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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 2, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Jazz67%104110
26Grizzlies33%9991
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 28.7
35.3
36.5
15
56%
13
2
2
1
0
0
4
9
1-1
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
49%
2-6
33%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 26.2
34.3
34.3
19
48%
10
3
2
1
1
3
3
7
3-4
75%
8-18
8-15
44%
55%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
32.3
36.5
16
56%
1
11
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
5-10
6-11
50%
52%
1-3
33%
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 22.9
24.0
24.2
16
65%
3
3
5
1
1
2
2
1
2-3
67%
7-10
4-7
70%
57%
0-1
0%
Andrei Kirilenko
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.0
22.7
28.3
2
20%
3
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
52%
0-2
0%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 26.9
24.0
22.2
14
109%
3
0
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-1
0%
4-4
2-4
100%
46%
2-2
100%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 23.0
20.5
19.2
4
20%
7
3
0
1
0
0
3
4
0-2
0%
2-9
3-6
22%
53%
0-0
-
Matt Harpring
F · 6'7" 230 · 31.7
16.7
20.3
12
53%
4
2
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-3
67%
5-10
4-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.6
15.7
9.4
8
68%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-4
1-2
50%
46%
1-1
100%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 20.9
8.7
3.7
4
40%
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Jarron Collins
C · 6'11" 249 · 29.2
5.9
5.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Jason Hart
G · 6'3" 180 · 29.8
4.0
0
0-1
41%
Kyrylo Fesenko
C · 7'1" 280 · 21.1
Morris Almond
G · 6'6" 225 · 23.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.9
39.9
37.0
10
39%
2
4
1
2
0
3
0
2
2-4
50%
4-10
3-7
40%
46%
0-1
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.5
39.3
39.9
15
43%
10
2
1
1
0
6
1
9
4-6
67%
4-9
6-12
44%
48%
1-6
17%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.6
35.5
28.8
12
64%
12
1
0
1
2
3
3
9
0-1
0%
6-9
4-8
67%
46%
0-0
-
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.6
32.0
31.4
11
41%
4
5
1
1
0
3
0
4
1-1
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
47%
2-7
29%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.0
27.1
36.5
14
49%
5
3
1
1
0
6
0
5
1-3
33%
5-10
4-7
50%
53%
1-3
33%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.6
23.6
19.4
14
64%
5
2
0
0
2
1
2
3
1-2
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
52%
1-1
100%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
15.4
7.1
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.8
14.7
2.2
10
74%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
4-4
100%
0-1
0-0
0%
44%
2-4
50%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.7
12.5
7.8
3
52%
7
0
1
0
0
1
3
4
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 25.9
27.0
1
3-5
50%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.1
2.4
0
0-1
45%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 27.6
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.3
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.2
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 35.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.