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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 30, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Warriors29%98116
6Hornets71%105103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 22.3
45.2
39.0
16
43%
9
7
0
2
0
1
3
6
0-1
0%
8-18
7-14
44%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 27.9
43.8
20.2
17
54%
6
2
0
1
2
0
1
5
2-2
100%
6-10
2-4
60%
49%
1-5
20%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 29.8
42.1
38.6
26
75%
2
3
0
1
1
2
0
2
3-3
100%
7-10
4-9
70%
44%
3-6
50%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 28.8
41.4
39.9
23
73%
3
9
0
2
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
2-7
5-10
29%
46%
5-7
71%
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 28.0
22.9
27.8
13
72%
5
1
0
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
46%
3-5
60%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.8
19.5
31.2
14
89%
7
0
1
1
2
0
2
5
2-2
100%
6-7
4-8
86%
59%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 26.0
13.0
14.6
3
75%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
1-2
50%
Kelenna Azubuike
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.1
6.4
9.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.8
4.0
14.7
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 20.3
1.8
2.4
4
106%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 21.9
3.4
0
0-1
41%
Patrick O'Bryant
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.6
1.7
0
0-0
45%
Kosta Perovic
C · 7'2" 240 · 22.9
Chris Webber
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34.9
Austin Croshere
F · 6'10" 240 · 32.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.7
45.8
36.1
28
54%
2
12
2
2
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
11-19
7-13
58%
51%
1-5
20%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.3
44.2
24.6
11
37%
1
6
2
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
45%
1-6
17%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 30.6
40.8
29.9
20
57%
10
2
0
1
0
0
3
7
5-6
83%
3-8
3-6
38%
49%
3-7
43%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.4
40.4
33.3
24
47%
13
4
1
1
5
2
5
8
6-8
75%
9-22
8-15
41%
51%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 25.3
36.8
32.0
11
51%
14
0
0
1
0
1
7
7
1-2
50%
5-10
5-8
50%
61%
0-0
-
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 32.2
13.0
15.0
2
100%
5
1
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.7
11.4
12.4
5
83%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29.7
4.0
16.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.2
1.8
7.2
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.7
1.8
4.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Marcus Vinicius
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.7
2.5
0
0-0
52%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.4
Bobby Jackson
G · 6'1" 185 · 34.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.