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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
February 9, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Hawks20%8789
5Rockets80%98108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 26.6
31.7
39.5
8
31%
3
4
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-10
6-13
30%
45%
0-2
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.7
27.0
29.3
8
44%
8
2
1
1
0
1
4
4
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
46%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 21.6
26.9
35.2
8
33%
5
1
1
1
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-12
6-13
33%
45%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 22.2
26.9
35.6
7
31%
5
4
2
1
0
3
0
5
1-5
20%
3-8
6-13
38%
45%
0-1
0%
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 33.4
16.9
19.8
8
50%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
4-8
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.0
29.0
11.6
11
43%
9
2
1
0
0
1
5
4
1-2
50%
5-12
2-3
42%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24.6
25.9
33.3
18
76%
4
0
1
1
0
1
3
1
10-11
91%
4-6
5-9
67%
53%
0-1
0%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 23.0
23.1
5.9
9
46%
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
3-4
75%
3-8
1-1
38%
40%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
14.3
2.1
8
52%
2
1
2
0
0
0
0
2
6-6
100%
1-5
0-1
20%
41%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.6
13.2
0.7
4
60%
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
1
2-3
67%
1-2
0-0
50%
42%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.8
5.0
23.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32.3
5.1
0
0-1
43%
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 29.8
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.3
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.4
30.8
36.9
28
75%
9
3
1
1
2
3
1
8
4-4
100%
12-17
8-14
71%
53%
0-0
-
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.7
30.2
34.9
15
48%
4
8
0
1
0
2
0
4
3-4
75%
3-7
6-13
43%
48%
2-7
29%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.4
29.3
36.4
4
29%
5
2
0
1
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
52%
0-2
0%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.5
28.0
37.9
10
73%
3
5
1
1
1
1
2
1
2-2
100%
1-2
3-8
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.8
25.4
23.6
14
71%
9
0
1
1
0
2
1
8
0-2
0%
7-9
4-8
78%
52%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.1
20.0
12.7
7
50%
3
3
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
1-2
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.7
20.0
7.9
4
100%
4
4
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
56%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.4
19.8
16.4
6
40%
4
0
0
0
0
1
3
1
0-1
0%
3-7
3-5
43%
53%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.4
16.8
22.8
11
83%
3
6
1
1
0
1
1
2
5-6
83%
3-4
4-7
75%
48%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.7
12.0
3.2
9
75%
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-3
0-0
100%
48%
1-3
33%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.6
7.7
2.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.6
2.2
0
0-0
50%
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.2
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.7
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.