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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 30, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Bulls60%9467
30Timberwolves40%9083
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.1
41.3
40.0
14
37%
3
8
0
1
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
4-11
5-11
36%
47%
1-6
17%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.7
37.7
28.3
14
60%
8
1
0
1
4
6
0
8
3-4
75%
4-8
3-8
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.4
33.4
32.8
5
91%
8
0
3
1
2
1
1
7
3-4
75%
1-1
2-5
100%
46%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.9
30.2
25.1
10
51%
8
1
0
1
0
2
3
5
4-4
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
50%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.2
28.1
32.7
7
27%
4
1
0
1
1
5
0
4
2-2
100%
1-6
4-9
17%
50%
1-6
17%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.4
22.0
17.7
0
0%
2
3
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-3
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.5
17.4
19.6
8
50%
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
4-7
3-7
57%
46%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.1
16.7
7.1
7
45%
5
0
0
0
0
1
0
5
1-4
25%
3-6
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.5
13.2
8.1
2
26%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.8
16.4
0
3-5
47%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.6
13.8
1
2-3
46%
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.4
2.4
0
0-1
48%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.8
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.1
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 25.4
43.6
32.0
25
57%
10
0
3
1
0
1
4
6
3-4
75%
8-16
4-8
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 23.1
35.5
35.6
26
52%
20
1
0
1
2
2
6
14
2-2
100%
12-24
9-17
50%
51%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 29.1
31.4
30.5
2
10%
4
6
3
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-9
3-6
11%
44%
0-1
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 22.6
26.9
32.9
7
36%
1
10
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
2-7
3-7
29%
44%
0-1
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 21.9
22.6
20.3
2
25%
5
1
3
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
43%
0-0
-
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.5
22.7
17.8
3
30%
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
1-5
20%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 24.4
21.3
19.7
7
34%
2
0
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-1
0%
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
1-3
33%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 24.2
13.8
12.8
2
29%
1
1
0
0
1
4
1
0
0-1
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
54%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.0
13.0
13.0
5
30%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
1-5
2-4
20%
43%
0-2
0%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.6
7.8
7.0
4
100%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 32.0
1.4
2.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.4
3.8
0
0-0
48%
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 23.1
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.3
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 34.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.