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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
January 28, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs49%9791
7Jazz51%9897
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.8
36.9
35.4
26
67%
11
2
1
1
1
7
4
7
8-10
80%
9-15
8-16
60%
52%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.7
32.9
33.1
5
29%
3
3
0
1
0
4
1
2
3-4
75%
1-7
7-14
14%
51%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.6
24.1
26.5
3
38%
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.9
23.1
23.4
4
25%
4
2
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.9
13.4
20.7
2
50%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
57%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.5
30.4
30.4
29
73%
4
3
0
2
0
4
2
2
9-9
100%
7-11
4-8
64%
48%
2-5
40%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.5
22.3
19.4
10
59%
5
0
2
1
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
50%
1-3
33%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.9
17.4
4.0
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.4
15.8
13.1
0
0%
3
1
2
0
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
39%
0-2
0%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.0
15.2
14.2
6
44%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
43%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.8
8.7
4.9
2
35%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-2
0%
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 23.9
6.8
0
1-1
45%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.2
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
41.7
36.2
11
38%
5
14
4
1
0
3
1
4
5-6
83%
3-11
5-11
27%
50%
0-1
0%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.2
41.2
35.8
23
58%
7
7
2
1
1
2
0
7
3-4
75%
10-18
9-16
56%
54%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.9
35.9
30.4
23
98%
5
2
4
1
0
2
2
3
4-4
100%
8-9
3-6
89%
50%
1-1
100%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.7
32.4
36.7
11
56%
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
3-4
75%
1-3
4-8
33%
47%
2-5
40%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.9
24.0
25.3
8
50%
1
0
2
1
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
4-8
4-7
50%
55%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 26.9
24.0
21.6
8
54%
4
0
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-1
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
45%
1-5
20%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.7
16.0
17.5
4
41%
2
3
2
0
1
0
1
1
0-2
0%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.2
9.5
4.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.0
9.0
17.0
4
50%
4
0
0
1
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.6
6.3
6.4
5
63%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
44%
1-2
50%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 29.7
6.3
0
1-1
40%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.9
4.6
0
0-1
47%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.0
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.