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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 5, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs63%100116
20Pacers37%9689
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.8
32.1
38.0
19
61%
15
6
0
1
1
1
4
11
5-8
63%
7-12
9-18
58%
52%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.5
27.1
35.6
15
56%
3
7
0
2
0
1
1
2
0-1
0%
3-7
5-10
43%
48%
3-6
50%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.6
26.0
28.7
14
79%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
41%
2-3
67%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.9
23.9
20.9
10
56%
8
1
0
0
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
5-9
2-4
56%
58%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.4
22.3
5.7
11
74%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
0-1
50%
41%
2-3
67%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 34.9
32.6
27.3
11
48%
4
2
2
1
0
5
1
3
1-1
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
43%
2-7
29%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.0
25.7
24.5
16
86%
1
5
1
1
0
2
1
0
2-3
67%
7-8
3-6
88%
43%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.5
23.6
22.7
5
36%
6
5
2
1
2
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
1-5
20%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.4
16.4
8.6
7
70%
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
40%
1-2
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.8
5.2
7.5
8
68%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
1-1
75%
49%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 31.9
5.2
5.6
0
0%
1
1
0
0
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.1
16.3
1
1-1
54%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.3
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 27.4
35.5
35.3
14
59%
2
4
2
1
1
1
0
2
1-2
50%
5-8
4-8
63%
50%
1-3
33%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 24.8
30.7
36.7
16
71%
2
2
0
1
5
3
0
2
5-5
100%
4-7
5-10
57%
48%
1-2
50%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.9
29.6
26.6
14
55%
2
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
4-9
2-4
44%
45%
1-2
50%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 27.8
29.3
23.4
15
94%
7
3
0
1
0
0
1
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
3-3
100%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 31.1
22.4
29.2
2
50%
6
1
3
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.0
20.0
18.5
6
28%
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
52%
0-5
0%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 29.9
18.4
25.2
8
51%
0
2
0
1
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
43%
1-2
50%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.3
17.3
26.7
0
0%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
42%
0-2
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.1
12.4
11.8
4
40%
0
1
3
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-1
0%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.5
10.6
6.2
3
52%
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
0-0
-
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.4
6.9
2.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-5
0-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.7
6.9
1.4
7
88%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.3
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.