for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 14, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Heat42%9092
20Bulls58%9299
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.1
42.0
37.8
30
61%
7
7
2
2
0
6
1
6
6-8
75%
9-17
8-17
53%
49%
2-4
50%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.8
40.8
40.0
23
61%
7
3
4
2
1
5
0
7
4-4
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
54%
3-7
43%
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.2
40.0
34.6
6
32%
7
1
1
1
2
0
2
5
4-8
50%
1-6
6-11
17%
51%
0-0
-
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.2
30.1
36.0
6
30%
6
3
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-2
0%
3-8
5-10
38%
49%
0-1
0%
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.2
26.1
26.7
9
64%
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
46%
1-3
33%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.4
26.8
29.3
7
50%
2
2
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.2
21.9
13.8
9
113%
0
1
0
1
1
4
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
3-3
100%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.5
12.3
11.7
2
29%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-1
0%
1-3
1-3
33%
43%
0-0
-
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.0
8.2
0
1-2
49%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.8
7.2
0
1-1
44%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.4
6.2
0
0-1
45%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.5
2.2
0
0-0
44%
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 38.0
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.7
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 28.2
42.1
34.0
18
49%
6
2
0
1
0
3
0
6
1-1
100%
7-13
4-8
54%
50%
1-5
20%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 23.8
38.6
36.8
17
51%
12
1
4
2
0
4
4
8
7-8
88%
5-12
4-9
42%
47%
0-1
0%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 21.5
38.5
12.7
10
40%
12
1
1
1
4
3
3
9
4-6
67%
3-10
2-4
30%
47%
0-0
-
Joe Smith
F-C · 6'10" 225 · 32.6
34.1
27.8
19
61%
11
2
1
1
0
0
4
7
5-6
83%
7-13
6-11
54%
49%
0-0
-
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 25.5
31.8
32.9
3
30%
2
8
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 27.1
33.2
20.5
24
61%
7
4
1
1
0
3
1
6
3-4
75%
9-14
3-6
64%
47%
1-4
25%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 23.0
14.5
19.6
4
40%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
51%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 23.2
7.3
9.4
4
67%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
54%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 33.4
32.8
1
3-6
47%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 24.9
10.8
0
2-4
47%
Adrian Griffin
G-F · 6'5" 230 · 33.6
9.7
0
1-2
47%
Demetris Nichols
F · 6'8" 216 · 23.4
1.1
0
0-0
48%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.8
JamesOn Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.