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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 29, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Hawks22%9792
2Suns78%107125
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 21.6
32.0
35.5
18
52%
8
1
0
1
0
2
3
5
4-5
80%
7-15
6-13
47%
47%
0-0
-
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 26.6
24.9
39.8
9
29%
8
1
0
1
0
3
5
3
3-3
100%
3-12
6-13
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 22.1
22.2
34.0
7
26%
7
2
2
1
0
2
2
5
1-1
100%
3-12
6-14
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.7
19.9
33.9
5
34%
3
0
2
1
1
3
0
3
1-1
100%
2-7
4-8
29%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 33.3
18.8
28.9
1
27%
1
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-6
0%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24.6
32.7
25.5
17
50%
7
1
2
1
1
3
6
1
5-7
71%
6-14
3-6
43%
54%
0-0
-
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 23.0
27.3
13.9
8
40%
1
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-9
1-3
44%
43%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.0
20.2
12.3
12
51%
5
1
0
0
1
1
5
0
4-4
100%
4-10
2-4
40%
45%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.7
15.2
7.9
3
75%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
1-2
50%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.3
13.3
2.8
3
21%
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-5
0-1
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.5
7.8
4.0
5
51%
4
0
0
0
0
0
3
1
1-2
50%
2-4
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
5.4
3.7
4
40%
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
44%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.6
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32.2
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 29.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 25.8
31.4
32.8
16
80%
7
9
1
1
0
4
0
7
0-0
-
8-10
4-8
80%
51%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.7
28.6
35.3
19
97%
3
0
1
2
1
2
1
2
4-4
100%
6-6
4-7
100%
57%
1-2
50%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 34.0
28.6
34.3
10
59%
4
10
3
1
0
4
0
4
1-1
100%
3-5
4-7
60%
54%
1-3
33%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 31.4
28.4
37.9
4
25%
5
1
0
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
0-4
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.2
27.7
36.0
24
91%
7
1
2
1
4
0
2
5
4-5
80%
10-11
8-15
91%
57%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 25.2
22.1
31.3
13
72%
1
2
3
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-6
4-7
83%
52%
1-3
33%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 35.3
21.3
13.8
16
66%
3
3
0
0
3
2
0
3
4-5
80%
6-10
2-4
60%
52%
0-0
-
Brian Skinner
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 31.7
20.3
8.8
6
61%
4
0
0
0
5
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.2
14.0
7.3
7
50%
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
47%
1-2
50%
DJ Strawberry
G · 6'5" 201 · 22.6
6.0
5.3
3
52%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Sean Marks
F-C · 6'10" 250 · 32.4
6.0
1.9
4
100%
0
1
0
0
3
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Eric Piatkowski
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 37.3
5.5
1.7
3
75%
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
1-1
100%
Alando Tucker
F · 6'6" 205 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.