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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 29, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Pistons71%102110
23Pacers29%95104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.0
38.0
37.7
15
40%
6
3
1
1
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
5-16
7-14
31%
49%
1-2
50%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.3
34.8
35.2
13
70%
3
8
2
1
1
2
1
2
3-3
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
47%
2-3
67%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 33.4
32.8
31.2
24
61%
10
0
1
1
3
2
2
8
3-4
75%
9-13
4-7
69%
48%
1-5
20%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 27.9
32.5
36.9
17
54%
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
2
5-6
83%
6-12
5-11
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.4
31.6
33.2
10
51%
13
5
1
1
0
2
6
7
2-4
50%
4-8
5-9
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 24.9
17.2
18.7
3
39%
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
53%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.5
15.8
7.6
13
94%
0
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
3-3
1-2
100%
44%
2-3
67%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20.7
13.8
8.3
6
75%
6
2
0
0
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
51%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.8
13.3
12.2
7
52%
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-4
25%
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.3
10.3
12.3
2
35%
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.3
2.3
0
0-0
49%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.6
2.2
0
0-0
50%
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.2
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 27.4
40.5
37.5
25
77%
7
7
2
1
0
0
1
6
3-3
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
50%
4-4
100%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 24.8
39.3
36.5
16
45%
4
4
1
1
3
3
2
2
6-6
100%
5-11
4-9
45%
49%
0-4
0%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.9
36.7
23.3
18
77%
3
3
2
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
3-4
1-3
75%
45%
3-6
50%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 31.0
36.6
22.2
11
56%
13
3
0
1
0
2
6
7
1-4
25%
5-8
2-4
63%
51%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 27.7
29.1
24.2
18
69%
8
4
2
1
1
0
1
7
7-7
100%
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
1-3
33%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.2
29.8
34.5
9
50%
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
3-7
0%
42%
3-5
60%
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.2
9.1
14.8
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.1
7.7
15.4
5
50%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
48%
1-1
100%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 21.9
7.3
11.8
2
35%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-2
0%
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
0-1
0%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.5
3.7
3.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.6
0.3
2.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.4
3.7
0
1-1
47%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.9
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.