for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 29, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Spurs72%9885
29SuperSonics28%9088
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.5
39.6
30.4
29
67%
4
7
0
2
0
1
0
4
5-8
63%
6-11
4-8
55%
49%
4-7
57%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.8
37.6
35.8
27
56%
12
2
1
1
1
2
3
9
7-7
100%
10-21
9-17
48%
53%
0-0
-
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.0
37.0
14.6
4
22%
4
4
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-9
2-4
22%
44%
0-0
-
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.9
32.6
17.9
12
67%
7
1
1
0
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
6-8
2-3
75%
58%
0-1
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.6
27.9
25.7
2
100%
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.9
21.9
23.3
6
43%
4
1
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
2-5
40%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.5
17.5
20.4
0
0%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.8
16.9
6.8
5
36%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
2-5
1-1
40%
50%
0-1
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.4
9.1
14.2
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.9
9.5
0
1-3
49%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.2
4.7
0
1-2
50%
Jeremy Richardson
G-F · 6'7" 195 · 23.9
4.5
0
0-1
46%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.7
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.3
36.4
32.3
26
59%
7
5
1
1
1
1
1
6
7-7
100%
8-15
6-14
53%
45%
1-4
25%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.4
31.2
25.1
16
57%
10
2
0
1
0
2
3
7
0-0
-
8-14
4-8
57%
53%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.3
28.6
24.3
10
50%
6
1
3
1
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.6
23.7
27.9
2
11%
1
4
2
1
0
1
1
0
2-2
100%
0-7
3-7
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.4
19.6
22.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.9
25.6
24.2
8
57%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
49%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.0
24.3
18.9
4
29%
2
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
44%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.3
23.9
24.8
14
71%
10
0
0
1
0
1
3
7
2-2
100%
6-9
4-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.5
14.4
5.0
0
0%
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-1
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.0
12.3
15.8
8
50%
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.0
16.6
1
2-4
44%
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.2
15.5
0
2-3
49%
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.