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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
January 27, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Cavaliers37%9798
7Lakers63%10195
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 23.1
44
37
41
9
4
2
2
0
5
3
6
8-12
67%
15-27
8-17
56%
50%
1-5
20%
Larry Hughes
G · 6'5" 185 · 29.0
34
30
16
4
4
2
1
2
3
0
4
0-0
-
5-9
3-8
56%
40%
2-4
50%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 26.3
32
23
1
9
1
0
1
0
0
1
8
1-2
50%
0-4
4-8
0%
47%
0-0
-
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 32.6
29
29
16
11
3
0
1
0
1
6
5
4-6
67%
6-15
5-11
40%
48%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 33.0
16
10
4
3
3
2
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 21.9
31
27
10
2
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
3-3
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
43%
1-5
20%
Damon Jones
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.4
20
20
6
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
2-5
40%
Devin Brown
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.1
19
19
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 25.3
16
27
2
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
0-0
-
Donyell Marshall
F · 6'9" 245 · 34.7
6
0
0-1
46%
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 34.8
4
0
0-1
38%
Dwayne Jones
F-C · 6'11" 248 · 24.6
4
0
0-1
52%
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 24.2
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 22.2
Cedric Simmons
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 29.4
43
42
33
12
6
0
2
1
3
2
10
13-18
72%
10-20
8-17
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 28.2
39
35
14
9
4
0
1
1
3
1
8
4-6
67%
5-8
4-8
63%
52%
0-1
0%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.8
33
27
9
5
5
4
1
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
4-7
2-5
57%
49%
0-1
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 33.5
31
24
8
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
45%
0-5
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 25.9
30
23
6
6
2
0
1
1
0
2
4
0-3
0%
3-5
3-5
60%
53%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.2
22
26
8
4
2
1
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
55%
2-2
100%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 23.9
19
21
9
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
46%
1-1
100%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 25.0
18
23
8
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
1
4-6
67%
2-6
3-6
33%
53%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 27.2
5
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
DJ Mbenga
C · 7'0" 255 · 27.1
9
0
1-2
49%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.1
3
0
0-1
49%
Coby Karl
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.6
1
0
0-0
46%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 22.6
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 20.3
Chris Mihm
C · 7'0" 265 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.