Final Win Prob. pScore
1028%97
85
172%105
90
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo Nuggets
93.491100.3
DAL logo Mavericks
95.79486.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL85
90
Q4 - 0:02.0DENKleiza Driving Layup (10 PTS)85
90
Q4 - 0:08.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)83
90
Q4 - 0:08.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)83
89
Q4 - 0:08.0DENCamby P.FOUL (P2.PN)83
88
Q4 - 0:08.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)83
88
Q4 - 0:08.0DENSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)83
88
Q4 - 0:08.0DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
88
Q4 - 0:11.0DENTerry BLOCK (1 BLK)83
88
Q4 - 0:17.0DENNuggets Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 2)83
88
Q4 - 0:17.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)83
88
Q4 - 0:17.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)83
87
Q4 - 0:17.0DENKleiza P.FOUL (P5.PN)83
86
Q4 - 0:18.0DENCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)83
86
Q4 - 0:22.0DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Najera80
86
Q4 - 0:22.0DENNuggets Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 1)80
86
Q4 - 0:22.0DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)80
86
Q4 - 0:22.0DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)80
85
Q4 - 0:22.0DENSmith P.FOUL (P3.PN)80
84
Q4 - 0:28.0DENSUB: Najera FOR Kleiza80
84
Q4 - 0:28.0DALSUB: Bass FOR Diop80
84
Q4 - 0:28.0DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 1)80
84
Q4 - 0:28.0DENKleiza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Iverson 9 AST)80
84
Q4 - 0:34.0DENSUB: Smith FOR Martin77
84
Q4 - 0:34.0DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)77
84
Q4 - 0:34.0DALMAVERICKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)77
84
Q4 - 0:58.0DENMartin Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Carter 2 AST)77
84
Q4 - 1:03DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)75
84
Q4 - 1:04DALMISS Howard Layup75
84
Q4 - 1:25DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)75
84
Q4 - 1:26DENMISS Kleiza 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
84
Q4 - 1:33DENCamby REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)75
84
Q4 - 1:34DENMISS Camby Layup75
84
Q4 - 1:46DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)75
84
Q4 - 2:00DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)75
82
Q4 - 2:00DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)74
82
Q4 - 2:00DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P5.T4)73
82
Q4 - 2:14DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)73
82
Q4 - 2:14DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)73
81
Q4 - 2:14DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)73
80
Q4 - 2:14DENCarter P.FOUL (P1.PN)73
80
Q4 - 2:32DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)73
80
Q4 - 2:33DENMISS Carter 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
80
Q4 - 2:47DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Howard 5 AST)73
80
Q4 - 3:10DENCarter 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Iverson 8 AST)73
77
Q4 - 3:29DALNowitzki 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)70
77
Q4 - 3:52DENCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Iverson 7 AST)70
74
Q4 - 4:08DALTerry Driving Layup (17 PTS)67
74
Q4 - 4:24DENCarter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Iverson 6 AST)67
72
Q4 - 4:36DALTerry P.FOUL (P3.T3)64
72
Q4 - 4:36DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)64
72
Q4 - 4:52DENCarter 7' Driving Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Iverson 5 AST)64
72
Q4 - 5:10DALTerry Running Layup (15 PTS)62
72
Q4 - 5:15DENTerry STEAL (4 STL)62
70
Q4 - 5:33DALTerry Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)62
70
Q4 - 5:33DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)62
69
Q4 - 5:33DENMartin S.FOUL (P3.T4)62
68
Q4 - 5:49DENTerry STEAL (3 STL)62
68
Q4 - 5:56DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)62
68
Q4 - 5:57DALMISS Howard 19' Jump Shot62
68
Q4 - 6:06DENSUB: Camby FOR Najera62
68
Q4 - 6:06DALSUB: Howard FOR Bass62
68
Q4 - 6:06DENKleiza P.FOUL (P4.T3)62
68
Q4 - 6:24DENNajera 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Iverson 4 AST)62
68
Q4 - 6:32DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
68
Q4 - 6:33DALMISS Terry 19' Jump Shot59
68
Q4 - 6:51DALDiop REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)59
68
Q4 - 6:52DALMISS Terry 17' Jump Shot59
68
Q4 - 7:15DALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
68
Q4 - 7:17DENMISS Martin 15' Jump Shot59
68
Q4 - 7:34DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
68
Q4 - 7:35DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot59
68
Q4 - 7:53DENSUB: Carter FOR Smith59
68
Q4 - 7:53DALSUB: Terry FOR Harris59
68
Q4 - 7:53DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)59
68
Q4 - 7:53DENKleiza L.B.FOUL (P3.T2)59
68
Q4 - 7:53DALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
68
Q4 - 7:53DENMISS Kleiza 15' Jump Shot59
68
Q4 - 7:58DENMartin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)59
68
Q4 - 7:59DENMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
68
Q4 - 8:11DALHarris Driving Layup (6 PTS)59
68
Q4 - 8:16DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
66
Q4 - 8:18DENDiop BLOCK (2 BLK)59
66
Q4 - 8:35DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Bass 2 AST)59
66
Q4 - 8:51DALSUB: Diop FOR Barea59
64
Q4 - 8:51DALSUB: Harris FOR Terry59
64
Q4 - 8:51DALSUB: Jones FOR Howard59
64
Q4 - 8:5159
64
Q4 - 8:51DENMartin P.FOUL (P2.T1)59
64
Q4 - 9:12DENSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Najera 3 AST)59
64
Q4 - 9:25DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)56
64
Q4 - 9:27DALMISS Barea 7' Driving Jump Shot56
64
Q4 - 9:51DALMAVERICKS Rebound56
64
Q4 - 9:52DENBass BLOCK (2 BLK)56
64
Q4 - 9:55DENSUB: Martin FOR Camby56
64
Q4 - 10:04DALBass Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)56
64
Q4 - 10:22DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)56
62
Q4 - 10:22DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Dampier55
62
Q4 - 10:22DENNuggets Rebound55
62
Q4 - 10:22DENMISS Iverson Free Throw 1 of 255
62
Q4 - 10:22DALBarea S.FOUL (P2.T2)55
62
Q4 - 10:36DALHoward Layup (20 PTS)55
62
Q4 - 10:39DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
60
Q4 - 10:40DALMISS Barea 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
60
Q4 - 10:59DALDampier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
60
Q4 - 11:00DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot55
60
Q4 - 11:26DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
60
Q4 - 11:26DENMISS Iverson Free Throw 2 of 255
60
Q4 - 11:26DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)55
60
Q4 - 11:26DALBarea S.FOUL (P1.T1)54
60
Q4 - 11:28DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)54
60
Q4 - 11:40DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
60
Q4 - 11:41DENMISS Smith 5' Driving Jump Shot54
60
Q4 - 11:46DENNuggets Rebound54
60
Q4 - 11:47DENMISS Camby 4' Driving Jump Shot54
60
Q4 - 12:0054
60
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL54
60
Q3 - 0:02.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound54
60
Q3 - 0:03.0DENMISS Iverson 12' Step Back Jump Shot54
60
Q3 - 0:24.0DALTerry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)54
60
Q3 - 0:47.0DENCarter 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Iverson 3 AST)54
57
Q3 - 0:58.0DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
57
Q3 - 1:00DALMISS Terry Layup52
57
Q3 - 1:16DENSmith Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)52
57
Q3 - 1:29DALBarea Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)52
57
Q3 - 1:35DENTerry STEAL (2 STL)52
57
Q3 - 1:55DALBass 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)52
57
Q3 - 2:15DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
55
Q3 - 2:16DENMISS Iverson 14' Jump Shot52
55
Q3 - 2:27DENNajera REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
55
Q3 - 2:28DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot52
55
Q3 - 2:39DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
55
Q3 - 2:40DALMISS Barea Driving Layup52
55
Q3 - 2:58DENSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T12)52
55
Q3 - 2:58DENSmith OFF.Foul (P2)52
55
Q3 - 3:02DALHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)52
55
Q3 - 3:21DALSUB: Dampier FOR Hassell52
55
Q3 - 3:21DALSUB: Barea FOR Diop52
55
Q3 - 3:21DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)52
55
Q3 - 3:22DENCarter Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Iverson 2 AST)52
55
Q3 - 3:26DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)50
55
Q3 - 3:27DALMISS Terry 10' Jump Shot50
55
Q3 - 3:50DENIverson 20' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)50
55
Q3 - 4:00DENSUB: Najera FOR Kleiza48
55
Q3 - 4:00DENSUB: Smith FOR Martin48
55
Q3 - 4:00DALHassell Foul Turnover (P2.T12)48
55
Q3 - 4:00DALHassell OFF.Foul (P2)48
55
Q3 - 4:23DALDiop REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)48
55
Q3 - 4:25DENMISS Martin 20' Jump Shot48
55
Q3 - 4:45DALBass Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)48
55
Q3 - 4:59DALHassell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
53
Q3 - 5:00DENMISS Camby Driving Layup48
53
Q3 - 5:06DALBass Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)48
53
Q3 - 5:24DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)48
53
Q3 - 5:24DALTerry S.FOUL (P2.PN)47
53
Q3 - 5:24DENIverson 21' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)47
53
Q3 - 5:32DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)45
53
Q3 - 5:32DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)45
52
Q3 - 5:32DENCamby S.FOUL (P1.T2)45
51
Q3 - 5:52DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)45
51
Q3 - 5:52DALSUB: Bass FOR Nowitzki44
51
Q3 - 5:52DENNuggets Rebound44
51
Q3 - 5:52DENMISS Kleiza Free Throw 1 of 244
51
Q3 - 5:52DALSUB: Diop FOR Dampier44
51
Q3 - 5:52DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P4.PN)44
51
Q3 - 5:57DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)44
51
Q3 - 5:58DALMISS Hassell 19' Jump Shot44
51
Q3 - 6:17DALHoward Violation:Defensive Goaltending44
51
Q3 - 6:17DENCarter Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Kleiza 1 AST)44
51
Q3 - 6:22DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
51
Q3 - 6:24DALMISS Howard 21' Jump Shot42
51
Q3 - 6:46DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
51
Q3 - 6:47DENMISS Martin 6' Turnaround Hook Shot42
51
Q3 - 6:58DENNuggets Rebound42
51
Q3 - 6:58DENMISS Camby 7' Driving Jump Shot42
51
Q3 - 7:16DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)42
51
Q3 - 7:37DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)42
49
Q3 - 7:37DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)41
49
Q3 - 7:37DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)41
49
Q3 - 7:37DALSUB: Hassell FOR Jones40
49
Q3 - 7:37DALJones P.FOUL (P5.PN)40
49
Q3 - 7:40DALJones P.FOUL (P4.T4)40
49
Q3 - 7:40DALHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)40
49
Q3 - 7:57DENIverson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)40
49
Q3 - 7:57DENNuggets Rebound39
49
Q3 - 7:57DENMISS Iverson Free Throw 1 of 239
49
Q3 - 7:57DALJones S.FOUL (P3.T3)39
49
Q3 - 8:05DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)39
49
Q3 - 8:06DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
49
Q3 - 8:13DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)39
49
Q3 - 8:14DENMISS Kleiza 21' Jump Shot39
49
Q3 - 8:35DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)39
49
Q3 - 8:36DALMISS Terry 19' Jump Shot39
49
Q3 - 8:52DENCamby 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)39
49
Q3 - 9:04DALNowitzki Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)37
49
Q3 - 9:16DENDampier STEAL (1 STL)37
49
Q3 - 9:20DENMartin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)37
49
Q3 - 9:21DENMISS Iverson 16' Jump Shot37
49
Q3 - 9:34DALTerry 9' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)37
49
Q3 - 10:03DENIverson Driving Layup (11 PTS)37
47
Q3 - 10:08DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
47
Q3 - 10:09DALMISS Howard 13' Jump Shot35
47
Q3 - 10:17DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
47
Q3 - 10:19DENNowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)35
47
Q3 - 10:24DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
47
Q3 - 10:25DALMISS Howard 18' Turnaround Jump Shot35
47
Q3 - 10:49DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
47
Q3 - 10:49DENNuggets Rebound34
47
Q3 - 10:49DENMISS Kleiza Free Throw 1 of 234
47
Q3 - 10:49DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P3.T2)34
47
Q3 - 10:59DALSUB: Terry FOR Harris34
47
Q3 - 10:59DALHarris P.FOUL (P4.T1)34
47
Q3 - 11:17DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)34
47
Q3 - 11:37DENKleiza L.B.FOUL (P2.T1)34
45
Q3 - 11:37DENHarris STEAL (1 STL)34
45
Q3 - 11:39DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)34
45
Q3 - 12:0034
45
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL34
45
Q2 - 0:01.0DALDiop REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)34
45
Q2 - 0:02.0DENMISS Camby 3PT Jump Shot34
45
Q2 - 0:23.0DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)34
45
Q2 - 0:26.0DALMISS Terry 14' Jump Shot34
45
Q2 - 0:28.0DENCarter Violation:Kicked Ball34
45
Q2 - 0:44.0DENKleiza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)34
45
Q2 - 0:45.0DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)34
45
Q2 - 0:46.0DALMISS Barea 6' Jump Shot34
45
Q2 - 1:04DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)34
45
Q2 - 1:04DALSUB: Barea FOR Howard33
45
Q2 - 1:04DALSUB: Bass FOR Nowitzki33
45
Q2 - 1:04DENNuggets Rebound33
45
Q2 - 1:04DENMISS Kleiza Free Throw 1 of 233
45
Q2 - 1:04DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P2.PN)33
45
Q2 - 1:11DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)33
45
Q2 - 1:14DALMISS Terry 4' Jump Shot33
45
Q2 - 1:34DENCamby Layup (6 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)33
45
Q2 - 1:40DALHassell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)31
45
Q2 - 1:42DALHassell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
45
Q2 - 1:43DALMISS Howard 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
45
Q2 - 1:47DALMAVERICKS Rebound31
45
Q2 - 1:47DALMISS Hassell Layup31
45
Q2 - 2:04DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)31
45
Q2 - 2:06DENMISS Kleiza 5' Jump Hook Shot31
45
Q2 - 2:09DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)31
45
Q2 - 2:10DENMISS Carter 7' Jump Shot31
45
Q2 - 2:29DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)31
45
Q2 - 2:30DALMISS Terry Free Throw 2 of 231
45
Q2 - 2:30DENSUB: Carter FOR Smith31
45
Q2 - 2:30DALTerry Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)31
45
Q2 - 2:30DENSmith S.FOUL (P1.T3)31
44
Q2 - 2:33DENDiop STEAL (1 STL)31
44
Q2 - 2:45DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)31
44
Q2 - 2:48DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)31
42
Q2 - 2:50DALMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot31
42
Q2 - 2:55DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)31
42
Q2 - 2:56DALMISS Howard 22' Jump Shot31
42
Q2 - 3:22DENIverson Driving Layup (9 PTS)31
42
Q2 - 3:28DALHassell L.B.FOUL (P1.T4)29
42
Q2 - 3:28DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)29
42
Q2 - 3:28DENMISS Iverson 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
42
Q2 - 3:45DALSUB: Hassell FOR Jones29
42
Q2 - 3:45DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)29
42
Q2 - 3:54DALHoward 18' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)29
42
Q2 - 3:59DENTerry STEAL (1 STL)29
40
Q2 - 4:09DALDiop REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)29
40
Q2 - 4:09DALDiop Putback Layup (5 PTS)29
40
Q2 - 4:11DALMISS Howard Driving Layup29
38
Q2 - 4:18DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)29
38
Q2 - 4:19DENMISS Camby Driving Layup29
38
Q2 - 4:31DALNowitzki 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (10 PTS)29
38
Q2 - 4:51DENMartin Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)29
36
Q2 - 5:05DENSUB: Camby FOR Najera27
36
Q2 - 5:05DALSUB: Terry FOR Harris27
36
Q2 - 5:05DALHarris Foul Turnover (P2.T6)27
36
Q2 - 5:05DALHarris OFF.Foul (P3)27
36
Q2 - 5:17DENSmith 16' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Najera 2 AST)27
36
Q2 - 5:37DALNowitzki 10' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)25
36
Q2 - 5:54DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)25
34
Q2 - 5:54DENNajera L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)25
34
Q2 - 5:54DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)25
34
Q2 - 5:54DENMISS Martin 5' Turnaround Jump Shot25
34
Q2 - 6:04DALSUB: Diop FOR Dampier25
34
Q2 - 6:04DALJones P.FOUL (P2.T3)25
34
Q2 - 6:04DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)25
34
Q2 - 6:28DENIverson Driving Layup (7 PTS)25
34
Q2 - 6:34DALHoward 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)23
34
Q2 - 6:57DENKleiza Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
32
Q2 - 6:57DALSUB: Nowitzki FOR Bass22
32
Q2 - 6:57DALSUB: Harris FOR Terry22
32
Q2 - 6:57DENKleiza Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
32
Q2 - 6:57DALJones S.FOUL (P1.T2)21
32
Q2 - 6:58DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
32
Q2 - 6:59DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
32
Q2 - 6:59DENMISS Kleiza Layup21
32
Q2 - 7:00DENMISS Iverson 7' Jump Shot21
32
Q2 - 7:12DALTerry Palming Turnover (P2.T4)21
32
Q2 - 7:33DALMAVERICKS Rebound21
32
Q2 - 7:33DENMISS Iverson 16' Jump Shot21
32
Q2 - 7:40DALSUB: Howard FOR Hassell21
32
Q2 - 7:40DALSUB: Dampier FOR Diop21
32
Q2 - 7:40DALBass Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)21
32
Q2 - 7:49DENIverson 10' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)21
32
Q2 - 8:02DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
32
Q2 - 8:04DALMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
32
Q2 - 8:23DENJones STEAL (1 STL)19
32
Q2 - 8:33DALDiop Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)19
32
Q2 - 8:33DALMAVERICKS Rebound19
31
Q2 - 8:33DALMISS Diop Free Throw 1 of 219
31
Q2 - 8:3319
31
Q2 - 8:33DENKleiza S.FOUL (P1.T1)19
31
Q2 - 8:45DALBass REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
31
Q2 - 8:46DENMISS Iverson 9' Floating Jump Shot19
31
Q2 - 8:56DALTerry 8' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bass 1 AST)19
31
Q2 - 9:19DALTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
29
Q2 - 9:20DENMISS Martin 14' Jump Shot19
29
Q2 - 9:28DALSUB: Jones FOR Harris19
29
Q2 - 9:28DENSUB: Martin FOR Camby19
29
Q2 - 9:28DALHarris P.FOUL (P2.T1)19
29
Q2 - 9:37DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
29
Q2 - 9:38DALMISS Bass 12' Turnaround Jump Shot19
29
Q2 - 10:00DENSmith Running Dunk (7 PTS)19
29
Q2 - 10:03DENSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
29
Q2 - 10:04DENMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot17
29
Q2 - 10:11DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
29
Q2 - 10:13DALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
29
Q2 - 10:41DENSmith 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)17
29
Q2 - 10:45DALSUB: Harris FOR Howard15
29
Q2 - 10:45DENSUB: Kleiza FOR Diawara15
29
Q2 - 10:45DENSUB: Iverson FOR Carter15
29
Q2 - 10:45DENNuggets Rebound15
29
Q2 - 10:45DENBass BLOCK (1 BLK)15
29
Q2 - 10:52DALTerry 20' Jump Shot (3 PTS)15
29
Q2 - 11:11DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)15
27
Q2 - 11:12DENMISS Carter 5' Running Jump Shot15
27
Q2 - 11:32DALDiop 3' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Hassell 1 AST)15
27
Q2 - 11:42DALTerry Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)15
25
Q2 - 11:42DENNuggets T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Camby )15
24
Q2 - 12:0015
24
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL15
24
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound15
24
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Howard 52' 3PT Jump Shot15
24
Q1 - 0:02.0DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)15
24
Q1 - 0:04.0DENMISS Camby 8' Running Jump Shot15
24
Q1 - 0:13.0DALHassell 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)15
24
Q1 - 0:30.0DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
22
Q1 - 0:33.0DENDiop BLOCK (1 BLK)15
22
Q1 - 0:39.0DENNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
22
Q1 - 0:40.0DALMISS Terry 17' Jump Shot15
22
Q1 - 0:58.0DENCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)15
22
Q1 - 1:03DALTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)15
22
Q1 - 1:15DENCamby Violation:Kicked Ball15
22
Q1 - 1:23DENSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Diawara 1 AST)15
22
Q1 - 1:43DALHoward 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)12
22
Q1 - 2:02DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
20
Q1 - 2:03DALMISS Terry 19' Jump Shot12
20
Q1 - 2:18DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)12
20
Q1 - 2:18DENMISS Diawara Free Throw 2 of 212
20
Q1 - 2:18DENDiawara Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
20
Q1 - 2:18DALSUB: Hassell FOR Jones11
20
Q1 - 2:18DENNuggets Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)11
20
Q1 - 2:18DALTerry S.FOUL (P1.PN)11
20
Q1 - 2:25DENDiawara REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
20
Q1 - 2:26DALMISS Howard 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
20
Q1 - 2:33DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
20
Q1 - 2:34DENMISS Carter 20' Jump Shot11
20
Q1 - 2:51DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)11
20
Q1 - 3:01DENSUB: Najera FOR Iverson11
18
Q1 - 3:01DENSUB: Diawara FOR Kleiza11
18
Q1 - 3:01DENSUB: Smith FOR Martin11
18
Q1 - 3:06DENHoward STEAL (2 STL)11
18
Q1 - 3:10DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
18
Q1 - 3:10DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot11
18
Q1 - 3:35DALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
18
Q1 - 3:36DENMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot11
18
Q1 - 4:01DALNowitzki 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
18
Q1 - 4:23DENIverson Foul Turnover (P2.T3)11
16
Q1 - 4:23DENIverson OFF.Foul (P2)11
16
Q1 - 4:30DALSUB: Terry FOR Harris11
16
Q1 - 4:30DALMAVERICKS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)11
16
Q1 - 4:30DALDiop Violation:Kicked Ball11
16
Q1 - 4:44DALHoward Layup (10 PTS) (Diop 1 AST)11
16
Q1 - 4:48DALDiop REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)11
14
Q1 - 4:50DALMISS Howard Driving Reverse Layup11
14
Q1 - 5:07DENMartin 6' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Iverson 1 AST)11
14
Q1 - 5:25DALHoward Slam Dunk (8 PTS)9
14
Q1 - 5:29DENHoward STEAL (1 STL)9
12
Q1 - 5:39DALHoward 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
12
Q1 - 5:43DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
10
Q1 - 5:44DALMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
10
Q1 - 5:49DALDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
10
Q1 - 5:50DALMISS Howard 3PT Jump Shot9
10
Q1 - 6:02DALDiop REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
10
Q1 - 6:03DENMISS Iverson 22' Jump Shot9
10
Q1 - 6:28DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)9
10
Q1 - 6:28DENMartin AWAY.FROM.PLAY.FOUL (P1.T2)9
9
Q1 - 6:28DALNowitzki 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
9
Q1 - 6:46DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
7
Q1 - 6:46DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
7
Q1 - 6:46DALNowitzki S.FOUL (P1.T4)7
7
Q1 - 6:56DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
7
Q1 - 6:57DALMISS Nowitzki 8' Jump Shot7
7
Q1 - 7:16DENMartin 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)7
7
Q1 - 7:41DENNuggets Rebound5
7
Q1 - 7:41DALMISS Howard 22' Jump Shot5
7
Q1 - 8:03DENMartin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
7
Q1 - 8:16DALHoward 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS)5
7
Q1 - 8:24DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)5
5
Q1 - 8:25DENMISS Iverson 15' Floating Jump Shot5
5
Q1 - 8:30DALSUB: Diop FOR Dampier5
5
Q1 - 8:30DALDampier P.FOUL (P2.T3)5
5
Q1 - 8:50DALHoward 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
5
Q1 - 9:01DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
3
Q1 - 9:02DENNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)5
3
Q1 - 9:12DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
3
Q1 - 9:12DALMISS Jones 10' Jump Shot5
3
Q1 - 9:31DALDampier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
3
Q1 - 9:31DENMISS Iverson Free Throw 2 of 25
3
Q1 - 9:31DENIverson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
3
Q1 - 9:31DALHarris S.FOUL (P1.T2)4
3
Q1 - 9:33DENIverson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
3
Q1 - 9:34DALMISS Howard 20' Jump Shot4
3
Q1 - 9:53DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
3
Q1 - 9:54DENMISS Carter 21' Jump Shot4
3
Q1 - 10:18DENKleiza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
3
Q1 - 10:20DALMISS Jones 6' Floating Jump Shot4
3
Q1 - 10:27DENIverson Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
3
Q1 - 10:37DENCamby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
3
Q1 - 10:37DALMISS Harris Free Throw 2 of 22
3
Q1 - 10:37DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)2
3
Q1 - 10:37DENIverson S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 10:42DALJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:44DENMISS Camby Driving Finger Roll Layup2
2
Q1 - 10:48DENCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 10:49DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 10:58DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
2
Q1 - 10:59DENMISS Camby 19' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:07DALHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
2
Q1 - 11:13DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
2
Q1 - 11:15DENMISS Kleiza 6' Jump Shot2
2
Q1 - 11:31DALHarris Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:44DENCamby Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
0
Q1 - 11:44DENCamby Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
0
Q1 - 11:44DALDampier S.FOUL (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Dampier vs. Camby: Tip to Iverson0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventDENDAL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.96 47.8%
DAL
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
11
24
46%
DAL
11
18
61%
Midrange
DEN
10
34
29%
DAL
21
44
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
DAL
3
4.5
15
20%
30%
Free Throws
DEN
19
27
70%
DAL
17
20
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Iverson2350%11.5 / 23
A. Carter2071%10.0 / 14
J. Smith1250%6.0 / 12
L. Kleiza1042%5.0 / 12
M. Camby831%4.0 / 13
K. Martin836%4.0 / 11
E. Najera375%1.5 / 2
Y. Diawara125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3284%16.0 / 19
J. Howard2042%10.0 / 24
J. Terry1945%9.5 / 21
D. Harris660%3.0 / 5
B. Bass675%3.0 / 4
D. Diop583%2.5 / 3
T. Hassell233%1.0 / 3
E. Jones0-0.0 / 3
E. Dampier0-0.0 / 0
J. Barea0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
75
+13
-16
88
DAL
78
+13
-16
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.96 47.8%
DAL
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.4
110.6
DEN 93.4
DAL 95.7 +2.3
Pace
99.4
90.6
DEN 100.3 +14.3
DAL 86.0
Avg. Poss. Time
13.9
16.4
DEN 14.4 −2.4
DAL 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.0%
50.2%
DEN 43.4%
DAL 47.4% +4.0%
TO %
14.4%
13.3%
DEN 15.4% −1.1%
DAL 16.5%
ORB %
25.6%
26.8%
DEN 22.7%
DAL 26.8% +4.1%
FTrt
35.8
31.8
DEN 35.5 +9.5
DAL 26.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.2%
56.9%
DEN 58.6% +7.2%
DAL 51.4%
STL %
9.1%
6.6%
DEN 12.1% +1.5%
DAL 10.6%
BLK %
9.9%
7.5%
DEN 9.7%
DAL 12.1% +2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.2 and 2.2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.4%
53.9%
DEN 47.8%
DAL 49.5% +1.7%
Rim FG%
60.7%
58.5%
DEN 45.8%
DAL 61.1% +15.3%
Mid FG%
40.4%
44.3%
DEN 29.4%
DAL 47.7% +18.3%
3P %
35.5%
35.2%
DEN 44.4% +24.4%
DAL 20.0%
FT %
75.1%
81.4%
DEN 70.4%
DAL 85.0% +14.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.1%
28.9%
DEN 31.6% +8.2%
DAL 23.4%
Mid Att. %
39.1%
49.6%
DEN 44.7% −12.4%
DAL 57.1%
3P Att. %
22.8%
21.5%
DEN 23.7% +4.2%
DAL 19.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.
Game TotalsDENDAL
Possessions9194
Possession Minutes21.826.2
Points8590
Rebounds4045
Assists1718
Steals1110
Blocks67
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)34 (3)
Field Goals29-7635-77
At-the-Rim FG11-2411-18
Midrange FG10-3421-44
2-Point FG21-5832-62
3-Point FG8-183-15
Free Throws19-2717-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 165 · 33
43.7
23
50%
3
9
3
0
5
2
0
3
9-13
69%
7-16
44%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 240 · 34
39.8
8
31%
12
0
0
3
0
2
1
11
4-4
100%
2-10
20%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 234 · 23
39.6
10
42%
9
1
3
0
3
5
4
5
5-8
63%
1-6
17%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
35.8
8
36%
2
0
0
2
2
3
2
0
0-0
-
4-11
36%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 33
35.6
20
71%
5
2
2
1
4
1
0
5
0-0
-
4-8
50%
4-6
67%
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 22
21.2
12
50%
2
1
1
0
2
3
2
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-7
29%
F · 6'8" 235 · 32
19.9
3
75%
6
3
2
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
F-G · 6'7" 225 · 25
4.3
1
25%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 24
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 25
C · 7'0" 240 · 26
G · 6'5" 209 · 23
#12 · G · 5'11" 185 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
85
48%
40
17
11
6
16
0
10
30
19-27
70%
21-58
36%
8-18
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.