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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 6, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Bulls39%9097
16Trail Blazers61%93100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.4
45.3
21.2
9
43%
3
9
1
1
0
5
0
3
1-1
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
41%
2-6
33%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.8
41.8
28.9
22
62%
4
6
3
1
2
2
2
2
2-2
100%
7-14
3-7
50%
44%
2-3
67%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.2
40.2
27.3
22
70%
4
4
1
0
0
3
0
4
4-4
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
48%
4-8
50%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.4
35.9
31.2
12
56%
8
0
0
1
0
0
2
6
2-6
33%
5-7
2-5
71%
44%
0-1
0%
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.5
29.7
21.8
16
54%
5
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
2-4
50%
7-13
4-9
54%
46%
0-0
-
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.6
15.5
5.2
6
43%
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-7
1-1
43%
44%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 22.9
14.4
21.7
2
35%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-2
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.5
13.9
17.2
8
106%
1
0
0
1
2
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-2
2-6
100%
44%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.2
3.4
11.4
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.1
31.3
1
4-9
45%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.8
26.5
1
4-9
45%
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.4
1.3
0
0-0
47%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.8
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.1
Viktor Khryapa
· 6'9" 210 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 27.9
40.1
27.9
7
32%
4
7
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
1-6
17%
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 23.5
39.9
40.3
28
66%
4
6
1
1
0
2
3
1
4-5
80%
12-18
7-15
67%
49%
0-1
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
37.6
25.5
17
74%
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
7-8
88%
2-4
2-5
50%
49%
2-4
50%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.6
35.0
33.0
18
57%
6
1
1
1
2
1
1
5
2-2
100%
8-15
7-14
53%
50%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 28.3
29.2
18.2
4
50%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
55%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 21.2
21.5
28.1
8
44%
5
0
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-4
2-5
100%
46%
0-5
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.4
20.1
28.0
14
60%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
5-9
5-11
56%
47%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 24.7
10.8
17.3
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 21.7
4.6
5.9
2
53%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-1
1-1
100%
46%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.7
1.2
1.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
Taurean Green
G · 6'0" 177 · 21.2
1.4
0
0-0
42%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 20.9
0.7
0
0-0
50%
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 20.0
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.