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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 13, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Grizzlies25%9188
1676ers75%100102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.6
34.2
26.1
23
61%
8
0
1
0
0
2
5
3
1-4
25%
11-16
4-9
69%
51%
0-1
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.0
28.9
33.8
13
65%
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-5
4-8
100%
52%
1-5
20%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.5
28.5
37.5
23
54%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
5-5
100%
6-14
5-11
43%
47%
2-5
40%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.7
13.1
31.7
0
0%
5
0
1
1
1
3
1
4
0-0
-
0-4
4-9
0%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.3
8.9
29.6
0
0%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
46%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.9
39.1
19.6
15
77%
6
6
0
1
0
3
1
5
4-4
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
3-5
60%
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.7
30.6
29.3
7
32%
4
2
1
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
1-7
14%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 25.9
19.8
6.9
1
13%
4
5
1
0
0
2
4
0
1-2
50%
0-3
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.1
15.2
6.0
2
25%
3
0
0
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-2
0%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.2
15.1
11.9
4
100%
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
39%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.8
6.6
8.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
3.2
0
0-0
43%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.8
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 35.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 27.8
38.5
32.0
16
63%
12
0
1
1
4
4
3
9
4-6
67%
6-10
5-9
60%
55%
0-0
-
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.0
38.2
36.5
29
58%
8
8
2
2
0
2
2
6
0-0
-
10-18
7-13
56%
52%
3-7
43%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.9
36.2
38.0
14
64%
6
11
0
1
0
4
1
5
2-2
100%
6-10
7-14
60%
52%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 19.6
34.7
27.3
12
60%
8
0
3
1
0
2
3
5
0-0
-
6-10
4-8
60%
54%
0-0
-
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 26.5
25.4
23.6
11
65%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
49%
2-4
50%
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 21.3
26.6
23.8
8
46%
3
4
1
1
0
2
1
2
3-4
75%
1-5
4-8
20%
47%
1-2
50%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 27.7
16.6
21.7
1
9%
8
0
1
1
1
0
4
4
1-2
50%
0-5
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Rodney Carney
F · 6'7" 205 · 23.9
8.4
15.7
4
58%
0
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
0-1
0%
2-3
2-4
67%
50%
0-0
-
Kevin Ollie
G · 6'2" 195 · 35.1
8.0
5.7
4
100%
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
44%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 22.0
7.5
8.8
3
39%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
53%
0-0
-
Gordan Giricek
G · 6'6" 220 · 30.7
2.4
0
0-1
46%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.2
1.3
0
0-0
52%
Shavlik Randolph
F · 6'10" 236 · 24.2
Herbert Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 23.4
Calvin Booth
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.