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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 29, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Warriors43%98107
12Rockets57%100111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 29.8
42.0
37.1
25
73%
6
7
1
1
1
1
1
5
6-7
86%
2-7
4-9
29%
44%
5-7
71%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 28.8
40.5
40.6
21
42%
6
6
4
2
0
2
2
4
6-7
86%
3-11
5-10
27%
46%
3-11
27%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.3
39.6
39.7
18
57%
6
4
0
2
0
3
3
3
3-4
75%
6-13
7-14
46%
50%
1-1
100%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.8
28.9
33.8
14
60%
12
0
0
1
2
0
2
10
2-4
50%
6-10
5-8
60%
59%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 27.9
22.7
32.3
14
48%
3
1
0
1
1
0
0
3
2-6
33%
3-5
3-6
60%
46%
2-7
29%
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.0
23.4
6.6
0
0%
6
2
3
0
1
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
49%
0-3
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 27.9
20.7
19.2
13
66%
4
1
0
1
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
4-8
2-3
50%
49%
1-1
100%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.8
18.3
11.4
2
50%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-0
-
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
3.9
12.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
46%
0-0
-
Kosta Perovic
C · 7'2" 240 · 22.9
2.4
0
0-1
47%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 20.3
2.3
0
0-1
45%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.6
1.8
0
0-0
45%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 21.8
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.9
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.5
42.9
30.7
17
43%
8
12
2
1
0
2
2
6
1-2
50%
5-11
3-7
45%
45%
2-8
25%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.2
42.6
12.0
20
55%
2
6
1
0
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
6-11
1-3
55%
47%
1-5
20%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.4
40.1
34.1
36
70%
19
1
0
0
1
7
5
14
14-15
93%
11-19
7-14
58%
53%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.4
36.0
34.8
8
80%
6
4
1
1
2
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
51%
2-4
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.7
25.0
31.3
10
63%
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
4-7
6-11
57%
52%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.3
17.2
13.6
3
54%
7
1
1
1
0
0
0
7
3-4
75%
0-1
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.6
12.3
9.2
8
80%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
52%
2-3
67%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.0
10.9
16.0
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-2
0%
0-4
1-3
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.4
9.4
18.7
7
51%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
54%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.6
3.6
3.5
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.6
17.2
1
1-3
56%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.6
2.1
0
0-0
50%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.7
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.7
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.