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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 26, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Hornets26%89102
3Spurs74%9778
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.4
39.3
34.9
32
79%
7
1
0
1
1
1
0
7
2-3
67%
15-19
7-15
79%
47%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.7
38.2
35.1
17
50%
4
11
1
2
0
4
1
3
1-2
50%
8-13
5-11
62%
47%
0-3
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 25.3
32.8
34.4
8
57%
12
0
0
1
1
2
3
9
0-0
-
4-7
5-9
57%
57%
0-0
-
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 30.6
31.5
31.2
22
79%
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
5-8
3-6
63%
45%
4-6
67%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.4
22.8
21.7
7
72%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.3
22.3
22.5
8
44%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-7
33%
41%
2-6
33%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.2
15.2
3.9
2
53%
4
0
1
0
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 32.2
13.3
13.6
4
100%
3
0
2
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
40%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.7
12.7
15.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
0-3
0%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29.7
8.7
16.1
2
25%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.7
3.1
3.4
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.7
3.1
0
0-0
45%
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.8
33.6
36.9
17
56%
8
1
1
1
1
1
1
7
5-7
71%
6-12
9-17
50%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.7
30.6
34.8
17
50%
2
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
8-15
7-14
53%
52%
0-1
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.9
28.4
16.2
10
102%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
4-4
1-3
100%
58%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.6
23.9
28.2
0
0%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-3
0%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.9
21.1
25.1
4
33%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
44%
0-3
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.5
26.9
32.8
11
43%
3
2
0
2
1
3
1
2
2-2
100%
3-8
4-8
38%
49%
1-4
25%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.5
24.1
17.1
13
65%
7
1
1
1
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
5-6
1-3
83%
49%
1-4
25%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.0
17.4
12.4
0
0%
3
3
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
45%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.4
17.1
10.7
2
20%
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
40%
0-2
0%
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 23.9
7.3
6.8
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.8
4.8
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
50%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.9
4.8
3.0
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.2
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.