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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 11, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Trail Blazers24%8783
6Rockets76%9695
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 22.6
42.7
34.3
22
41%
5
3
1
1
3
0
2
3
2-2
100%
10-26
7-14
38%
48%
0-0
-
Brandon Roy
G · 6'6" 211 · 23.6
38.5
19.5
15
43%
5
8
3
1
1
2
0
5
5-10
50%
5-13
3-7
38%
47%
0-0
-
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 21.2
29.1
32.9
11
62%
6
0
0
1
0
1
3
3
0-2
0%
4-5
3-6
80%
44%
1-3
33%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 28.0
28.5
32.1
4
40%
3
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
43%
0-0
-
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 28.3
21.4
22.9
6
68%
9
0
0
0
0
2
3
6
0-1
0%
3-4
2-3
75%
53%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.4
27.4
24.1
7
45%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
2-6
4-10
33%
44%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 24.7
19.5
17.0
4
50%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 24.3
19.1
34.3
7
58%
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Sergio Rodriguez
G · 6'3" 176 · 21.7
10.6
9.4
6
75%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
42%
0-0
-
Raef LaFrentz
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 31.7
3.3
4.4
1
57%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 21.0
3.9
0
0-1
45%
Taurean Green
G · 6'0" 177 · 21.2
3.5
0
0-1
39%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 27.4
Darius Miles
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.3
Greg Oden
C · 7'0" 273 · 20.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.7
40.4
32.5
12
40%
4
6
2
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
6-11
6-12
55%
48%
0-4
0%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.6
38.7
33.1
17
66%
5
7
2
1
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
45%
3-5
60%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.4
36.5
33.9
25
75%
7
0
0
0
0
5
1
6
11-13
85%
7-11
7-13
64%
53%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.4
36.4
32.8
11
79%
4
1
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
51%
3-6
50%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.8
31.8
23.9
11
56%
7
2
1
1
0
0
2
5
3-4
75%
4-8
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.4
21.6
19.8
9
63%
6
2
0
1
0
1
0
6
5-5
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
48%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.4
14.4
17.7
3
39%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
3-6
33%
54%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.1
9.3
15.7
5
87%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
1-1
100%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.7
6.7
13.4
2
50%
2
0
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
57%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.7
2.2
7.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.6
2.2
5.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.6
2.0
0
0-0
53%
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.7
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.2
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.