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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 22, 2008
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Rockets34%92100
4Hornets66%9780
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rafer Alston
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.6
42.1
36.5
9
32%
4
11
1
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
42%
1-7
14%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 29.5
41.6
34.5
5
63%
6
2
0
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
49%
1-3
33%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 28.8
40.8
37.7
34
60%
3
6
0
1
0
2
1
2
3-5
60%
11-20
6-13
55%
45%
3-6
50%
Yao Ming
C · 7'6" 310 · 27.4
35.0
36.4
28
60%
14
2
0
0
1
2
5
9
4-5
80%
12-21
7-14
57%
50%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 27.8
24.4
29.1
8
51%
9
0
0
1
0
0
1
8
2-2
100%
3-7
5-9
43%
50%
0-0
-
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 24.4
28.0
21.2
7
64%
11
0
1
1
0
2
4
7
1-1
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
50%
0-0
-
Luther Head
G · 6'3" 185 · 25.2
10.7
14.6
5
125%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 24.7
8.6
5.2
2
50%
6
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 23.1
5.8
8.7
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 24.7
2.9
6.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-1
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 22.1
5.7
0
1-2
40%
Dikembe Mutombo
C · 7'2" 260 · 41.7
2.1
0
0-0
47%
Steve Francis
G · 6'3" 210 · 31.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 27.5
33.3
35.3
20
50%
10
1
0
1
1
2
3
7
6-7
86%
7-17
7-15
41%
49%
0-0
-
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 25.4
31.9
33.3
9
58%
9
2
0
1
1
4
1
8
1-4
25%
4-6
4-7
67%
59%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 22.8
31.7
37.7
14
50%
3
11
3
2
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
6-11
7-13
55%
49%
0-2
0%
Peja Stojakovic
F · 6'10" 229 · 30.7
31.4
35.5
8
38%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
1-3
33%
Morris Peterson
G · 6'7" 220 · 30.5
21.0
13.6
2
20%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 28.8
19.7
12.1
6
44%
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
1-2
25%
42%
1-2
50%
Ryan Bowen
F · 6'9" 218 · 32.3
16.9
14.1
3
45%
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
1
1-3
33%
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 28.3
16.3
14.4
2
11%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
44%
0-2
0%
Hilton Armstrong
F-C · 6'11" 235 · 23.2
16.1
15.3
2
33%
5
1
1
0
2
1
2
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
50%
0-0
-
Melvin Ely
C-F · 6'10" 260 · 29.8
14.5
3.5
4
42%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-4
50%
1-3
0-1
33%
46%
0-0
-
Julian Wright
F · 6'8" 225 · 20.8
7.3
2.2
10
73%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-2
0%
5-6
0-1
83%
48%
0-0
-
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.