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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
January 30, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bobcats34%9791
14Kings66%102105
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.5
41.4
41.1
25
54%
6
5
3
2
1
3
1
5
7-12
58%
6-15
6-12
40%
52%
2-3
67%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.3
36.6
30.4
9
57%
3
6
0
1
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
4-7
2-5
57%
45%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.3
35.2
33.4
13
47%
15
1
0
1
1
2
3
12
1-4
25%
6-12
5-11
50%
52%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.6
34.2
29.7
16
70%
0
7
3
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
3-4
3-7
75%
44%
3-7
43%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.0
33.8
37.6
11
31%
5
2
2
1
3
1
0
5
2-4
50%
3-9
5-11
33%
47%
1-7
14%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.4
19.3
20.7
8
51%
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.4
16.8
22.2
0
0%
3
1
0
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
45%
0-2
0%
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.5
14.7
9.9
5
56%
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-1
0%
1-2
1-2
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 34.0
5.1
2.3
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.6
1.5
7.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.3
1.5
3.1
2
53%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
2.1
0
0-1
48%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.5
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.0
40.8
33.9
22
54%
5
4
1
1
0
1
3
2
3-3
100%
5-13
5-10
38%
52%
3-6
50%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.8
39.0
34.6
22
73%
21
5
0
1
3
3
3
18
5-7
71%
7-11
4-8
64%
51%
1-1
100%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.2
37.7
30.9
21
54%
5
3
3
2
0
0
1
4
5-8
63%
8-15
4-8
53%
48%
0-1
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.7
34.4
30.1
10
38%
3
7
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
5-11
3-7
45%
46%
0-2
0%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.2
31.7
26.6
11
51%
8
1
1
1
4
2
3
5
3-4
75%
4-9
3-5
44%
57%
0-0
-
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.1
16.0
25.0
8
67%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-6
3-7
67%
53%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.6
14.9
18.7
4
41%
2
1
1
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.1
12.2
22.5
1
9%
7
1
0
1
2
1
0
7
1-3
33%
0-2
2-5
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.8
9.1
5.8
4
50%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
52%
0-0
-
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.7
2.8
3.1
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 23.7
1.5
2.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-0
-
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.5
2.1
0
0-0
50%
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.1
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.