29	SAS	Oberto Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	4	4
Q1 - 10:29	SAS	Oberto Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	4	3
Q1 - 10:29	NOH	West S.FOUL (P1.T1)	4	2
Q1 - 10:44	NOH	Chandler 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)	4	2
Q1 - 11:05	SAS	Duncan 6' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS)	2	2
Q1 - 11:30	NOH	Chandler 1' Putback Dunk (2 PTS)	2	0
Q1 - 11:30	NOH	Chandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	0	0
Q1 - 11:30	NOH	MISS Peterson 1' Jump Shot	0	0
Q1 - 11:44	SAS	Duncan Foul Turnover (P1.T1)	0	0
Q1 - 11:44	SAS	Duncan OFF.Foul (P1)	0	0
Q1 - 12:00	SAS	Jump Ball Duncan vs. Chandler: Tip to Parker	0	0
Q1 - 12:00			0	0
Clock	Team	Event	NOH	SAS
			Score / WinProb

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

NOH

1.13 56.7%

SAS

0.90 44.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOH

58%

SAS

59%

Midrange

NOH

62%

SAS

49%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOH

10.5

35%

53%

SAS

3.0

10%

15%

Free Throws

NOH

78%

SAS

77%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. West	32	80%	16.0 / 20
P. Stojakovic	22	79%	11.0 / 14
C. Paul	17	50%	8.5 / 17
T. Chandler	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Pargo	8	44%	4.0 / 9
M. Peterson	7	70%	3.5 / 5
R. Bowen	4	100%	2.0 / 2
H. Armstrong	2	50%	1.0 / 2
M. Ely	2	25%	1.0 / 4
R. Butler	0	-	0.0 / 4
J. Wright	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
T. Duncan	17	57%	8.5 / 15
T. Parker	17	50%	8.5 / 17
I. Udoka	13	65%	6.5 / 10
M. Ginobili	11	42%	5.5 / 13
F. Oberto	10	100%	5.0 / 5
M. Finley	4	33%	2.0 / 6
R. Horry	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Richardson	2	33%	1.0 / 3
F. Elson	2	50%	1.0 / 2
B. Bowen	0	-	0.0 / 5
J. Vaughn	0	-	0.0 / 3
M. Bonner	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOH

+13

-10

SAS

+11

-11

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOH

1.13 56.7%

SAS

0.90 44.8%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	110.8 106.5	NOH 117.2 +26.5 SAS 90.7
Pace	90.5 89.5	NOH 85.2 SAS 87.9 +2.7
Avg. Poss. Time	15.9 16.5	NOH 16.9 SAS 16.4 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	51.2% 50.4%	NOH 58.6% +15.6% SAS 43.0%
TO %	12.4% 13.4%	NOH 13.3% SAS 11.5% −1.8%
ORB %	27.1% 23.4%	NOH 22.6% +3.6% SAS 19.0%
FTrt	25.1 27.6	NOH 11.1 SAS 16.5 +5.4
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	56.4% 58.5%	NOH 38.6% SAS 51.5% +12.9%
STL %	8.6% 7.1%	NOH 4.6% SAS 4.7% +0.1%
BLK %	6.4% 6.5%	NOH 5.1% SAS 6.6% +1.5%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	53.3% 52.8%	NOH 56.7% +11.9% SAS 44.8%
Rim FG%	58.2% 60.6%	NOH 57.9% SAS 59.1% +1.2%
Mid FG%	43.1% 40.4%	NOH 61.9% +13.3% SAS 48.6%
3P %	38.9% 36.9%	NOH 35.0% +25.0% SAS 10.0%
FT %	76.9% 76.1%	NOH 77.8% +0.9% SAS 76.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	29.6% 30.8%	NOH 23.5% SAS 27.8% +4.4%
Mid Att. %	46.5% 44.1%	NOH 51.9% SAS 46.8% −5.0%
3P Att. %	23.9% 25.1%	NOH 24.7% SAS 25.3% +0.6%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	NOH	SAS
Possessions	87	86
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	102	78
Rebounds	41	32
Assists	17	17
Steals	4	4
Blocks	3	4
Turnovers (Team)	10 (3)	11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	7 (6)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	34 (2)	24 (1)
Field Goals	44-81	33-79
At-the-Rim FG	11-19	13-22
Midrange FG	26-42	18-37
2-Point FG	37-61	31-59
3-Point FG	7-20	2-20
Free Throws	7-9	10-13
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

7 New Orleans Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 27	39.3	32	80%	7	1	0	1	1	2	0	7	2-3	67%	15-19	79%	0-0	-
Chris Paul G · 6'0" 175 · 23	38.2	17	50%	4	11	1	0	4	3	1	3	1-2	50%	8-13	62%	0-3	0%
Tyson Chandler C · 7'1" 240 · 25	32.8	8	57%	12	0	0	1	2	3	3	9	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Peja Stojakovic F · 6'10" 229 · 31	31.5	22	79%	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	0-0	-	5-8	63%	4-6	67%
Morris Peterson G · 6'7" 220 · 30	22.8	7	70%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%

Jannero Pargo G · 6'1" 185 · 28	22.3	8	44%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-6	33%
Hilton Armstrong F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23	15.2	2	50%	4	0	1	1	1	2	1	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ryan Bowen F · 6'9" 218 · 32	13.3	4	100%	3	0	2	0	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 29	12.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Melvin Ely C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30	8.7	2	25%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Julian Wright F · 6'8" 225 · 21	3.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Marcus Vinicius F · 6'8" 225 · 24
Bobby Jackson #8 · G · 6'1" 185 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
#1 · · 0'0" · 0	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	57%	41	17	4	3	10	0	7	34	7-9	78%	37-61	61%	7-20	35%

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7 New Orleans Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 27	39.3	32	80%	7	1	0	1	1	2	0	7	2-3	67%	15-19	79%	0-0	-
Chris Paul G · 6'0" 175 · 23	38.2	17	50%	4	11	1	0	4	3	1	3	1-2	50%	8-13	62%	0-3	0%
Tyson Chandler C · 7'1" 240 · 25	32.8	8	57%	12	0	0	1	2	3	3	9	0-0	-	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Peja Stojakovic F · 6'10" 229 · 31	31.5	22	79%	5	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	0-0	-	5-8	63%	4-6	67%
Morris Peterson G · 6'7" 220 · 30	22.8	7	70%	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	1-2	50%

Jannero Pargo G · 6'1" 185 · 28	22.3	8	44%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	2-6	33%
Hilton Armstrong F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23	15.2	2	50%	4	0	1	1	1	2	1	3	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Ryan Bowen F · 6'9" 218 · 32	13.3	4	100%	3	0	2	0	0	0	2	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-0	-
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 29	12.7	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-3	0%
Melvin Ely C-F · 6'10" 260 · 30	8.7	2	25%	2	0	0	0	1	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Julian Wright F · 6'8" 225 · 21	3.1	0	0%	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Marcus Vinicius F · 6'8" 225 · 24
Bobby Jackson #8 · G · 6'1" 185 · 35	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
#1 · · 0'0" · 0	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	102	57%	41	17	4	3	10	0	7	34	7-9	78%	37-61	61%	7-20	35%

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3 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Tim Duncan F · 6'11" 250 · 32	33.6	17	57%	8	1	1	1	1	1	1	7	5-7	71%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 26	30.6	17	50%	2	6	1	0	1	1	0	2	1-2	50%	8-15	53%	0-1	0%
Fabricio Oberto C · 6'10" 245 · 33	28.4	10	100%	4	0	0	0	2	2	1	3	2-2	100%	4-4	100%	0-0	-
Bruce Bowen F · 6'7" 200 · 37	23.9	0	0%	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-3	0%
Michael Finley G · 6'7" 225 · 35	21.1	4	33%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-3	0%

Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 30	26.9	11	42%	3	2	0	1	3	1	1	2	2-2	100%	3-8	38%	1-4	25%
Ime Udoka G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30	24.1	13	65%	7	1	1	0	2	3	3	4	0-0	-	5-6	83%	1-4	25%
Jacque Vaughn G · 6'1" 190 · 33	17.4	0	0%	3	3	0	0	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-
Robert Horry F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37	17.1	2	20%	1	1	0	2	0	0	1	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Jeremy Richardson G-F · 6'7" 195 · 24	7.3	2	33%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-2	0%
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 28	4.8	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
Francisco Elson C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32	4.8	2	50%	2	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Ian Mahinmi #28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Brent Barry #17 · G · 6'7" 210 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	78	45%	32	17	4	4	11	0	8	24	10-13	77%	31-59	53%	2-20	10%

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Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE