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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 13, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Hawks47%9498
26Bobcats53%95100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 26.6
47.6
37.1
23
57%
4
4
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-3
67%
6-16
6-12
38%
48%
3-3
100%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 21.7
46.8
31.9
14
38%
6
3
2
1
1
1
1
5
8-8
100%
3-15
6-12
20%
48%
0-0
-
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 21.7
32.7
31.2
12
55%
14
0
0
1
3
3
8
6
0-0
-
6-11
4-9
55%
49%
0-0
-
Anthony Johnson
G · 6'3" 195 · 33.4
23.4
21.1
6
34%
2
1
1
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-8
2-4
25%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 22.2
15.9
35.8
4
41%
3
1
0
2
0
5
1
2
0-2
0%
2-4
6-13
50%
48%
0-0
-
Tyronn Lue
G · 6'0" 175 · 30.8
34.6
16.7
19
64%
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-2
0%
5-10
2-4
50%
46%
3-4
75%
Acie Law
G · 6'3" 202 · 23.1
29.3
9.9
13
73%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
1-2
50%
6-8
1-2
75%
44%
0-0
-
Lorenzen Wright
F-C · 6'11" 255 · 32.3
20.6
4.1
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 24.3
7.5
4.5
4
69%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 24.0
4.0
15.4
1
57%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
2-5
-
47%
0-0
-
Mario West
G · 6'5" 210 · 23.7
2.5
3.0
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Salim Stoudamire
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.3
4.5
0
0-1
45%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 24.7
Solomon Jones
F · 6'10" 235 · 23.6
Speedy Claxton
G · 5'11" 170 · 29.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.6
51.7
35.3
22
44%
4
7
1
1
1
3
0
4
4-4
100%
9-21
4-9
43%
46%
0-2
0%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.1
42.3
35.4
19
46%
8
3
2
1
0
2
2
6
6-8
75%
5-9
4-9
56%
48%
1-8
13%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.4
40.1
32.0
20
65%
21
0
0
1
5
1
5
16
8-10
80%
6-11
5-11
55%
52%
0-0
-
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.3
30.8
26.5
6
50%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.4
19.2
30.8
4
29%
5
0
0
1
1
2
3
2
0-0
-
2-7
5-10
29%
52%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.6
32.8
20.6
12
76%
4
1
3
1
1
2
3
1
2-2
100%
5-7
3-5
71%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.5
31.4
13.0
9
61%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-3
67%
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.2
7.0
6.8
8
62%
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-1
0%
4-6
1-3
67%
48%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 31.7
5.4
15.7
0
0%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 34.0
4.3
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.6
16.6
1
3-5
53%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.3
4.9
0
0-1
52%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.9
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.6
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.