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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 5, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bucks43%95102
28Grizzlies57%9797
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 25.1
38.1
37.1
32
67%
3
7
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
13-19
5-10
68%
49%
1-3
33%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 23.2
37.1
36.3
12
40%
5
3
1
1
1
1
1
4
2-2
100%
5-14
7-13
36%
55%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 26.1
36.3
30.3
4
34%
3
3
2
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
0-1
0%
Charlie Bell
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.9
36.1
26.0
17
61%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
46%
3-7
43%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 23.4
31.6
17.3
16
54%
16
0
1
0
1
4
7
9
2-2
100%
7-11
3-6
64%
51%
0-3
0%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 27.7
26.0
24.4
8
50%
7
2
0
1
0
1
4
3
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Desmond Mason
G · 6'5" 222 · 30.3
23.9
22.3
6
30%
9
5
0
1
0
0
1
8
0-0
-
3-10
3-6
30%
46%
0-0
-
Dan Gadzuric
C · 6'11" 240 · 30.0
10.9
5.6
7
60%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
3-5
1-1
60%
51%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 20.3
27.1
1
4-8
47%
Awvee Storey
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 30.8
7.0
0
1-2
46%
Michael Ruffin
F-C · 6'8" 248 · 31.0
6.8
0
0-1
46%
Jake Voskuhl
C · 6'11" 255 · 30.3
5.3
0
1-1
49%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 21.8
David Noel
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.9
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 28.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.5
41.0
38.7
21
62%
5
6
4
1
0
4
0
5
0-0
-
6-9
6-11
67%
50%
3-8
38%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.9
40.2
37.1
7
60%
0
7
0
2
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
4-7
33%
48%
1-2
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.0
36.7
31.9
32
64%
5
3
0
1
0
2
2
3
5-7
71%
9-14
4-7
64%
55%
3-8
38%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.6
32.2
31.0
11
46%
12
2
0
1
2
2
3
9
1-2
50%
5-11
4-8
45%
49%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.6
22.4
21.1
4
34%
6
1
0
0
2
0
0
6
0-2
0%
2-5
4-7
40%
54%
0-0
-
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.6
24.4
30.9
7
39%
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
49%
2-7
29%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.8
19.4
8.2
6
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
44%
2-4
50%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 25.9
15.8
15.6
4
106%
4
0
0
0
0
3
0
4
2-2
100%
1-1
2-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.1
7.9
2.0
5
66%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-4
75%
1-2
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.2
12.9
0
0-1
42%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
10.8
0
0-1
46%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.7
9.8
0
1-2
53%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.3
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 35.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.