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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 30, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Knicks15%9589
7Jazz85%108100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 27.9
45.0
42.2
26
50%
3
9
0
1
1
3
0
3
7-9
78%
5-15
5-12
33%
44%
3-7
43%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.5
44.8
34.9
23
69%
8
2
2
1
0
4
0
8
9-13
69%
7-10
7-15
70%
45%
0-1
0%
Mardy Collins
G · 6'6" 220 · 23.5
26.3
12.8
7
41%
3
3
1
0
1
5
2
1
1-1
100%
3-7
1-3
43%
39%
0-1
0%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 27.8
6.4
33.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-6
-
40%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 25.2
4.2
19.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
4-7
0%
53%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 24.8
37.3
29.9
14
70%
12
0
1
1
1
2
3
9
0-0
-
7-10
4-8
70%
55%
0-0
-
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 26.2
29.7
11.3
10
87%
5
0
1
0
0
0
2
3
2-4
50%
4-4
1-2
100%
44%
0-0
-
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 23.7
21.8
30.9
5
50%
2
6
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
44%
1-1
100%
Fred Jones
G · 6'2" 225 · 28.9
14.9
13.9
4
40%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
43%
0-2
0%
Malik Rose
F · 6'7" 255 · 33.2
9.7
2.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-3
0-1
0%
35%
0-0
-
Renaldo Balkman
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.5
14.4
1
2-3
50%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 20.7
2.6
0
0-1
45%
Randolph Morris
C · 6'11" 275 · 22.1
Jerome James
C · 7'1" 285 · 32.2
Stephon Marbury
G · 6'2" 205 · 30.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
41.6
37.6
22
68%
2
12
2
1
0
5
0
2
4-7
57%
9-13
6-11
69%
54%
0-0
-
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.2
35.3
37.1
17
63%
9
1
1
1
0
0
2
7
1-1
100%
8-13
9-16
62%
57%
0-0
-
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.7
34.5
34.5
12
34%
11
0
3
1
1
1
6
5
2-2
100%
5-13
4-7
38%
51%
0-4
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.9
29.7
32.1
11
50%
4
2
3
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
3-6
50%
54%
1-3
33%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.9
24.0
24.5
10
60%
4
3
2
1
2
0
1
3
2-3
67%
4-6
4-6
67%
59%
0-1
0%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.0
26.3
13.9
15
79%
5
0
1
1
2
0
1
4
1-1
100%
7-9
2-4
78%
55%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 26.9
20.3
22.1
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.7
18.3
16.9
8
59%
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
4-4
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
52%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.6
6.3
6.2
3
44%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1-1
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.9
3.7
3.9
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
51%
0-0
-
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.2
7.0
0
0-1
49%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 29.8
4.9
0
0-1
44%
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.0
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.