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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
February 10, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Raptors71%100105
30Timberwolves29%9382
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 23.9
34.8
38.4
14
49%
9
2
0
1
2
2
1
8
4-5
80%
5-12
8-17
42%
51%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 22.3
30.6
33.2
16
63%
6
0
1
1
0
2
2
4
3-6
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
46%
3-5
60%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 32.6
29.7
33.6
10
38%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
3-6
56%
49%
0-4
0%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 26.4
25.7
33.4
15
121%
3
10
1
1
0
2
1
2
5-5
100%
2-2
3-6
100%
56%
2-2
100%
Jamario Moon
F · 6'8" 205 · 27.7
18.1
26.4
8
100%
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
0
0-0
-
4-4
3-6
100%
50%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 25.5
27.2
18.2
7
39%
9
1
1
1
0
1
0
9
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
45%
1-4
25%
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.9
22.3
17.3
7
48%
4
13
1
1
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Rasho Nesterovic
C · 7'0" 255 · 31.7
22.2
13.5
8
67%
5
1
0
0
3
2
1
4
0-0
-
4-6
2-3
67%
52%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 27.0
18.3
14.2
12
60%
2
0
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
6-10
2-4
60%
49%
0-0
-
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.0
8.5
6.7
4
34%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
49%
0-0
-
Joey Graham
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.7
2.8
3.8
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Juan Dixon
G · 6'3" 165 · 29.3
5.4
0
1-1
45%
Maceo Baston
F · 6'10" 230 · 31.7
Jorge Garbajosa
F · 6'9" 245 · 30.1
Darrick Martin
G · 5'11" 170 · 36.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 23.1
36.3
35.1
18
52%
9
3
0
1
1
1
3
6
2-3
67%
8-16
9-18
50%
51%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 22.7
34.7
25.0
6
28%
2
8
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-9
2-5
22%
43%
0-1
0%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 25.4
29.5
28.1
4
32%
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
2-3
67%
1-5
4-7
20%
49%
0-0
-
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 29.2
29.3
30.8
11
85%
4
3
0
1
0
3
0
4
0-1
0%
4-4
2-6
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 21.9
19.6
23.8
6
51%
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
2-5
2-6
40%
42%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 24.4
27.3
22.1
8
40%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.5
20.1
14.8
8
44%
4
0
2
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
2-5
40%
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 24.3
15.4
26.6
8
63%
5
0
0
1
0
2
1
4
2-3
67%
3-5
4-8
60%
55%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.0
13.1
5.1
8
59%
3
0
0
0
1
3
0
3
4-4
100%
2-4
1-2
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.4
9.1
21.6
4
29%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.4
2.8
2.5
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 32.0
2.8
2.1
1
57%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 23.1
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 34.8
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.