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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 10, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Mavericks60%9682
20Nets40%93101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 27.8
39.1
32.5
16
41%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
2-3
67%
7-17
6-12
41%
50%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 29.6
34.7
33.1
21
47%
8
4
0
1
0
3
2
6
13-14
93%
4-12
7-13
33%
51%
0-4
0%
Eddie Jones
G-F · 6'6" 200 · 36.3
20.6
23.2
0
0%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-2
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.6
17.1
19.8
2
14%
2
0
2
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
0-2
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 32.6
11.3
24.7
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
58%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 30.4
35.2
28.4
11
42%
4
5
1
1
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
4-8
4-8
50%
51%
1-5
20%
Devean George
F · 6'8" 235 · 30.5
29.3
18.5
9
41%
4
1
2
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
2-6
1-3
33%
43%
1-4
25%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 22.8
22.4
23.5
13
73%
6
2
0
0
0
1
1
5
1-2
50%
6-8
3-7
75%
50%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 26.0
16.4
14.5
4
69%
4
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
0-2
0%
2-2
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Trenton Hassell
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 28.9
8.1
10.2
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
49%
0-0
-
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.0
5.9
8.1
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 33.3
14.0
0
2-3
45%
Nick Fazekas
F · 6'11" 235 · 22.7
Maurice Ager
F-G · 6'5" 202 · 24.0
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 27.6
39.1
34.8
19
60%
7
4
1
1
0
3
1
6
7-11
64%
6-11
6-13
55%
49%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 31.0
38.8
36.0
29
67%
9
3
2
1
2
1
1
8
4-4
100%
11-18
6-12
61%
47%
1-2
50%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 34.9
37.3
34.0
13
43%
6
14
0
1
0
3
1
5
5-5
100%
1-8
2-5
13%
42%
2-5
40%
Josh Boone
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.2
21.7
32.0
6
47%
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
2
0-1
0%
3-6
4-8
50%
53%
0-0
-
Nenad Krstic
C · 7'0" 240 · 24.5
17.4
11.4
8
59%
8
0
0
0
0
0
1
7
4-4
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
0-0
-
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 21.4
25.5
18.8
15
77%
7
0
0
0
2
2
3
4
3-4
75%
6-8
3-5
75%
51%
0-0
-
Bostjan Nachbar
F · 6'9" 221 · 27.6
22.7
18.9
7
46%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
5-6
83%
1-3
2-5
33%
46%
0-2
0%
Darrell Armstrong
G · 6'1" 180 · 39.6
12.7
9.0
0
0%
2
1
2
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-3
0%
Malik Allen
F · 6'10" 255 · 29.6
12.5
9.1
2
100%
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
0-0
-
Antoine Wright
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 24.0
9.2
22.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Stromile Swift
F-C · 6'10" 220 · 28.2
1.8
3.7
2
100%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Williams
G · 6'3" 205 · 22.2
1.6
6.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.