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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 10, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Bobcats18%8787
4Pistons82%98113
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.1
39.1
36.7
27
67%
4
5
0
1
0
3
0
4
7-7
100%
4-10
4-10
40%
45%
4-7
57%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.6
30.4
31.5
14
54%
3
4
1
1
0
0
0
3
6-7
86%
4-7
3-7
57%
42%
0-3
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.4
30.0
35.7
9
43%
9
1
1
1
1
1
2
7
1-1
100%
4-10
6-12
40%
49%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.4
29.8
27.7
10
51%
8
1
2
1
1
2
5
3
4-4
100%
3-8
4-9
38%
48%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.6
12.3
21.4
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
3
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.3
32.8
11.8
4
52%
4
5
0
0
0
3
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 31.7
22.8
18.3
4
34%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
40%
0-2
0%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
18.9
2.8
9
42%
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
3-6
50%
3-8
0-1
38%
43%
0-0
-
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 34.0
12.5
3.2
6
60%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
45%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.5
6.5
8.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.3
4.8
8.8
4
55%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
2-6
33%
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.6
31.6
2
4-9
49%
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.6
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.6
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.4
30.6
27.6
8
40%
12
2
1
1
1
1
6
6
2-2
100%
3-9
4-7
33%
53%
0-0
-
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.0
29.3
29.3
18
59%
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-3
67%
5-8
6-11
63%
51%
2-6
33%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.0
27.4
30.7
21
76%
6
3
0
1
0
0
3
3
2-2
100%
2-7
4-9
29%
49%
5-6
83%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 33.4
26.8
28.0
8
45%
4
5
2
1
1
0
0
4
1-2
50%
2-3
4-7
67%
50%
1-5
20%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.4
23.3
28.1
11
53%
3
7
4
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
2-4
50%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.8
24.7
19.3
13
71%
1
6
1
1
0
3
1
0
3-5
60%
5-7
3-6
71%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.0
19.1
20.3
8
52%
5
3
0
0
1
2
3
2
2-4
50%
3-6
3-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.3
18.7
17.8
6
36%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
2-7
2-3
29%
53%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.5
16.1
16.2
10
73%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
2-3
67%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20.8
15.3
15.3
6
75%
4
2
1
0
0
2
2
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
57%
0-0
-
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.6
4.5
3.3
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
0-0
-
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.4
4.2
1.8
4
106%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.2
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.