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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 28, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Mavericks66%103103
27Grizzlies34%9784
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.4
38.1
32.3
14
48%
3
3
0
1
0
3
0
3
1-1
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
51%
1-3
33%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.6
37.4
35.3
20
63%
11
1
1
1
1
2
1
10
2-2
100%
9-15
7-14
60%
51%
0-0
-
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.5
35.8
22.7
11
71%
12
1
1
0
0
1
1
11
3-4
75%
4-6
2-4
67%
57%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 27.8
34.9
38.9
26
68%
6
4
0
1
0
0
1
5
4-5
80%
8-13
8-15
62%
50%
2-4
50%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 36.3
20.9
23.3
6
100%
4
1
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
2-3
67%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.6
21.3
6.0
9
48%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
4-7
1-2
57%
47%
0-2
0%
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 28.9
19.7
13.4
6
100%
1
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
49%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 22.7
14.4
17.5
4
25%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-8
3-5
25%
49%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.4
9.1
2.7
5
64%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-3
0-1
67%
41%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.0
7.3
20.8
2
50%
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.0
1.1
3.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.0
2.6
0
0-1
46%
Nick Fazekas
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.6
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.9
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 33.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.8
42.3
29.0
17
44%
5
4
3
1
0
0
0
5
6-14
43%
4-9
2-5
44%
46%
1-4
25%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.4
40.3
38.1
18
59%
4
1
1
1
0
2
1
3
3-3
100%
6-12
5-11
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.9
36.9
36.8
8
37%
4
2
1
1
0
2
1
3
2-2
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
54%
0-2
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.6
28.1
25.2
13
52%
5
2
0
0
2
1
0
5
1-1
100%
6-12
5-9
50%
52%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.6
22.9
22.9
2
25%
5
1
0
0
2
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
0-0
-
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.6
33.3
31.1
16
59%
4
2
0
1
1
0
0
4
5-8
63%
4-8
2-4
50%
47%
1-2
50%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.6
14.9
21.4
4
35%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
4-6
67%
0-2
4-7
0%
52%
0-1
0%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.7
10.5
6.6
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
0-0
-
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
9.0
3.7
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
42%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.2
1.8
8.4
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
50%
0-0
-
Bobby Jones
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.1
12.6
0
1-2
48%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.7
2.7
0
0-0
44%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.4
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.