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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 21, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Heat19%87100
5Rockets81%99112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 29.8
42.3
39.2
18
45%
10
1
0
2
2
1
3
7
4-11
36%
4-11
5-10
36%
53%
2-4
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 26.1
39.5
38.8
33
69%
4
11
0
2
0
3
0
4
6-7
86%
12-18
8-17
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22.2
34.3
33.0
8
44%
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
4-9
4-9
44%
47%
0-0
-
Mark Blount
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 32.2
30.0
35.7
11
48%
8
0
0
1
0
0
3
5
1-1
100%
5-11
5-11
45%
49%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32.3
21.9
26.2
5
50%
1
4
2
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
45%
1-2
50%
Ricky Davis
G · 6'7" 195 · 28.4
22.8
27.8
12
60%
2
2
1
1
0
2
2
0
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
46%
2-4
50%
Earl Barron
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 26.5
18.0
12.1
5
43%
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
3-4
75%
1-4
1-3
25%
41%
0-0
-
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25.0
13.9
6.6
5
66%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
3-4
75%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26.3
9.2
17.2
3
150%
0
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
43%
1-1
100%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24.4
8.0
5.3
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 20.8
5.5
0
0-1
42%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 25.5
2.1
0
0-0
41%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.7
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 26.7
Alonzo Mourning
C · 6'10" 261 · 38.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.7
38.5
38.4
23
52%
3
10
2
1
0
1
1
2
6-7
86%
7-15
7-13
47%
49%
1-4
25%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.4
37.9
35.7
21
88%
9
0
0
1
1
1
2
7
1-2
50%
10-11
8-14
91%
54%
0-0
-
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.6
37.3
37.2
16
54%
6
11
2
1
0
3
0
6
1-2
50%
3-7
3-7
43%
46%
3-7
43%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.5
37.1
32.9
12
87%
5
4
0
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
52%
2-3
67%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.8
33.2
26.1
11
44%
10
3
2
1
0
2
2
8
3-6
50%
4-9
5-9
44%
54%
0-1
0%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.4
24.9
17.9
19
82%
5
0
0
1
0
0
4
1
5-6
83%
7-9
3-6
78%
55%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.2
15.9
13.3
7
60%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
1-3
-
49%
2-5
40%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.1
8.6
8.3
0
0%
1
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-1
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.7
6.6
5.1
3
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
53%
1-2
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.7
6.4
0
1-1
57%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.7
1.9
0
0-0
53%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.