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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 13, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Pacers18%9280
4Pistons82%10396
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 27.1
32.2
23.5
3
17%
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-7
3-7
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 24.8
27.8
38.2
9
46%
2
2
1
1
0
5
0
2
2-2
100%
2-7
5-10
29%
47%
1-2
50%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 27.4
27.4
30.6
11
51%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 27.8
23.2
27.8
8
40%
6
2
0
1
0
0
0
6
2-2
100%
3-8
3-7
38%
44%
0-1
0%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 31.1
20.5
24.5
0
0%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
50%
0-0
-
Andre Owens
G · 6'4" 200 · 27.3
23.4
4.8
10
46%
6
1
2
0
0
1
0
6
3-4
75%
2-6
0-1
33%
38%
1-3
33%
Kareem Rush
G · 6'6" 215 · 27.3
21.5
26.6
7
50%
5
2
0
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
2-6
33%
41%
1-1
100%
David Harrison
C · 7'0" 280 · 25.5
20.5
12.2
2
50%
1
0
0
0
3
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
49%
0-0
-
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 22.0
18.4
16.8
7
30%
4
1
0
0
2
0
3
1
4-4
100%
0-8
2-4
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Ike Diogu
F · 6'9" 250 · 24.4
13.0
3.9
14
66%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
6-6
100%
4-8
1-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Stephen Graham
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 25.7
12.0
2.0
9
58%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
3-5
0-0
60%
43%
0-1
0%
Travis Diener
G · 6'1" 175 · 26.0
27.6
1
2-4
42%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 30.0
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.4
29.8
27.6
14
63%
1
6
3
1
0
1
0
1
5-5
100%
3-5
3-6
60%
48%
1-4
25%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 28.0
28.6
31.1
14
62%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-3
33%
5-8
5-9
63%
48%
1-2
50%
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 33.4
20.9
31.1
8
51%
5
4
0
1
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
0-3
4-8
0%
49%
2-4
50%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 30.0
19.2
31.8
14
117%
5
5
0
1
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
6-12
50%
50%
4-4
100%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33.4
17.4
30.5
2
25%
5
1
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
51%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 20.8
30.6
12.0
8
41%
9
1
1
0
7
2
2
7
2-4
50%
3-8
2-3
38%
55%
0-0
-
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 22.3
24.4
15.9
3
22%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
1-6
2-3
17%
50%
0-0
-
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 21.8
22.7
20.0
12
44%
3
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
4-11
3-7
36%
48%
0-1
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 25.0
21.9
19.7
11
49%
11
0
0
0
2
2
2
9
3-3
100%
4-10
3-5
40%
53%
0-0
-
Jarvis Hayes
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.5
11.4
15.3
8
58%
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
1-3
33%
Walter Herrmann
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.6
8.4
2.9
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-1
0%
Primoz Brezec
C · 7'1" 255 · 28.4
4.8
2.4
2
69%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-1
0%
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Flip Murray
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.5
Cheikh Samb
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.3
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 37.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.