for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, January 30, 2008
Final Win Prob. pScore
28
Heat
17%93
91
11
Magic
83%105
107
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo Heat
102.28988.7
ORL logo Magic
121.68888.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL91
107
Q4 - 0:09.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)91
107
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Wright 21' Jump Shot91
107
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)91
107
Q4 - 0:18.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
107
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)91
107
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 2 of 291
107
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)91
107
Q4 - 0:40.0ORLArroyo P.FOUL (P3.PN)90
107
Q4 - 0:59.0ORLDooling 14' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)90
107
Q4 - 1:20MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)90
105
Q4 - 1:20MIAHeat Rebound89
105
Q4 - 1:20MIAMISS Barron Free Throw 1 of 289
105
Q4 - 1:20ORLHoward S.FOUL (P5.PN)89
105
Q4 - 1:41MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
105
Q4 - 1:42ORLMISS Lewis Layup89
105
Q4 - 1:58MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)89
105
Q4 - 1:58MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)88
105
Q4 - 1:58MIASUB: Barron FOR Blount87
105
Q4 - 1:58ORLHoward S.FOUL (P4.T4)87
105
Q4 - 2:09MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
105
Q4 - 2:10ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
105
Q4 - 2:27ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)87
105
Q4 - 2:28MIAMISS Blount 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
105
Q4 - 2:41ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)87
105
Q4 - 2:41ORLDooling Foul Turnover (P1.T16)87
105
Q4 - 2:41ORLDooling OFF.Foul (P1)87
105
Q4 - 2:59MIAWright 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)87
105
Q4 - 3:13MIASUB: Quinn FOR Williams85
105
Q4 - 3:13ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T15)85
105
Q4 - 3:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)85
105
Q4 - 3:34MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
105
Q4 - 3:51ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (27 PTS)85
105
Q4 - 4:11MIABlount Layup (10 PTS) (Cook 3 AST)85
103
Q4 - 4:23ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P5.T14)83
103
Q4 - 4:37ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)83
103
Q4 - 4:38MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot83
103
Q4 - 4:50ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)83
103
Q4 - 4:50ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)83
102
Q4 - 4:50MIASUB: Cook FOR L. Jackson83
101
Q4 - 4:50MIAL. Jackson P.FOUL (P6.PN)83
101
Q4 - 5:00ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)83
101
Q4 - 5:01MIAMISS L. Jackson 8' Jump Shot83
101
Q4 - 5:09ORLArroyo P.FOUL (P2.T3)83
101
Q4 - 5:23ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P5.T13)83
101
Q4 - 5:39MIABlount 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)83
101
Q4 - 5:5481
101
Q4 - 5:54ORLHoward P.FOUL (P3.T2)81
101
Q4 - 6:04ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)81
101
Q4 - 6:04ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)81
100
Q4 - 6:04MIASUB: Wright FOR Cook81
99
Q4 - 6:04MIAL. Jackson P.FOUL (P5.PN)81
99
Q4 - 6:11ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
99
Q4 - 6:12MIAMISS L. Jackson 22' Jump Shot81
99
Q4 - 6:26ORLDooling 11' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)81
99
Q4 - 6:36ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
97
Q4 - 6:37MIAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot81
97
Q4 - 6:51ORLDooling Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)81
97
Q4 - 6:51ORLDooling Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)81
96
Q4 - 6:51MIACook S.FOUL (P2.PN)81
95
Q4 - 7:11ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)81
95
Q4 - 7:12MIAMISS L. Jackson Free Throw 2 of 281
95
Q4 - 7:12MIAL. Jackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)81
95
Q4 - 7:12ORLLewis S.FOUL (P4.T1)80
95
Q4 - 7:30ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)80
95
Q4 - 7:30ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)80
94
Q4 - 7:30MIAWilliams S.FOUL (P3.PN)80
93
Q4 - 7:32ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
93
Q4 - 7:34MIAHoward BLOCK (4 BLK)80
93
Q4 - 7:49MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)80
93
Q4 - 7:50ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 180
93
Q4 - 7:50MIABlount S.FOUL (P4.PN)80
93
Q4 - 7:50ORLHoward Layup (16 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)80
93
Q4 - 8:08ORLMAGIC Rebound80
91
Q4 - 8:09MIAMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
91
Q4 - 8:21ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Bogans80
91
Q4 - 8:21MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)80
91
Q4 - 8:33ORLHoward Slam Dunk (14 PTS)80
91
Q4 - 8:34ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
89
Q4 - 8:35ORLMISS Bogans Layup80
89
Q4 - 8:56ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
89
Q4 - 8:57MIAMISS Blount 20' Jump Shot80
89
Q4 - 9:17ORLLewis 8' Running Jump Shot (19 PTS)80
89
Q4 - 9:35MIASUB: Blount FOR Barron80
87
Q4 - 9:35MIAL. Jackson L.B.FOUL (P4.T4)80
87
Q4 - 9:35ORLMAGIC Rebound80
87
Q4 - 9:35MIAMISS L. Jackson 9' Jump Shot80
87
Q4 - 9:58ORLBogans Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)80
87
Q4 - 9:58MIASUB: Williams FOR Quinn80
86
Q4 - 9:58MIASUB: Davis FOR Wright80
86
Q4 - 9:58ORLBogans Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)80
86
Q4 - 9:58MIAL. Jackson S.FOUL (P3.T3)80
85
Q4 - 10:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)80
85
Q4 - 10:08MIAMISS Wright 20' Jump Shot80
85
Q4 - 10:19MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
85
Q4 - 10:21MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot80
85
Q4 - 10:41ORLDooling Layup (3 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)80
85
Q4 - 10:43MIAWright P.FOUL (P3.T2)80
83
Q4 - 11:00MIACook 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)80
83
Q4 - 11:08MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
83
Q4 - 11:09ORLMISS Arroyo Layup78
83
Q4 - 11:15MIABarron P.FOUL (P4.T1)78
83
Q4 - 11:25MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)78
83
Q4 - 11:45ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T12)76
83
Q4 - 12:0076
83
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA76
83
Q3 - 0:00.0MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
83
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot76
83
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)76
83
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)75
83
Q3 - 0:12.0ORLNelson P.FOUL (P4.PN)74
83
Q3 - 0:29.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
83
Q3 - 0:31.0ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
83
Q3 - 0:38.0ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
83
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Wright 18' Jump Shot74
83
Q3 - 0:57.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)74
83
Q3 - 0:57.0ORLMAGIC Rebound74
82
Q3 - 0:57.0ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 274
82
Q3 - 0:57.0MIAQuinn P.FOUL (P3.PN)74
82
Q3 - 1:07MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)74
82
Q3 - 1:07MIASUB: L. Jackson FOR Davis73
82
Q3 - 1:07MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)73
82
Q3 - 1:07ORLNelson P.FOUL (P3.PN)72
82
Q3 - 1:22ORLTurkoglu 18' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS)72
82
Q3 - 1:34ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
80
Q3 - 1:35MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
80
Q3 - 1:49MIADavis Free Throw Technical (19 PTS)72
80
Q3 - 1:49ORLMAGIC T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Dooling )71
80
Q3 - 2:00ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P4.T11)71
80
Q3 - 2:04ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
80
Q3 - 2:05MIAHoward BLOCK (3 BLK)71
80
Q3 - 2:20ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)71
80
Q3 - 2:20ORLMAGIC Rebound71
79
Q3 - 2:20ORLMISS Turkoglu Free Throw 1 of 271
79
Q3 - 2:20MIADavis P.FOUL (P2.PN)71
79
Q3 - 2:27ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
79
Q3 - 2:28MIAMISS Davis 10' Fadeaway Jumper71
79
Q3 - 2:48MIAHeat Rebound71
79
Q3 - 2:50ORLMISS Nelson 22' Jump Shot71
79
Q3 - 3:09ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
79
Q3 - 3:11MIAMISS Wright 23' Jump Shot71
79
Q3 - 3:20ORLSUB: Dooling FOR Lewis71
79
Q3 - 3:20MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)71
79
Q3 - 3:25MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
79
Q3 - 3:26ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
79
Q3 - 3:42MIABarron P.FOUL (P3.T4)71
79
Q3 - 3:43ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
79
Q3 - 3:44MIAMISS Cook 20' Jump Shot71
79
Q3 - 4:03ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)71
79
Q3 - 4:03MIASUB: Quinn FOR Williams71
78
Q3 - 4:03MIABarron S.FOUL (P2.T3)71
78
Q3 - 4:03ORLTurkoglu Running Layup (17 PTS)71
78
Q3 - 4:20MIAWright Layup (8 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)71
76
Q3 - 4:38ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)69
76
Q3 - 4:47ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)69
76
Q3 - 4:49MIAWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)69
76
Q3 - 4:49MIAMISS Wright Putback Dunk69
76
Q3 - 4:51MIAHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)69
76
Q3 - 5:12ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)69
76
Q3 - 5:12ORLMAGIC Rebound69
75
Q3 - 5:12ORLMISS Lewis Free Throw 1 of 269
75
Q3 - 5:12ORLSUB: Bogans FOR Evans69
75
Q3 - 5:12MIASUB: Cook FOR L. Jackson69
75
Q3 - 5:12MIABarron S.FOUL (P1.T2)69
75
Q3 - 5:23ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)69
75
Q3 - 5:24MIAMISS Davis 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
75
Q3 - 5:39ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Arroyo69
75
Q3 - 5:39MIASUB: Barron FOR Blount69
75
Q3 - 5:39ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T9)69
75
Q3 - 5:39ORLHoward OFF.Foul (P2)69
75
Q3 - 5:56MIADavis 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)69
75
Q3 - 6:11ORLTurkoglu 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)67
75
Q3 - 6:29MIAL. Jackson Driving Layup (13 PTS)67
73
Q3 - 6:44ORLLewis Driving Layup (16 PTS)65
73
Q3 - 7:07MIAL. Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)65
71
Q3 - 7:16MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
71
Q3 - 7:17ORLMISS Arroyo 27' 3PT Jump Shot62
71
Q3 - 7:39MIAL. Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
71
Q3 - 7:39MIAHeat Rebound61
71
Q3 - 7:39MIAMISS L. Jackson Free Throw 1 of 261
71
Q3 - 7:39ORLLewis S.FOUL (P3.T4)61
71
Q3 - 8:04ORLEvans 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)61
71
Q3 - 8:21MIAWright 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (L. Jackson 2 AST)61
68
Q3 - 8:36MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
68
Q3 - 8:37ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
68
Q3 - 8:49MIABlount 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)59
68
Q3 - 9:03ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)57
68
Q3 - 9:03MIAL. Jackson S.FOUL (P2.T1)57
67
Q3 - 9:03ORLTurkoglu 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)57
67
Q3 - 9:18ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)57
65
Q3 - 9:19MIAMISS Davis 23' Jump Shot57
65
Q3 - 9:30ORLArroyo P.FOUL (P1.T3)57
65
Q3 - 9:38MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
65
Q3 - 9:39ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)57
65
Q3 - 9:39ORLMISS Evans Tip Shot57
65
Q3 - 9:40ORLMISS Howard 11' Hook Shot57
65
Q3 - 9:50ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)57
65
Q3 - 9:57MIADavis Driving Layup (16 PTS)57
65
Q3 - 10:12ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)55
65
Q3 - 10:17ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)55
65
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Wright 15' Jump Shot55
65
Q3 - 10:42ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (10 PTS)55
65
Q3 - 11:01MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)55
63
Q3 - 11:01ORLEvans S.FOUL (P1.T2)54
63
Q3 - 11:01MIADavis Layup (13 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)54
63
Q3 - 11:06ORLArroyo Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)52
63
Q3 - 11:11MIAEvans STEAL (1 STL)52
63
Q3 - 11:27ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)52
63
Q3 - 11:44ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)52
63
Q3 - 11:45MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 2 of 252
63
Q3 - 11:45MIAHeat Rebound52
63
Q3 - 11:45MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 252
63
Q3 - 11:45ORLHoward S.FOUL (P1.T1)52
63
Q3 - 12:0052
63
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
63
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound52
63
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Williams 31' 3PT Jump Shot52
63
Q2 - 0:03.0ORLArroyo 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)52
63
Q2 - 0:21.0ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)52
61
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 152
61
Q2 - 0:22.0ORLTurkoglu S.FOUL (P1.T3)52
61
Q2 - 0:22.0MIAAl. Johnson Layup (4 PTS) (L. Jackson 1 AST)52
61
Q2 - 0:24.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
61
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
61
Q2 - 0:43.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)50
61
Q2 - 0:43.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)50
60
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAAl. Johnson P.FOUL (P1.PN)50
59
Q2 - 0:57.0MIAWilliams Driving Layup (11 PTS)50
59
Q2 - 1:04ORLBogans Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)48
59
Q2 - 1:09ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
59
Q2 - 1:11MIAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)48
59
Q2 - 1:28ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
59
Q2 - 1:28ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
58
Q2 - 1:28ORLSUB: Bogans FOR Lewis48
57
Q2 - 1:28MIAWilliams S.FOUL (P2.PN)48
57
Q2 - 1:44MIAAl. Johnson Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)48
57
Q2 - 2:02MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
57
Q2 - 2:02ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 146
57
Q2 - 2:02MIAL. Jackson S.FOUL (P1.PN)46
57
Q2 - 2:02ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)46
57
Q2 - 2:03ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)46
55
Q2 - 2:06ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
55
Q2 - 2:21ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)46
55
Q2 - 2:22ORLMISS Lewis 16' Jump Shot46
55
Q2 - 2:39MIAWright 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)46
55
Q2 - 2:49MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
55
Q2 - 2:51ORLMISS Evans Driving Layup44
55
Q2 - 3:05MIADavis Driving Layup (11 PTS)44
55
Q2 - 3:20MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
55
Q2 - 3:21ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 242
55
Q2 - 3:21MIASUB: Al. Johnson FOR Blount42
55
Q2 - 3:21ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)42
55
Q2 - 3:21MIABlount S.FOUL (P3.PN)42
54
Q2 - 3:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
54
Q2 - 3:37MIAMISS Davis 20' Jump Shot42
54
Q2 - 3:46ORLSUB: Evans FOR Dooling42
54
Q2 - 3:46MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)42
54
Q2 - 3:52ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)42
54
Q2 - 4:06ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)42
51
Q2 - 4:08ORLMISS Lewis Reverse Layup42
51
Q2 - 4:18ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
51
Q2 - 4:19MIAMISS Wright 23' Jump Shot42
51
Q2 - 4:38ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)42
51
Q2 - 4:38MIASUB: L. Jackson FOR Cook42
50
Q2 - 4:38MIASUB: Davis FOR Quinn42
50
Q2 - 4:38MIAWright S.FOUL (P2.T4)42
50
Q2 - 4:38ORLLewis 13' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)42
50
Q2 - 4:49MIAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)42
48
Q2 - 5:14ORLLewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)39
48
Q2 - 5:15ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
45
Q2 - 5:19ORLMISS Turkoglu 15' Jump Shot39
45
Q2 - 5:20ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
45
Q2 - 5:21ORLMISS Arroyo 22' Jump Shot39
45
Q2 - 5:32ORLSUB: Turkoglu FOR Bogans39
45
Q2 - 5:32ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)39
45
Q2 - 5:40MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)39
45
Q2 - 5:49ORLBogans Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)36
45
Q2 - 6:04MIACook 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
45
Q2 - 6:21ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)34
45
Q2 - 6:21ORLMAGIC Rebound34
44
Q2 - 6:21ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 234
44
Q2 - 6:21MIAWright S.FOUL (P1.T3)34
44
Q2 - 6:21ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
44
Q2 - 6:22ORLMISS Howard Layup34
44
Q2 - 6:30ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
44
Q2 - 6:31MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
44
Q2 - 6:49ORLArroyo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
44
Q2 - 6:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
42
Q2 - 6:59MIAMISS Williams Layup34
42
Q2 - 7:17ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)34
42
Q2 - 7:17ORLSUB: Howard FOR Foyle34
41
Q2 - 7:17MIABlount S.FOUL (P2.T2)34
41
Q2 - 7:17ORLLewis Layup (4 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)34
41
Q2 - 7:37ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
39
Q2 - 7:38MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 134
39
Q2 - 7:38MIASUB: Williams FOR Davis34
39
Q2 - 7:38ORLFoyle S.FOUL (P1.T2)34
39
Q2 - 7:38MIABlount Layup (4 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)34
39
Q2 - 7:45MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
39
Q2 - 7:46ORLMISS Foyle Layup32
39
Q2 - 8:01ORLMAGIC Rebound32
39
Q2 - 8:03ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
39
Q2 - 8:16ORLDooling Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)32
39
Q2 - 8:16MIAHeat T.Foul (Def. 3 Sec Blount )32
38
Q2 - 8:25MIASUB: Blount FOR Barron32
38
Q2 - 8:25ORLSUB: Arroyo FOR Nelson32
38
Q2 - 8:2532
38
Q2 - 8:25MIAQuinn Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)32
38
Q2 - 8:40MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
38
Q2 - 8:40ORLMISS Lewis 16' Jump Shot32
38
Q2 - 8:51ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
38
Q2 - 8:52MIAMISS Barron 15' Jump Shot32
38
Q2 - 9:04MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)32
38
Q2 - 9:05ORLMISS Bogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot32
38
Q2 - 9:14MIAQuinn 13' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)32
38
Q2 - 9:23MIASUB: Wright FOR L. Jackson30
38
Q2 - 9:23ORLBogans P.FOUL (P2.T1)30
38
Q2 - 9:33ORLFoyle Dunk (6 PTS) (Dooling 1 AST)30
38
Q2 - 9:52MIAQuinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)30
36
Q2 - 10:07MIAHeat Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)27
36
Q2 - 10:15ORLLewis 12' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
36
Q2 - 10:24MIACook P.FOUL (P1.T1)27
34
Q2 - 10:28ORLFoyle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
34
Q2 - 10:30MIAMISS Cook 17' Jump Shot27
34
Q2 - 10:45ORLFoyle Layup (4 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)27
34
Q2 - 10:57MIADavis 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)27
32
Q2 - 11:21ORLFoyle 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS)25
32
Q2 - 11:45ORLDooling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
30
Q2 - 11:46MIAMISS Barron 6' Fadeaway Jumper25
30
Q2 - 12:0025
30
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA25
30
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound25
30
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS L. Jackson 41' 3PT Jump Shot25
30
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLNelson Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)25
30
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)25
29
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)25
28
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAQuinn S.FOUL (P2.PN)25
27
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)25
27
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAHeat Rebound24
27
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Quinn Free Throw 1 of 224
27
Q1 - 0:23.0ORLNelson S.FOUL (P2.PN)24
27
Q1 - 0:39.0ORLTurkoglu Driving Dunk (6 PTS)24
27
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAL. Jackson Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)24
25
Q1 - 1:00ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)24
25
Q1 - 1:00ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
24
Q1 - 1:00MIAL. Jackson Violation:Lane24
23
Q1 - 1:00MIAQuinn S.FOUL (P1.PN)24
23
Q1 - 1:13MIASUB: Quinn FOR Williams24
23
Q1 - 1:13MIAWilliams P.FOUL (P1.T3)24
23
Q1 - 1:22MIAWilliams 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)24
23
Q1 - 1:39ORLBogans 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)22
23
Q1 - 1:52MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
20
Q1 - 1:52MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
20
Q1 - 1:52MIASUB: Cook FOR Blount20
20
Q1 - 1:52MIASUB: Barron FOR Wright20
20
Q1 - 1:52MIAHeat Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)20
20
Q1 - 1:52ORLNelson S.FOUL (P1.T4)20
20
Q1 - 1:59MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
20
Q1 - 2:00ORLMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot20
20
Q1 - 2:18MIAL. Jackson 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)20
20
Q1 - 2:26ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)17
20
Q1 - 2:44MIADavis 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)17
20
Q1 - 3:01ORLBogans Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)15
20
Q1 - 3:05ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
18
Q1 - 3:06MIAMISS Blount 15' Jump Shot15
18
Q1 - 3:26ORLTurkoglu 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
18
Q1 - 3:41ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Arroyo15
16
Q1 - 3:41ORLMAGIC Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)15
16
Q1 - 3:41MIABlount 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)15
16
Q1 - 3:53MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
16
Q1 - 3:54ORLMISS Arroyo 18' Jump Shot15
16
Q1 - 4:08ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
16
Q1 - 4:09MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
16
Q1 - 4:21MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
16
Q1 - 4:22ORLMISS Turkoglu 19' Jump Shot15
16
Q1 - 4:40MIAL. Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)15
16
Q1 - 4:46MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
16
Q1 - 4:47ORLMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot12
16
Q1 - 5:16MIADavis 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)12
16
Q1 - 5:32ORLEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)10
16
Q1 - 5:47MIAWright 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)10
13
Q1 - 6:06ORLEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)8
13
Q1 - 6:23ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
10
Q1 - 6:25ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
10
Q1 - 6:38MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)8
10
Q1 - 6:51ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
10
Q1 - 6:51ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
9
Q1 - 6:51MIADavis S.FOUL (P1.T2)5
8
Q1 - 7:02ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
8
Q1 - 7:03MIAMISS Blount 21' Jump Shot5
8
Q1 - 7:12ORLEvans Violation:Kicked Ball5
8
Q1 - 7:15ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)5
8
Q1 - 7:18ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
8
Q1 - 7:19ORLMISS Bogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
8
Q1 - 7:37MIAL. Jackson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)5
8
Q1 - 7:45MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
8
Q1 - 7:46ORLMISS Arroyo 16' Jump Shot5
8
Q1 - 8:01MIAL. Jackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
8
Q1 - 8:01MIAHeat Rebound4
8
Q1 - 8:01MIAMISS L. Jackson Free Throw 1 of 24
8
Q1 - 8:01ORLBogans S.FOUL (P1.T3)4
8
Q1 - 8:14ORLEvans Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)4
8
Q1 - 8:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
6
Q1 - 8:19MIAMISS Wright 8' Jump Shot4
6
Q1 - 8:32MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
6
Q1 - 8:32ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot4
6
Q1 - 8:48ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
6
Q1 - 8:49MIAMISS Blount 6' Hook Shot4
6
Q1 - 9:00MIAHeat Rebound4
6
Q1 - 9:01MIATurkoglu BLOCK (1 BLK)4
6
Q1 - 9:02MIAWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)4
6
Q1 - 9:03MIAMISS Wright Tip Shot4
6
Q1 - 9:04MIAWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
6
Q1 - 9:06MIAMISS Blount 8' Jump Shot4
6
Q1 - 9:15ORLSUB: Bogans FOR Lewis4
6
Q1 - 9:15ORLLewis P.FOUL (P2.T2)4
6
Q1 - 9:32ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
6
Q1 - 9:32ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)4
5
Q1 - 9:32MIABlount S.FOUL (P1.T1)4
4
Q1 - 9:32ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
4
Q1 - 9:34ORLMISS Lewis 6' Hook Shot4
4
Q1 - 9:54MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
4
Q1 - 9:54MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
4
Q1 - 9:54ORLLewis S.FOUL (P1.T1)2
4
Q1 - 10:03MIAL. Jackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 10:04ORLMISS Evans 15' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:19MIAWilliams Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
4
Q1 - 10:38ORLEvans Layup (2 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)0
4
Q1 - 10:43ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
2
Q1 - 10:45ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 10:57ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 10:58MIAMISS Blount 19' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:15ORLTurkoglu Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T1)0
2
Q1 - 11:22ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
2
Q1 - 11:23MIAMISS Wright 19' Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:42ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Blount: Tip to Lewis0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 48.9%
ORL
1.24 62.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
18
61%
ORL
16
25
64%
Midrange
MIA
15
42
36%
ORL
12
25
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
18
39%
58%
ORL
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
MIA
18
28
64%
ORL
33
40
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Davis2166%10.5 / 16
L. Jackson1464%7.0 / 11
C. Quinn14100%7.0 / 7
D. Wright1235%6.0 / 17
J. Williams1146%5.5 / 12
M. Blount1038%5.0 / 13
D. Cook429%2.0 / 7
A. Johnson467%2.0 / 3
E. Barron113%0.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Turkoglu2775%13.5 / 18
R. Lewis1956%9.5 / 17
D. Howard1662%8.0 / 13
M. Evans1372%6.5 / 9
K. Dooling9113%4.5 / 4
K. Bogans744%3.5 / 8
C. Arroyo638%3.0 / 8
A. Foyle675%3.0 / 4
J. Nelson450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
84
+8
-5
92
ORL
72
+13
-16
85
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 48.9%
ORL
1.24 62.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
111.2
MIA 102.2
ORL 121.6 +19.3
Pace
90.5
93.5
MIA 88.7 +0.4
ORL 88.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.1
MIA 16.2 −0.1
ORL 16.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
53.7%
MIA 46.8%
ORL 53.6% +6.8%
TO %
15.4%
14.7%
MIA 5.2% −10.4%
ORL 15.6%
ORB %
22.2%
23.4%
MIA 11.1%
ORL 33.3% +22.2%
FTrt
30.0
35.5
MIA 35.9
ORL 58.0 +22.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
55.8%
MIA 63.6% +19.5%
ORL 44.1%
STL %
7.9%
6.8%
MIA 5.6% +4.5%
ORL 1.1%
BLK %
7.1%
6.2%
MIA 6.0%
ORL 8.3% +2.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
55.9%
MIA 48.9%
ORL 62.2% +13.3%
Rim FG%
59.2%
61.5%
MIA 61.1%
ORL 64.0% +2.9%
Mid FG%
38.8%
40.8%
MIA 35.7%
ORL 48.0% +12.3%
3P %
35.8%
38.6%
MIA 38.9% +7.3%
ORL 31.6%
FT %
72.7%
72.1%
MIA 64.3%
ORL 82.5% +18.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
35.5%
MIA 23.1%
ORL 36.2% +13.2%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
32.3%
MIA 53.8%
ORL 36.2% −17.6%
3P Att. %
21.7%
32.2%
MIA 23.1%
ORL 27.5% +4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points91107
Rebounds2952
Assists2115
Steals51
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)5 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)24 (1)40 (2)
Field Goals33-7834-69
At-the-Rim FG11-1816-25
Midrange FG15-4212-25
2-Point FG26-6028-50
3-Point FG7-186-19
Free Throws18-2833-40
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

28 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28
41.9
21
66%
5
4
0
0
1
2
1
4
4-4
100%
7-10
70%
1-5
20%
Dorell Wright
F · 6'9" 205 · 22
39.6
12
35%
8
2
0
1
0
3
3
5
0-0
-
6-17
35%
0-0
-
Luke Jackson
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
34.3
14
64%
6
2
1
0
2
6
0
6
3-6
50%
1-4
25%
3-4
75%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
33.1
11
46%
2
8
2
0
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
60%
1-6
17%
Mark Blount
C · 7'0" 250 · 32
29.2
10
38%
2
1
2
1
1
4
0
2
2-5
40%
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
25.2
4
29%
2
3
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
17.9
14
100%
1
1
0
0
1
3
0
1
6-8
75%
1-1
100%
2-2
100%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26
15.5
1
13%
3
0
0
0
0
4
1
2
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
3.4
4
67%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25
Shaquille O'Neal
#32 · C · 7'1" 325 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Smush Parker
#21 · G · 6'4" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Alonzo Mourning
#33 · C · 6'10" 261 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
 49%
29
21
5
3
5
0
5
24
18-28
64%
26-60
43%
7-18
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.