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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
February 19, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Grizzlies42%98101
28SuperSonics58%101108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.5
40.9
33.7
23
46%
7
3
2
1
2
3
0
7
3-4
75%
7-16
5-11
44%
49%
2-7
29%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.6
39.2
28.5
22
58%
6
2
0
1
2
4
3
3
2-2
100%
10-17
5-10
59%
53%
0-1
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.4
31.2
22.4
8
40%
4
9
2
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
3-9
2-5
33%
48%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.7
20.8
24.6
4
25%
7
0
1
1
2
1
3
4
0-0
-
2-8
3-7
25%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.0
11.8
31.6
7
44%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
3-7
4-7
43%
54%
0-0
-
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.7
35.0
29.2
16
50%
3
1
2
1
0
3
2
1
2-2
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
47%
2-7
29%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.2
26.9
12.9
8
48%
10
0
0
0
1
0
3
7
0-3
0%
4-7
1-1
57%
42%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.9
19.0
26.5
5
34%
3
5
3
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
45%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.8
15.2
7.9
8
82%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
43%
2-4
50%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 25.9
11.7
0
1-2
51%
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.1
9.4
0
1-3
47%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
3.0
0
0-0
45%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.8
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 35.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 28.7
34.0
28.7
26
91%
3
9
2
1
0
3
0
3
2-3
67%
9-11
3-6
82%
46%
2-2
100%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 24.6
33.0
6.2
9
38%
5
7
1
0
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
3-10
1-2
30%
49%
1-2
50%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
32.8
30.5
6
51%
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-5
6-11
40%
55%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 21.5
26.6
20.0
11
40%
9
0
0
0
0
5
1
8
4-6
67%
2-9
3-5
22%
50%
1-2
50%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.4
14.8
25.9
8
100%
5
0
0
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
4-4
3-7
100%
50%
0-0
-
Wally Szczerbiak
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31.0
26.7
19.2
24
61%
4
1
1
0
1
3
2
2
3-4
75%
6-13
3-6
46%
51%
3-5
60%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 27.3
22.2
21.6
12
68%
9
1
0
0
1
4
4
5
2-4
50%
5-7
3-6
71%
53%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 28.1
15.3
20.8
3
40%
5
1
0
1
0
0
2
3
3-4
75%
0-2
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.0
14.1
18.4
6
60%
0
3
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 22.1
13.0
14.9
1
27%
5
1
0
0
0
0
0
5
1-2
50%
0-1
3-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Robert Swift
C · 7'1" 270 · 22.2
7.6
4.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
52%
0-0
-
Mickael Gelabale
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
2.2
0
0-0
50%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 19.4
Mouhamed Sene
C · 6'11" 230 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.