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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 20, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Grizzlies30%9286
23Clippers70%98100
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 25.6
39.3
34.3
20
60%
7
1
0
1
0
1
4
3
3-6
50%
7-12
6-12
58%
52%
1-2
50%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 21.5
38.9
37.4
21
55%
3
1
1
1
2
4
0
3
4-5
80%
4-11
6-12
36%
47%
3-6
50%
Juan Carlos Navarro
· 6'3" 170 · 27.7
37.8
32.0
14
44%
6
5
1
1
0
2
1
5
4-4
100%
5-10
2-5
50%
46%
0-4
0%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 20.4
32.0
27.7
16
63%
3
2
1
1
0
3
1
2
5-6
83%
4-9
3-6
44%
46%
1-1
100%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 22.7
19.7
22.2
2
11%
8
1
3
0
0
0
3
5
2-4
50%
0-7
3-7
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.2
24.3
21.4
0
0%
1
1
0
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.8
20.4
12.9
8
35%
7
0
0
1
0
1
2
5
3-3
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
42%
1-5
20%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 21.9
16.0
21.6
5
66%
2
4
0
1
2
2
0
2
3-4
75%
1-2
2-4
50%
44%
0-0
-
Javaris Crittenton
G · 6'5" 200 · 20.1
11.7
4.9
0
0%
4
0
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
44%
0-2
0%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 25.9
6.4
0
1-1
50%
Andre Brown
F · 6'9" 245 · 26.8
5.7
0
1-1
48%
Casey Jacobsen
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.9
3.0
0
0-0
41%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 28.0
Aaron McKie
G · 6'5" 209 · 35.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 28.3
36.5
36.1
30
70%
10
3
0
1
0
3
2
8
9-10
90%
6-13
6-11
46%
51%
3-4
75%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 25.8
28.3
36.1
11
54%
8
0
1
1
5
3
2
6
3-5
60%
4-8
5-11
50%
51%
0-0
-
Al Thornton
F · 6'8" 235 · 24.2
24.6
34.6
13
55%
3
2
1
1
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
4-10
7-13
40%
50%
1-1
100%
Quinton Ross
F-G · 6'6" 193 · 26.8
21.8
14.1
6
43%
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
1-3
43%
46%
0-0
-
Sam Cassell
G · 6'3" 185 · 38.3
14.3
24.0
6
43%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
49%
0-0
-
Cuttino Mobley
G · 6'4" 215 · 32.5
39.5
34.0
12
41%
4
4
2
1
2
3
0
4
3-4
75%
3-9
4-9
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Brevin Knight
G · 5'10" 166 · 32.3
28.9
18.2
4
37%
4
8
2
1
0
1
0
4
0-1
0%
2-5
1-3
40%
44%
0-0
-
Tim Thomas
F · 6'10" 240 · 31.0
27.1
17.6
17
76%
6
5
2
0
0
1
2
4
4-5
80%
5-7
2-4
71%
50%
1-2
50%
Aaron Williams
C-F · 6'9" 235 · 36.4
10.6
9.9
1
57%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Dan Dickau
G · 6'0" 180 · 29.4
4.8
5.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Josh Powell
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.1
3.6
10.0
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Paul Davis
C · 6'11" 270 · 23.6
5.5
0
1-2
50%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 28.9
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 22.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.