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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 31, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Mavericks39%9190
5Celtics61%9596
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.6
41.6
35.5
31
61%
11
6
0
1
3
3
1
10
10-10
100%
9-18
6-13
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 27.8
39.0
36.9
19
54%
6
2
0
1
1
1
2
4
6-6
100%
5-9
6-14
56%
47%
1-6
17%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.4
38.4
33.7
13
47%
0
6
1
1
1
3
0
0
4-4
100%
3-6
4-8
50%
48%
1-6
17%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 36.3
23.7
21.9
2
20%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
44%
0-3
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.6
14.3
26.8
6
63%
7
1
0
0
0
0
3
4
2-4
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
54%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 28.9
26.8
15.1
4
100%
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 22.8
21.5
16.1
10
74%
4
0
1
0
2
2
0
4
2-4
50%
4-5
2-5
80%
44%
0-0
-
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.4
20.0
5.0
5
63%
7
1
0
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
38%
1-2
50%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.6
9.3
11.3
0
0%
0
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
0-2
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.0
3.5
2.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.0
1.9
15.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-0
-
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.0
2.7
0
0-1
39%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 24.9
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 33.2
Nick Fazekas
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 32.5
42.6
24.1
26
61%
4
1
1
1
1
0
2
2
3-3
100%
10-17
2-5
59%
48%
1-3
33%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 30.3
40.1
34.0
26
56%
6
1
1
1
1
2
0
6
9-10
90%
7-16
4-9
44%
49%
1-3
33%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 21.9
28.0
28.9
14
44%
12
4
0
2
0
3
6
6
4-4
100%
5-14
4-8
36%
49%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 23.2
18.8
21.9
5
51%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
2-4
2-4
50%
56%
0-0
-
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.9
16.5
14.8
0
0%
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
42%
0-0
-
James Posey
F · 6'8" 217 · 31.0
34.0
22.2
13
60%
3
1
3
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
0-4
1-2
0%
49%
3-5
60%
Leon Powe
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.0
25.2
24.2
10
65%
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
1
4-6
67%
3-5
4-7
60%
52%
0-0
-
Eddie House
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.7
20.0
18.2
2
33%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
45%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 26.1
14.8
24.3
0
0%
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 31.7
15.5
1
3-6
52%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 22.1
15.0
0
2-3
52%
Gabe Pruitt
G · 6'4" 170 · 21.8
5.3
0
1-1
48%
Scot Pollard
C-F · 6'11" 278 · 33.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.