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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 13, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Kings25%9287
5Rockets75%10189
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 28.3
42.5
37.1
30
67%
4
4
3
2
0
3
0
4
6-10
60%
9-16
5-12
56%
44%
2-2
100%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 31.8
36.8
36.2
13
50%
6
3
1
1
0
4
1
5
2-2
100%
4-10
4-9
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Mikki Moore
F-C · 7'0" 225 · 32.3
31.8
24.8
8
103%
5
2
0
0
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
3-3
3-5
100%
53%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 25.0
30.8
35.0
12
52%
3
2
0
1
0
3
1
2
6-6
100%
3-8
5-10
38%
47%
0-1
0%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.8
25.2
33.4
14
60%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
4-8
4-9
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Justin Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 23.8
23.1
2.1
4
30%
12
0
5
0
1
0
4
8
2-4
50%
1-5
0-0
20%
49%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 25.6
22.8
17.9
6
50%
6
1
0
1
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
43%
0-1
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 28.2
21.0
27.0
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
49%
0-3
0%
Quincy Douby
G · 6'3" 175 · 23.7
4.1
11.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 27.1
1.9
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-1
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 19.8
8.3
0
1-2
46%
Kenny Thomas
C-F · 6'7" 245 · 30.6
2.4
0
0-0
46%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26.1
Shareef Abdur-Rahim
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.4
42.2
33.8
15
50%
3
3
0
1
1
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
53%
3-8
38%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.6
41.0
34.9
23
54%
1
7
1
1
0
3
0
1
2-3
67%
6-13
3-7
46%
46%
3-7
43%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.7
40.8
35.3
10
36%
6
5
3
1
0
3
0
6
3-4
75%
2-7
6-13
29%
49%
1-5
20%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.4
39.5
34.7
25
67%
14
1
0
0
3
5
4
10
7-8
88%
9-15
7-14
60%
54%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.8
10.9
26.8
6
104%
2
1
0
1
1
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
5-9
100%
53%
0-0
-
Bonzi Wells
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 31.4
19.4
20.4
0
0%
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
0-2
0%
0-4
3-7
0%
49%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.7
18.7
10.7
2
33%
5
1
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
57%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.4
13.4
16.2
2
17%
7
0
2
0
0
2
6
1
0-0
-
1-6
3-5
17%
55%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.7
7.1
5.5
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
54%
1-2
50%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.1
7.0
12.9
3
75%
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 32.6
4.2
0
1-1
47%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.6
2.0
0
0-0
53%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.0
Kirk Snyder
F-G · 6'6" 225 · 24.7
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.