Final Win Prob. pScore
2241%93
88
2459%96
95
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo Hawks
104.88493.3
LAC logo Clippers
111.88577.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ClippersHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ClippersHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLLAC
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL88
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0LACRoss Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)88
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0LACRoss Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)88
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0ATLChildress P.FOUL (P3.PN)88
93
Q4 - 0:00.0LACRoss REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)88
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Horford Layup88
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0ATLHawks Rebound88
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0LACJump Ball Mobley vs. Childress: Tip to Horford88
93
Q4 - 0:07.0ATLThornton BLOCK (2 BLK)88
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 0:12.0ATLSUB: Lue FOR Law88
93
Q4 - 0:12.0LACSUB: Knight FOR Cassell88
93
Q4 - 0:12.0ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 1)88
93
Q4 - 0:12.0LACCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)88
0.9%
93
99.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0LACSUB: Ross FOR Williams88
92
Q4 - 0:12.0LACCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)88
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 0:12.0ATLHorford P.FOUL (P3.PN)88
91
Q4 - 0:12.0LACCassell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0ATLThornton BLOCK (1 BLK)88
3.2%
91
96.8%
Q4 - 0:23.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)88
9.3%
91
90.7%
Q4 - 0:24.0LACMISS Mobley Layup88
7.1%
91
92.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)88
7.0%
91
93.0%
Q4 - 0:46.0LACWilliams S.FOUL (P3.PN)87
91
Q4 - 0:46.0ATLSmith Layup (20 PTS) (Law 2 AST)87
91
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)85
2.3%
91
97.7%
Q4 - 0:53.0LACMISS Mobley Layup85
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0ATLThomas STEAL (2 STL)85
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 1:02LACThornton Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)85
3.0%
91
97.0%
Q4 - 1:07ATLSmith Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)85
1.7%
91
98.3%
Q4 - 1:19ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
1.4%
91
98.6%
Q4 - 1:20LACMISS Thomas 7' Jump Shot83
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 1:30ATLJohnson P.FOUL (P4.T3)83
91
Q4 - 1:50ATLChildress Driving Layup (14 PTS)83
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 1:54LACCassell Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)81
0.9%
91
99.1%
Q4 - 2:18ATLLaw Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 8 AST)81
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 2:24LACThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)79
0.3%
91
99.7%
Q4 - 2:41ATLWilliams STEAL (1 STL)79
0.2%
91
99.8%
Q4 - 2:48LACCLIPPERS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)79
91
Q4 - 2:48LACCassell P.FOUL (P5.T4)79
91
Q4 - 2:55ATLLaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 2:56ATLMISS Law 3PT Jump Shot79
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q4 - 3:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)79
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 3:07LACMISS Cassell 15' Turnaround Jump Shot79
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 3:32ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)79
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 3:32LACSUB: Williams FOR Ross78
91
Q4 - 3:32ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)78
0.8%
91
99.2%
Q4 - 3:32LACThomas S.FOUL (P4.T3)77
91
Q4 - 3:45LACRoss Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)77
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 3:45ATLHorford Violation:Lane77
90
Q4 - 3:45LACRoss Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)77
0.6%
90
99.4%
Q4 - 3:45ATLChildress S.FOUL (P2.T2)77
89
Q4 - 4:08ATLHorford Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Childress 2 AST)77
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 4:22ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)75
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 4:24LACMISS Thornton 14' Jump Shot75
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 4:47ATLChildress Driving Dunk (12 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)75
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 4:50LACMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)73
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 5:06ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)73
0.4%
89
99.6%
Q4 - 5:06ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)72
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 5:06LACSUB: Thornton FOR Williams71
89
Q4 - 5:0671
89
Q4 - 5:06LACThomas S.FOUL (P3.T2)71
89
Q4 - 5:09ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)71
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 5:11LACMISS Mobley Layup71
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 5:31ATLSmith Slam Dunk (16 PTS) (Law 1 AST)71
0.2%
89
99.8%
Q4 - 5:33ATLLaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:37LACMISS Williams Slam Dunk69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:44LACMobley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:47ATLMobley BLOCK (1 BLK)69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 5:50ATLMISS Childress Layup69
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 6:09LACThomas Layup (14 PTS) (Mobley 5 AST)69
0.3%
89
99.7%
Q4 - 6:28LACRoss REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)69
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 6:30LACMISS Mobley 6' Turnaround Jump Shot69
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 6:43ATLChildress Dunk (10 PTS)69
0.3%
87
99.7%
Q4 - 6:44ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)67
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 6:45ATLMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot67
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 6:49ATLHawks Rebound67
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 6:49ATLMISS Smith 8' Jump Shot67
0.2%
87
99.8%
Q4 - 7:04ATLSUB: Horford FOR Johnson67
87
Q4 - 7:04ATLSUB: Law FOR Williams67
87
Q4 - 7:04LACSUB: Thomas FOR Thornton67
87
Q4 - 7:04ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 1)67
87
Q4 - 7:17LACRoss Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Mobley 4 AST)67
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q4 - 7:20LACMobley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 7:21ATLRoss BLOCK (1 BLK)67
0.5%
85
99.5%
Q4 - 7:35LACRoss 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cassell 5 AST)67
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q4 - 7:52ATLJohnson Finger Roll Layup (15 PTS) (Smith 7 AST)67
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 7:57ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 8:00LACMISS Mobley Layup65
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 8:12LACMobley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 8:14ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot65
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q4 - 8:24ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)65
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q4 - 8:25LACMISS Cassell 14' Jump Shot65
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q4 - 8:39LACMobley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)65
0.7%
83
99.3%
Q4 - 8:40LACMISS Thornton 18' Jump Shot65
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q4 - 9:03ATLChildress Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)65
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q4 - 9:24LACCassell Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)65
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q4 - 9:40ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)65
1.6%
81
98.4%
Q4 - 9:40LACWilliams S.FOUL (P2.T1)64
81
Q4 - 9:40ATLWilliams Layup (10 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)64
81
Q4 - 9:57ATLJohnson Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)62
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q4 - 9:5761
81
Q4 - 9:58LACMobley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)61
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 10:17ATLSUB: Johnson FOR Lue61
81
Q4 - 10:17LACSUB: Cassell FOR Knight61
81
Q4 - 10:17ATLWilliams Foul Turnover (P4.T12)61
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q4 - 10:17ATLWilliams OFF.Foul (P3)61
81
Q4 - 10:31LACMobley Driving Dunk (12 PTS)61
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q4 - 10:37LACWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q4 - 10:38ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)61
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 10:38ATLMISS Childress Layup61
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 10:40ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)61
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 10:40ATLMISS Childress Tip Shot61
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 10:41ATLMISS Childress 5' Jump Shot61
1.4%
79
98.6%
Q4 - 10:52LACThornton Free Throw 1 of 1 (33 PTS)61
1.6%
79
98.4%
Q4 - 10:52ATLSUB: Smith FOR Pachulia61
78
Q4 - 10:52ATLWilliams S.FOUL (P2.T1)61
78
Q4 - 10:52LACThornton Driving Layup (32 PTS) (Knight 7 AST)61
78
Q4 - 11:00LACKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)61
2.5%
76
97.5%
Q4 - 11:01ATLMISS Williams 7' Jump Shot61
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q4 - 11:23LACThornton 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Knight 6 AST)61
3.6%
76
96.4%
Q4 - 11:43LACRoss REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)61
4.5%
74
95.5%
Q4 - 11:44ATLMISS Johnson 3' Driving Layup61
4.8%
74
95.2%
Q4 - 12:0061
74
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL61
5.4%
74
94.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound61
5.4%
74
94.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Horford 29' 3PT Jump Shot61
4.7%
74
95.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0LACThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)61
6.1%
74
93.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0LACSUB: Mobley FOR Thomas61
73
Q3 - 0:03.0LACThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)61
6.4%
73
93.6%
Q3 - 0:03.0ATLJohnson P.FOUL (P3.PN)61
72
Q3 - 0:20.0ATLWilliams Foul Turnover (P3.T11)61
7.5%
72
92.5%
Q3 - 0:20.0ATLWilliams OFF.Foul (P1)61
72
Q3 - 0:33.0ATLHawks Rebound61
8.9%
72
91.1%
Q3 - 0:34.0LACMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot61
8.4%
72
91.6%
Q3 - 1:00ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)61
7.5%
72
92.5%
Q3 - 1:00ATLSUB: Williams FOR Smith60
72
Q3 - 1:00ATLHawks Rebound60
72
Q3 - 1:00ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 1 of 260
7.1%
72
92.9%
Q3 - 1:00LACWilliams S.FOUL (P1.PN)60
72
Q3 - 1:15LACThornton Driving Dunk (26 PTS)60
7.8%
72
92.2%
Q3 - 1:18ATLThornton STEAL (1 STL)60
9.5%
70
90.5%
Q3 - 1:32LACThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)60
11.2%
70
88.8%
Q3 - 1:32LACSUB: Ross FOR Mobley60
69
Q3 - 1:32LACThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)60
11.7%
69
88.3%
Q3 - 1:32ATLJohnson P.FOUL (P2.PN)60
68
Q3 - 1:42LACThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)60
13.5%
68
86.5%
Q3 - 1:44ATLThomas BLOCK (1 BLK)60
14.1%
68
85.9%
Q3 - 2:00ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
15.7%
68
84.3%
Q3 - 2:01LACMISS Mobley 19' Jump Shot60
15.8%
68
84.2%
Q3 - 2:10ATLLue Violation:Kicked Ball60
68
Q3 - 2:22ATLChildress Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)60
14.1%
68
85.9%
Q3 - 2:24LACSUB: Williams FOR Powell60
68
Q3 - 2:24ATLSUB: Lue FOR Williams60
68
Q3 - 2:24ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 1)60
68
Q3 - 2:44LACMobley Driving Layup (10 PTS)60
16.5%
68
83.5%
Q3 - 3:09ATLChildress Running Layup (8 PTS) (Smith 6 AST)60
19.9%
66
80.1%
Q3 - 3:15ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)58
17.3%
66
82.7%
Q3 - 3:16LACMISS Powell Layup58
16.5%
66
83.5%
Q3 - 3:18LACPowell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
14.8%
66
85.2%
Q3 - 3:20LACMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
16.5%
66
83.5%
Q3 - 3:40ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)58
14.7%
66
85.3%
Q3 - 3:59LACThornton 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Thomas 4 AST)58
17.3%
66
82.7%
Q3 - 4:20ATLJohnson 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)58
20.1%
64
79.9%
Q3 - 4:31LACMobley 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)56
17.9%
64
82.1%
Q3 - 4:55ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)56
20.1%
62
79.9%
Q3 - 5:08LACThornton Driving Layup (20 PTS)54
18.3%
62
81.7%
Q3 - 5:22LACPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)54
20.6%
60
79.4%
Q3 - 5:23ATLMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot54
21.6%
60
78.4%
Q3 - 5:39ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
23.9%
60
76.1%
Q3 - 5:41LACMISS Knight 9' Jump Shot54
22.8%
60
77.2%
Q3 - 5:46ATLChildress P.FOUL (P1.T4)54
60
Q3 - 5:50ATLSUB: Childress FOR Johnson54
60
Q3 - 5:50ATLSmith P.FOUL (P3.T3)54
60
Q3 - 6:03ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)54
21.2%
60
78.8%
Q3 - 6:03ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)53
20.8%
60
79.2%
Q3 - 6:03LACThornton S.FOUL (P2.PN)52
60
Q3 - 6:21LACThornton 14' Jump Shot (18 PTS)52
18.8%
60
81.2%
Q3 - 6:38LACPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
21.2%
58
78.8%
Q3 - 6:39ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot52
22.1%
58
77.9%
Q3 - 6:50ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
24.2%
58
75.8%
Q3 - 6:51LACMISS Thornton 18' Jump Shot52
23.3%
58
76.7%
Q3 - 7:12LACPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)52
21.7%
58
78.3%
Q3 - 7:13ATLMISS Johnson Layup52
22.5%
58
77.5%
Q3 - 7:36LACMobley 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)52
24.5%
58
75.5%
Q3 - 7:46LACSUB: Thornton FOR Ross52
56
Q3 - 7:46LACCLIPPERS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)52
56
Q3 - 7:53ATLSmith Dunk (14 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)52
27.4%
56
72.6%
Q3 - 8:06ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
24.8%
56
75.2%
Q3 - 8:07LACMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
23.9%
56
76.1%
Q3 - 8:28ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)50
21.8%
56
78.2%
Q3 - 8:28LACKnight S.FOUL (P1.T4)49
56
Q3 - 8:28ATLHorford Layup (8 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)49
56
Q3 - 8:32LACThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)47
17.3%
56
82.7%
Q3 - 8:35LACThomas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)47
15.1%
56
84.9%
Q3 - 8:36LACMISS Ross 19' Jump Shot47
16.6%
56
83.4%
Q3 - 8:57LACPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
15.1%
56
84.9%
Q3 - 8:58ATLMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot47
15.7%
56
84.3%
Q3 - 9:12ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
17.6%
56
82.4%
Q3 - 9:12LACMISS Thomas Free Throw 2 of 247
17.3%
56
82.7%
Q3 - 9:12LACThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)47
16.0%
56
84.0%
Q3 - 9:12ATLSmith S.FOUL (P2.T2)47
55
Q3 - 9:13LACThomas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
17.6%
55
82.4%
Q3 - 9:14LACMISS Mobley 27' 3PT Jump Shot47
19.1%
55
80.9%
Q3 - 9:22ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)47
17.5%
55
82.5%
Q3 - 9:32LACSUB: Knight FOR Cassell47
55
Q3 - 9:32LACCassell L.B.FOUL (P4.T3)47
55
Q3 - 9:32LACCassell Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)47
19.8%
55
80.2%
Q3 - 9:47LACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
17.5%
55
82.5%
Q3 - 9:48ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 147
17.8%
55
82.2%
Q3 - 9:48LACThomas S.FOUL (P2.T2)47
55
Q3 - 9:48ATLSmith 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)47
55
Q3 - 10:07LACThomas Dunk (11 PTS) (Cassell 4 AST)45
16.0%
55
84.0%
Q3 - 10:20ATLPowell STEAL (1 STL)45
18.0%
53
82.0%
Q3 - 10:23ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
20.3%
53
79.7%
Q3 - 10:24LACMISS Powell Layup45
19.5%
53
80.5%
Q3 - 10:46ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)45
18.0%
53
82.0%
Q3 - 10:46ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)44
17.6%
53
82.4%
Q3 - 10:46LACCassell S.FOUL (P3.T1)43
53
Q3 - 11:08LACCassell 10' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)43
16.6%
53
83.4%
Q3 - 11:28ATLJohnson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)43
18.4%
51
81.6%
Q3 - 11:40LACThomas Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)41
16.6%
51
83.4%
Q3 - 11:40ATLHorford S.FOUL (P2.T1)41
50
Q3 - 11:40LACThomas 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS)41
50
Q3 - 12:0041
48
Q2 - 0:00.0LAC41
20.6%
48
79.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLKnight STEAL (1 STL)41
20.6%
48
79.4%
Q2 - 0:06.0LACSUB: Knight FOR Cassell41
48
Q2 - 0:06.0LACCassell P.FOUL (P2.T3)41
48
Q2 - 0:21.0LACJump Ball Cassell vs. Horford: Tip to Childress41
48
Q2 - 0:21.0LACSUB: Mobley FOR Knight41
48
Q2 - 0:21.0LACSUB: Ross FOR Thornton41
48
Q2 - 0:21.0ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 1)41
48
Q2 - 0:24.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)41
23.3%
48
76.7%
Q2 - 0:25.0ATLMISS Johnson 15' Jump Shot41
22.0%
48
78.0%
Q2 - 0:32.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)41
23.3%
48
76.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
22.0%
48
78.0%
Q2 - 0:44.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
23.3%
48
76.7%
Q2 - 0:45.0ATLMISS Horford 10' Jump Shot41
22.0%
48
78.0%
Q2 - 0:56.0LACWilliams Layup (8 PTS) (Knight 5 AST)41
23.3%
48
76.7%
Q2 - 1:24ATLChildress Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)41
26.7%
46
73.3%
Q2 - 1:28LACCassell 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS)39
23.6%
46
76.4%
Q2 - 1:30ATLCassell STEAL (1 STL)39
26.7%
44
73.3%
Q2 - 1:34ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
28.6%
44
71.4%
Q2 - 1:35LACMISS Cassell 12' Jump Shot39
28.0%
44
72.0%
Q2 - 1:53ATLSmith 13' Running Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
26.7%
44
73.3%
Q2 - 2:12LACThornton Layup (16 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)37
24.2%
44
75.8%
Q2 - 2:14LACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)37
26.5%
42
73.5%
Q2 - 2:16LACMISS Cassell 21' Jump Shot37
28.3%
42
71.7%
Q2 - 2:34ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
26.5%
42
73.5%
Q2 - 2:34ATLHorford Tip Shot (6 PTS)37
26.5%
42
73.5%
Q2 - 2:37ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot35
22.5%
42
77.5%
Q2 - 2:41ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
24.1%
42
75.9%
Q2 - 2:42ATLMISS Horford Layup35
22.5%
42
77.5%
Q2 - 2:54LACThornton Driving Layup (14 PTS)35
24.1%
42
75.9%
Q2 - 3:10ATLSmith 4' Driving Layup (8 PTS)35
26.5%
40
73.5%
Q2 - 3:22LACThornton 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Cassell 3 AST)33
24.5%
40
75.5%
Q2 - 3:35LACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
26.5%
38
73.5%
Q2 - 3:36ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot33
27.4%
38
72.6%
Q2 - 3:52LACThornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)33
29.4%
38
70.6%
Q2 - 4:16ATLJohnson 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)33
34.5%
35
65.5%
Q2 - 4:33LACThomas Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)31
32.0%
35
68.0%
Q2 - 4:40LACCassell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
29.2%
35
70.8%
Q2 - 4:42ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
30.1%
35
69.9%
Q2 - 4:58ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)31
32.0%
35
68.0%
Q2 - 4:59LACMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 131
31.6%
35
68.4%
Q2 - 4:59ATLJohnson S.FOUL (P1.T3)31
35
Q2 - 4:59LACWilliams Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)31
35
Q2 - 5:10LACThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
34.9%
33
65.1%
Q2 - 5:12ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 231
35.3%
33
64.7%
Q2 - 5:12ATLSUB: Smith FOR Lue31
33
Q2 - 5:12ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)31
37.2%
33
62.8%
Q2 - 5:12LACThomas S.FOUL (P1.T2)30
33
Q2 - 5:27LACThomas 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cassell 2 AST)30
34.8%
33
65.2%
Q2 - 5:44LACSUB: Thornton FOR Mobley30
31
Q2 - 5:44LACSUB: Cassell FOR Ross30
31
Q2 - 5:44ATLSUB: Horford FOR Pachulia30
31
Q2 - 5:44LACCLIPPERS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)30
31
Q2 - 5:44ATLLue P.FOUL (P1.T2)30
31
Q2 - 5:59LACKnight REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
37.6%
31
62.4%
Q2 - 6:01LACMISS Thomas 5' Jump Shot30
39.6%
31
60.4%
Q2 - 6:15LACWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
37.4%
31
62.6%
Q2 - 6:16ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot30
38.3%
31
61.7%
Q2 - 6:30ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
40.6%
31
59.4%
Q2 - 6:31LACRoss REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
37.4%
31
62.6%
Q2 - 6:31LACMISS Ross Tip Shot30
39.6%
31
60.4%
Q2 - 6:33LACMISS Thomas 10' Jump Shot30
39.6%
31
60.4%
Q2 - 6:52LACWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
37.4%
31
62.6%
Q2 - 6:53ATLMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot30
38.4%
31
61.6%
Q2 - 7:04LACWilliams 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)30
40.3%
31
59.7%
Q2 - 7:27ATLLue 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)30
42.9%
29
57.1%
Q2 - 7:36ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
37.6%
29
62.4%
Q2 - 7:38LACMISS Williams Layup27
36.8%
29
63.2%
Q2 - 7:39LACWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
34.9%
29
65.1%
Q2 - 7:41LACMISS Williams Layup27
36.8%
29
63.2%
Q2 - 7:57ATLSUB: Johnson FOR Smith27
29
Q2 - 7:57ATLSUB: Johnson FOR Williams27
29
Q2 - 7:57LACSUB: Thomas FOR Thornton27
29
Q2 - 7:5727
29
Q2 - 7:57ATLWilliams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)27
34.9%
29
65.1%
Q2 - 8:00LACMobley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)27
37.6%
29
62.4%
Q2 - 8:07ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
35.0%
29
65.0%
Q2 - 8:07ATLWilliams Layup (6 PTS)27
35.0%
29
65.0%
Q2 - 8:10ATLMISS Lue 28' 3PT Jump Shot25
30.9%
29
69.1%
Q2 - 8:19ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
32.5%
29
67.5%
Q2 - 8:21LACMISS Knight Layup25
31.8%
29
68.2%
Q2 - 8:43ATLWilliams 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lue 1 AST)25
30.2%
29
69.8%
Q2 - 9:08LACMobley 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)23
27.9%
29
72.1%
Q2 - 9:16LACThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
30.1%
27
69.9%
Q2 - 9:18ATLMISS Childress Driving Layup23
30.8%
27
69.2%
Q2 - 9:32LACRoss Layup (4 PTS) (Mobley 3 AST)23
32.5%
27
67.5%
Q2 - 9:38LACRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
34.9%
25
65.1%
Q2 - 9:40LACMISS Thornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
36.6%
25
63.4%
Q2 - 9:53LACMobley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
34.9%
25
65.1%
Q2 - 9:54ATLMISS Childress Driving Layup23
35.6%
25
64.4%
Q2 - 10:09ATLLue REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
37.5%
25
62.5%
Q2 - 10:11LACMISS Mobley 13' Jump Shot23
36.7%
25
63.3%
Q2 - 10:28ATLLue Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)23
35.0%
25
65.0%
Q2 - 10:38LACThornton P.FOUL (P1.T1)23
25
Q2 - 10:56LACThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)23
37.4%
25
62.6%
Q2 - 11:05ATLPachulia P.FOUL (P1.T1)23
22
Q2 - 11:24ATLSmith 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS)23
42.3%
22
57.7%
Q2 - 11:42LACWilliams 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Mobley 2 AST)21
39.9%
22
60.1%
Q2 - 12:0021
20
Q1 - 0:00.0LAC21
42.3%
20
57.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0LACCLIPPERS Rebound21
42.3%
20
57.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0LACMISS Thomas 13' Running Jump Shot21
43.5%
20
56.5%
Q1 - 0:04.0LACCLIPPERS Violation: Delay of game Violation21
20
Q1 - 0:04.0LACSUB: Knight FOR Cassell21
20
Q1 - 0:04.0LACCLIPPERS Rebound21
42.3%
20
57.7%
Q1 - 0:04.0ATLMISS Law 21' Jump Shot21
42.8%
20
57.2%
Q1 - 0:20.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
44.1%
20
55.9%
Q1 - 0:21.0LACMISS Thornton 17' Jump Shot21
43.6%
20
56.4%
Q1 - 0:29.0LACCassell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
42.3%
20
57.7%
Q1 - 0:30.0LACMISS Thornton 18' Jump Shot21
43.6%
20
56.4%
Q1 - 0:44.0LACCassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
42.3%
20
57.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0ATLMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot21
42.9%
20
57.1%
Q1 - 0:56.0LACCassell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)21
44.2%
20
55.8%
Q1 - 1:13ATLChildress Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)21
42.3%
20
57.7%
Q1 - 1:28LACCassell 22' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)19
39.3%
20
60.7%
Q1 - 1:33LACWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
42.3%
18
57.7%
Q1 - 1:35ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
43.9%
18
56.1%
Q1 - 1:35ATLMISS Pachulia Tip Shot19
42.8%
18
57.2%
Q1 - 1:36ATLMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot19
42.8%
18
57.2%
Q1 - 1:54LACCassell Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)19
43.9%
18
56.1%
Q1 - 1:54LACCassell Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)19
44.2%
17
55.8%
Q1 - 1:54ATLLaw S.FOUL (P1.T4)19
16
Q1 - 1:59LACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
47.0%
16
53.0%
Q1 - 2:00ATLMISS Smith 27' 3PT Jump Shot19
47.5%
16
52.5%
Q1 - 2:03ATLHawks Timeout: Short (Reg.1 Short 1)19
16
Q1 - 2:30LACThomas Driving Dunk (4 PTS)19
48.5%
16
51.5%
Q1 - 2:51ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
51.3%
14
48.7%
Q1 - 2:51ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Horford18
14
Q1 - 2:51ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
50.9%
14
49.1%
Q1 - 2:51LACSUB: Williams FOR Powell17
14
Q1 - 2:51LACPowell S.FOUL (P2.T3)17
14
Q1 - 2:56ATLSUB: Williams FOR Johnson17
14
Q1 - 2:56ATLSUB: Law FOR Johnson17
14
Q1 - 2:56ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)17
14
Q1 - 3:16LACThomas Layup (2 PTS) (Cassell 1 AST)17
48.7%
14
51.3%
Q1 - 3:33LACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
51.0%
12
49.0%
Q1 - 3:34ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot17
51.6%
12
48.4%
Q1 - 3:52LACThornton 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
53.2%
12
46.8%
Q1 - 4:10ATLSmith 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)17
53.7%
10
46.3%
Q1 - 4:29LACThornton Driving Dunk (2 PTS)15
51.7%
10
48.3%
Q1 - 4:47ATLChildress Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)15
53.5%
8
46.5%
Q1 - 4:52ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
51.6%
8
48.4%
Q1 - 4:54LACPowell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
49.5%
8
50.5%
Q1 - 4:54LACMISS Powell Tip Shot13
51.0%
8
49.0%
Q1 - 4:55LACMISS Cassell 14' Jump Shot13
50.9%
8
49.1%
Q1 - 5:21LACPowell Violation:Defensive Goaltending13
8
Q1 - 5:21ATLJohnson Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)13
48.9%
8
51.1%
Q1 - 5:24LACThornton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
47.2%
8
52.8%
Q1 - 5:41LACPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
45.0%
8
55.0%
Q1 - 5:42ATLMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot11
45.7%
8
54.3%
Q1 - 5:51LACSUB: Thornton FOR Ross11
8
Q1 - 5:51LACCLIPPERS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)11
8
Q1 - 5:51ATLHawks Rebound11
47.1%
8
52.9%
Q1 - 5:51ATLPowell BLOCK (1 BLK)11
45.6%
8
54.4%
Q1 - 6:05LACRoss Running Layup (2 PTS) (Mobley 1 AST)11
46.6%
8
53.4%
Q1 - 6:20ATLSUB: Childress FOR Williams11
6
Q1 - 6:20ATLJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T3)11
6
Q1 - 6:35LACCLIPPERS Rebound11
48.2%
6
51.8%
Q1 - 6:35ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
50.1%
6
49.9%
Q1 - 6:35ATLMISS Horford Tip Shot11
48.8%
6
51.2%
Q1 - 6:35ATLMISS Williams Layup11
48.8%
6
51.2%
Q1 - 6:51LACCassell L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)11
6
Q1 - 6:52ATLHawks Rebound11
49.9%
6
50.1%
Q1 - 6:53LACMISS Cassell 12' Jump Shot11
49.3%
6
50.7%
Q1 - 7:18ATLHorford 10' Hook Bank Shot (4 PTS)11
47.6%
6
52.4%
Q1 - 7:26ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
46.1%
6
53.9%
Q1 - 7:28LACMISS Ross 13' Jump Shot9
45.5%
6
54.5%
Q1 - 7:39ATLSmith P.FOUL (P1.T2)9
6
Q1 - 7:39LACThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
44.2%
6
55.8%
Q1 - 7:39ATLMISS Horford 7' Jump Shot9
44.7%
6
55.3%
Q1 - 7:51ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
45.9%
6
54.1%
Q1 - 7:52LACMISS Thomas 14' Jump Shot9
45.3%
6
54.7%
Q1 - 8:19ATLJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)9
43.9%
6
56.1%
Q1 - 8:33ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)6
41.0%
6
59.0%
Q1 - 8:34LACMISS Cassell 20' Jump Shot6
40.6%
6
59.4%
Q1 - 8:40ATLThomas STEAL (1 STL)6
39.7%
6
60.3%
Q1 - 8:56LACPowell P.FOUL (P1.T1)6
6
Q1 - 9:04LACPowell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
41.1%
6
58.9%
Q1 - 9:04LACPowell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
41.3%
5
58.7%
Q1 - 9:04ATLHorford S.FOUL (P1.T1)6
4
Q1 - 9:22LACCLIPPERS Rebound6
42.3%
4
57.7%
Q1 - 9:22ATLMISS Smith Layup6
42.6%
4
57.4%
Q1 - 9:31ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
43.3%
4
56.7%
Q1 - 9:32LACMISS Ross 22' Jump Shot6
43.0%
4
57.0%
Q1 - 9:45ATLHorford Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)6
42.2%
4
57.8%
Q1 - 9:54LACCassell 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Powell 2 AST)4
41.1%
4
58.9%
Q1 - 10:12ATLSmith Layup (2 PTS)4
41.8%
2
58.2%
Q1 - 10:14ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
41.1%
2
58.9%
Q1 - 10:15ATLMISS Smith Layup2
40.5%
2
59.5%
Q1 - 10:16ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
41.1%
2
58.9%
Q1 - 10:17ATLMISS Smith Layup2
40.5%
2
59.5%
Q1 - 10:36ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.1%
2
58.9%
Q1 - 10:37LACMISS Powell 5' Jump Shot2
40.9%
2
59.1%
Q1 - 10:51LACPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
40.5%
2
59.5%
Q1 - 10:52ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot2
40.7%
2
59.3%
Q1 - 11:16LACMobley 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Powell 1 AST)2
41.1%
2
58.9%
Q1 - 11:37ATLJohnson 6' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
41.3%
0
58.7%
Q1 - 12:00LACJump Ball Powell vs. Smith: Tip to Johnson0
41.2%
0
58.8%
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventATLLAC
Score / WinProb

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.96 47.8%
LAC
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
23
43
53%
LAC
19
33
58%
Midrange
ATL
10
31
32%
LAC
17
41
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
2
3.0
9
22%
33%
LAC
2
3.0
6
33%
50%
Free Throws
ATL
16
19
84%
LAC
17
19
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2150%10.5 / 21
J. Johnson1753%8.5 / 16
A. Horford1450%7.0 / 14
J. Childress1450%7.0 / 14
M. Williams1155%5.5 / 10
A. Johnson643%3.0 / 7
T. Lue375%1.5 / 2
A. Law225%1.0 / 4
Z. Pachulia0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
LAC logo Clippers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Thornton3375%16.5 / 22
T. Thomas1454%7.0 / 13
S. Cassell1450%7.0 / 14
C. Mobley1243%6.0 / 14
Q. Ross1260%6.0 / 10
A. Williams850%4.0 / 8
J. Powell220%1.0 / 5
B. Knight0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
69
+19
-15
88
LAC
74
+13
-11
87
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.96 47.8%
LAC
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
106.6
100.7
ATL 104.8
LAC 111.8 +7.0
Pace
91.4
92.7
ATL 93.3 +15.9
LAC 77.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.7
ATL 15.4 −3.2
LAC 18.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.3%
46.5%
ATL 43.4%
LAC 48.8% +5.4%
TO %
15.5%
14.8%
ATL 14.1%
LAC 11.1% −3.0%
ORB %
29.8%
23.2%
ATL 34.9% +5.6%
LAC 29.3%
FTrt
34.0
33.8
ATL 22.9
LAC 23.8 +0.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
61.4%
ATL 68.6% +5.4%
LAC 63.2%
STL %
7.9%
7.3%
ATL 9.5% +1.3%
LAC 8.2%
BLK %
8.4%
7.5%
ATL 6.8%
LAC 8.1% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.0%
50.5%
ATL 47.8%
LAC 52.8% +5.0%
Rim FG%
58.6%
58.0%
ATL 53.5%
LAC 57.6% +4.1%
Mid FG%
38.5%
39.5%
ATL 32.3%
LAC 41.5% +9.2%
3P %
35.6%
32.4%
ATL 22.2%
LAC 33.3% +11.1%
FT %
77.2%
78.1%
ATL 84.2%
LAC 89.5% +5.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.9%
29.4%
ATL 51.8% +10.6%
LAC 41.3%
Mid Att. %
46.7%
53.8%
ATL 37.3% −13.9%
LAC 51.2%
3P Att. %
16.5%
16.7%
ATL 10.8% +3.3%
LAC 7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLLAC
Possessions8485
Possession Minutes21.626.4
Points8895
Rebounds4440
Assists2424
Steals87
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (4)12 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (2)28 (3)
Field Goals35-8338-80
At-the-Rim FG23-4319-33
Midrange FG10-3117-41
2-Point FG33-7436-74
3-Point FG2-92-6
Free Throws16-1917-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 22
43.1
21
50%
10
8
3
1
3
3
3
7
1-2
50%
10-19
53%
0-2
0%
G · 6'7" 240 · 27
41.0
17
53%
5
4
1
0
2
4
1
4
4-5
80%
5-12
42%
1-2
50%
C · 6'8" 240 · 22
34.0
14
50%
10
0
1
0
1
3
3
7
4-5
80%
5-11
45%
0-1
0%
F · 6'9" 237 · 22
28.2
11
55%
3
2
0
0
4
3
1
2
5-5
100%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 195 · 33
26.4
6
43%
4
5
0
0
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 25
36.2
14
50%
4
2
2
3
2
3
4
0
0-0
-
7-14
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 31
11.1
3
75%
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
C · 6'11" 270 · 24
10.3
0
0%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 202 · 23
9.8
2
25%
2
2
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 175 · 25
F · 6'10" 235 · 24
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24
#6 · G · 6'5" 210 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#12 · G · 5'11" 170 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#42 · F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
48%
44
24
8
5
15
0
15
29
16-19
84%
33-74
45%
2-9
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.