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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 1, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Jazz59%10396
17Wizards41%10087
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.7
41.1
34.0
27
78%
11
5
1
1
0
1
2
9
3-3
100%
9-12
4-8
75%
48%
2-4
50%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
34.1
38.5
11
39%
3
12
0
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
4-11
6-12
36%
51%
1-3
33%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.2
32.5
35.9
4
19%
9
5
1
1
0
2
1
8
2-4
50%
1-9
9-16
11%
55%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.9
24.0
24.2
12
68%
5
2
2
1
0
2
4
1
2-2
100%
5-8
4-6
63%
56%
0-0
-
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.0
24.0
30.9
16
55%
5
0
1
1
4
1
3
2
6-8
75%
2-6
3-6
33%
51%
2-5
40%
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.7
24.0
17.5
10
48%
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
2-3
67%
4-9
3-6
44%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 26.9
24.0
21.2
8
57%
2
4
0
1
4
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
2-5
40%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.0
19.5
18.8
4
29%
8
0
2
1
1
1
3
5
2-2
100%
1-6
3-6
17%
53%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.6
13.9
6.2
4
40%
1
3
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.2
3.0
5.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.9
4.3
0
0-1
47%
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 29.8
4.1
0
0-1
41%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.1
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antonio Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 32.9
40.8
27.2
18
62%
3
4
0
1
0
1
2
1
5-8
63%
5-9
2-4
56%
49%
1-2
50%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 21.4
40.1
23.2
19
52%
13
2
3
1
4
5
4
9
3-3
100%
8-16
3-7
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.6
39.4
35.5
31
68%
8
0
1
1
1
1
1
7
11-13
85%
7-12
6-12
58%
48%
2-5
40%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 26.8
35.4
32.9
5
21%
2
2
2
1
2
0
0
2
3-6
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
46%
0-7
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 28.2
33.6
25.2
10
75%
9
1
0
0
2
3
4
5
6-6
100%
2-4
4-7
50%
53%
0-0
-
Darius Songaila
F · 6'9" 248 · 30.0
16.1
14.6
2
17%
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-6
2-4
17%
49%
0-0
-
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 27.4
15.3
22.8
2
17%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.3
10.8
15.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-1
0%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 22.7
8.4
12.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
46%
0-0
-
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 27.9
20.3
1
4-7
48%
Gilbert Arenas
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.1
10.9
0
1-3
47%
Oleksiy Pecherov
F-C · 7'0" 234 · 22.1
10.2
0
1-2
51%
Etan Thomas
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.