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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 19, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Bobcats15%8665
1Spurs85%10085
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 23.6
38.5
38.8
19
61%
4
4
1
1
0
2
1
3
5-6
83%
4-9
5-11
44%
43%
2-4
50%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 27.1
36.9
35.8
13
48%
2
4
2
1
1
2
1
1
3-6
50%
2-6
4-9
33%
45%
2-5
40%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 33.3
33.1
26.7
4
29%
0
0
3
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
43%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 25.6
32.4
14.3
4
17%
9
1
4
1
0
2
0
9
4-6
67%
0-7
2-4
0%
50%
0-2
0%
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 25.4
23.7
33.2
2
11%
10
0
1
1
0
4
2
8
0-0
-
1-9
5-11
11%
49%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 30.5
24.3
25.2
12
45%
5
0
2
1
0
2
3
2
2-3
67%
5-12
4-8
42%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 27.5
18.6
18.9
4
29%
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
42%
0-1
0%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 22.6
17.2
23.6
7
79%
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
1-1
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
46%
0-0
-
Earl Boykins
G · 5'5" 133 · 31.7
11.1
11.4
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
40%
0-2
0%
Jermareo Davidson
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.3
4.3
6.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Derek Anderson
G · 6'5" 195 · 33.6
15.2
0
1-2
41%
Othella Harrington
F-C · 6'9" 235 · 34.1
4.9
0
1-1
45%
Sean May
C-F · 6'9" 266 · 23.9
Adam Morrison
F · 6'8" 205 · 23.6
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 23.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.8
31.6
37.0
7
25%
15
5
1
1
5
3
5
10
3-4
75%
2-12
9-17
17%
54%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.6
31.6
37.1
18
70%
4
3
0
2
1
6
0
4
9-11
82%
3-4
4-9
75%
51%
1-4
25%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.0
25.1
22.8
10
74%
2
3
2
1
1
2
0
2
2-4
50%
4-5
3-6
80%
46%
0-0
-
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.7
23.2
31.3
6
33%
3
1
2
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
44%
2-6
33%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.9
22.4
24.0
4
100%
8
1
0
1
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
2-2
3-4
100%
60%
0-0
-
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.5
31.9
16.7
12
50%
10
5
0
1
0
2
1
9
0-0
-
3-6
1-3
50%
52%
2-6
33%
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.0
23.7
26.4
14
70%
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
46%
2-3
67%
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.5
22.9
17.7
8
67%
3
4
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
44%
2-3
67%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.5
19.0
14.7
2
50%
6
1
1
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Francisco Elson
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 32.0
4.3
4.9
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
51%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.9
4.3
2.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-3
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.8
24.0
1
5-9
54%
Brent Barry
G · 6'7" 210 · 36.1
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.