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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
February 21, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Spurs77%96100
28Timberwolves23%8699
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 30.6
37.9
33.0
44
95%
3
4
1
2
0
2
2
1
11-12
92%
6-9
4-8
67%
50%
7-9
78%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 31.8
37.5
33.1
24
61%
14
7
3
1
4
4
2
12
8-8
100%
8-16
8-15
50%
53%
0-0
-
Damon Stoudamire
G · 5'10" 171 · 34.5
23.2
20.3
4
50%
4
4
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
43%
0-2
0%
Bruce Bowen
F · 6'7" 200 · 36.7
22.6
25.7
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-2
0%
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-3
0%
Fabricio Oberto
C · 6'10" 245 · 32.9
18.2
22.7
3
52%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
2-4
50%
59%
0-0
-
Michael Finley
G-F · 6'7" 225 · 35.0
31.1
24.3
13
59%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-8
2-4
63%
45%
1-3
33%
Ime Udoka
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 30.5
21.9
25.6
2
20%
3
0
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
0-3
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.8
18.5
14.8
8
51%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
53%
0-1
0%
Robert Horry
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 37.5
16.2
17.3
0
0%
6
1
0
1
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
44%
0-3
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 27.9
6.5
4.2
2
33%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Jacque Vaughn
G · 6'1" 190 · 33.0
6.3
23.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
45%
0-0
-
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 35.4
17.3
0
2-4
48%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 21.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 24.4
40.6
29.0
13
65%
3
7
1
1
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
44%
3-4
75%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 23.1
36.1
30.3
28
61%
5
2
1
1
3
2
2
3
6-9
67%
11-19
8-15
58%
50%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 22.7
34.6
32.8
15
54%
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
6-11
3-7
55%
42%
1-3
33%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 25.5
32.0
27.0
7
54%
5
5
1
1
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
48%
0-0
-
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 22.0
12.4
20.8
2
20%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
40%
0-0
-
Rashad McCants
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.4
32.7
25.1
15
56%
5
2
1
1
0
2
1
4
3-3
100%
6-11
3-7
55%
46%
0-1
0%
Marko Jaric
G · 6'7" 224 · 29.2
23.6
26.6
5
83%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Theo Ratliff
C · 6'10" 235 · 34.8
14.2
19.7
8
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-3
67%
3-4
2-3
75%
47%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 24.3
13.8
24.9
6
36%
6
1
0
1
0
3
3
3
0-1
0%
3-8
4-7
38%
54%
0-0
-
Chris Richard
F · 6'9" 256 · 23.2
2.8
0
0-0
47%
Mark Madsen
F · 6'9" 255 · 32.1
2.2
0
0-0
43%
Greg Buckner
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.4
2.0
0
0-0
46%
Michael Doleac
C · 6'11" 262 · 30.7
Antoine Walker
F · 6'9" 245 · 31.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.